Language:English
Felix Auger-Aliassime v Rinky Hijikata
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Felix Auger-Aliassime (Local)
Prediction 86.86%1.15fair odd
EV -3.58%
Edge -3.23%
Kelly -32.57%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.11
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
85.53%86.99%86.83%89.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.061.091.091.1194.34%91.69%91.74%90.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Rinky Hijikata (Visit)
Prediction 13.14%7.61fair odd
EV +25.47%
Edge +2.67%
Kelly +2.98%
Growth +0.759%
assuming max odds 9.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.33%13.01%13.17%14.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.507.437.509.5515.38%13.45%13.33%10.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Felix Auger-Aliassime (Local): 86.86%; Rinky Hijikata (Visit): 13.14%. For Rinky Hijikata (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.61. 14 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +25.47%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 89.67%EV -4.45%E -4.05%K -44.52%G +0.000% | 9.55I 10.47%NM 10.33%EV +25.47%E +2.67%K +2.98%G +0.759% | 1.4% | 2026-08-31 23:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -7.06%E -6.60%K -100.82%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +11.67%E +1.37%K +1.56%G +0.182% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 20:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -7.93%E -7.48%K -132.10%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +11.67%E +1.37%K +1.56%G +0.182% | 6.1% | 2026-08-31 20:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.61%EV -6.19%E -5.73%K -77.36%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.39%EV +10.36%E +1.23%K +1.40%G +0.145% | 4.5% | 2026-08-31 20:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.27%EV -5.32%E -4.88%K -59.12%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.73%EV +7.73%E +0.943%K +1.07%G +0.083% | 3.9% | 2026-08-31 23:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.23%EV -5.32%E -4.88%K -59.12%G +0.000% | 8.17I 12.24%NM 11.77%EV +7.34%E +0.898%K +1.02%G +0.075% | 4.0% | 2026-08-31 22:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91%EV -4.45%E -4.05%K -44.52%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV +5.10%E +0.638%K +0.729%G +0.037% | 3.4% | 2026-08-31 22:53 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -5.32%E -4.88%K -59.12%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +5.10%E +0.638%K +0.729%G +0.037% | 4.2% | 2026-08-31 21:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -5.32%E -4.88%K -59.12%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +5.10%E +0.638%K +0.729%G +0.037% | 4.2% | 2026-08-31 21:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.19%E -5.73%K -77.36%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +5.10%E +0.638%K +0.729%G +0.037% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 14:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.19%E -5.73%K -77.36%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +5.10%E +0.638%K +0.729%G +0.037% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 14:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.64%EV -4.45%E -4.05%K -44.52%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.36%EV +2.48%E +0.317%K +0.364%G +0.009% | 3.7% | 2026-08-31 22:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.64%EV -4.45%E -4.05%K -44.52%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.36%EV +2.48%E +0.317%K +0.364%G +0.009% | 3.7% | 2026-08-31 22:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.47%EV -3.58%E -3.23%K -32.57%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.53%EV +1.82%E +0.235%K +0.270%G +0.005% | 3.0% | 2026-08-31 22:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.46%EV -5.32%E -4.88%K -59.12%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.54%EV -0.151%E -0.020%K -0.023%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-31 21:24 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.46%EV -5.32%E -4.88%K -59.12%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.54%EV -0.151%E -0.020%K -0.023%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-31 21:28 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.24%EV -3.58%E -3.23%K -32.57%G +0.000% | 7.59I 13.18%NM 12.76%EV -0.283%E -0.037%K -0.043%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-31 23:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.32%E -4.88%K -59.12%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -1.46%E -0.195%K -0.225%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 21:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.32%E -4.88%K -59.12%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -1.46%E -0.195%K -0.225%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 21:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.32%E -4.88%K -59.12%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -1.46%E -0.195%K -0.225%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 21:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.32%E -4.88%K -59.12%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -1.46%E -0.195%K -0.225%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 21:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.32%E -4.88%K -59.12%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -1.46%E -0.195%K -0.225%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 21:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.32%E -4.88%K -59.12%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -1.46%E -0.195%K -0.225%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 21:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.32%E -4.88%K -59.12%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -1.46%E -0.195%K -0.225%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 21:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.32%E -4.88%K -59.12%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -1.46%E -0.195%K -0.225%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 21:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.32%E -4.88%K -59.12%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -1.46%E -0.195%K -0.225%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 21:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.32%E -4.88%K -59.12%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -1.46%E -0.195%K -0.225%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 21:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.32%E -4.88%K -59.12%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -1.46%E -0.195%K -0.225%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 21:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.32%E -4.88%K -59.12%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -1.46%E -0.195%K -0.225%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 21:06 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.32%E -4.88%K -59.12%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -1.46%E -0.195%K -0.225%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 21:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.32%E -4.88%K -59.12%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -1.46%E -0.195%K -0.225%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 21:06 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.32%E -4.88%K -59.12%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -1.46%E -0.195%K -0.225%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 21:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.32%E -4.88%K -59.12%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -1.46%E -0.195%K -0.225%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 21:28 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.19%E -5.73%K -77.36%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -1.46%E -0.195%K -0.225%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 21:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -7.06%E -6.60%K -100.82%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -1.46%E -0.195%K -0.225%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-31 20:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -7.06%E -6.60%K -100.82%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -1.46%E -0.195%K -0.225%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-31 22:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.24%EV -5.32%E -4.88%K -59.12%G +0.000% | 7.45I 13.42%NM 12.76%EV -2.12%E -0.285%K -0.329%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 20:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.01%EV -5.32%E -4.88%K -59.12%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.99%EV -4.09%E -0.561%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-31 23:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -4.45%E -4.05%K -44.52%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV -4.75%E -0.655%K -0.760%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 23:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.69%EV -5.32%E -4.88%K -59.12%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.31%EV -6.72%E -0.946%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 22:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.45%E -4.05%K -44.52%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.03%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 04:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.45%E -4.05%K -44.52%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.03%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 23:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.45%E -4.05%K -44.52%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.03%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 04:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.45%E -4.05%K -44.52%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.03%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-28 12:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.45%E -4.05%K -44.52%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.03%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-28 12:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.45%E -4.05%K -44.52%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.03%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 04:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.45%E -4.05%K -44.52%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.03%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-28 13:01 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.45%E -4.05%K -44.52%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.03%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 23:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.45%E -4.05%K -44.52%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.03%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 20:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.45%E -4.05%K -44.52%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.03%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 22:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.32%E -4.88%K -59.12%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -8.03%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 22:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.32%E -4.88%K -59.12%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -8.03%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-28 12:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.32%E -4.88%K -59.12%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -8.03%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 22:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.32%E -4.88%K -59.12%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -8.03%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-28 12:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.32%E -4.88%K -59.12%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -8.03%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-28 12:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.19%E -5.73%K -77.36%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -8.03%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-31 22:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.19%E -5.73%K -77.36%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -8.03%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-31 05:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.85%EV -7.93%E -7.48%K -132.10%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -8.03%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-31 21:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.45%E -4.05%K -44.52%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -11.32%E -1.68%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.45%E -4.05%K -44.52%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -11.32%E -1.68%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-31 22:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.95%EV -5.32%E -4.88%K -59.12%G +0.000% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.05%EV -12.37%E -1.85%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-31 22:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.95%EV -5.32%E -4.88%K -59.12%G +0.000% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.05%EV -12.37%E -1.85%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-31 22:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.45%E -4.05%K -44.52%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -14.60%E -2.25%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 17:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.44% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56% | 0.7% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.44% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56% | 0.7% | 2026-08-31 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.44% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56% | 0.7% | 2026-08-31 22:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.44% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56% | 0.7% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Novig◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.59% | 8.70I 11.49%NM 11.41% | 0.8% | 2026-08-31 23:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.23% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.77% | 1.0% | 2026-08-31 22:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.15% | 8.33I 12.00%NM 11.85% | 1.3% | 2026-08-31 22:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 88.57% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.43% | 1.7% | 2026-08-31 22:55 |