Langue:Français
Felix Auger-Aliassime v Rinky Hijikata
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Felix Auger-Aliassime (Local)
Prévision 86.86%1.15cote équitable
EV -3.58%
Avantage -3.23%
Kelly -32.57%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.11
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
85.53%86.99%86.83%89.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.061.091.091.1194.34%91.69%91.74%90.09%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Rinky Hijikata (Visiteur)
Prévision 13.14%7.61cote équitable
EV +25.47%
Avantage +2.67%
Kelly +2.98%
Croissance +0.759%
avec la cote maximale 9.55
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
10.33%13.01%13.17%14.47%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
6.507.437.509.5515.38%13.45%13.33%10.47%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Felix Auger-Aliassime (Local) : 86.86% ; Rinky Hijikata (Visiteur) : 13.14%. Pour Rinky Hijikata (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 7.61. 14 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 9.55, soit une espérance positive de +25.47%.
Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 89.67%EV -4.45%E -4.05%K -44.52%G +0.000% | 9.55I 10.47%NM 10.33%EV +25.47%E +2.67%K +2.98%G +0.759% | 1.4% | 2026-08-31 23:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -7.06%E -6.60%K -100.82%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +11.67%E +1.37%K +1.56%G +0.182% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 20:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -7.93%E -7.48%K -132.10%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +11.67%E +1.37%K +1.56%G +0.182% | 6.1% | 2026-08-31 20:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.61%EV -6.19%E -5.73%K -77.36%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.39%EV +10.36%E +1.23%K +1.40%G +0.145% | 4.5% | 2026-08-31 20:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.27%EV -5.32%E -4.88%K -59.12%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.73%EV +7.73%E +0.943%K +1.07%G +0.083% | 3.9% | 2026-08-31 23:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.23%EV -5.32%E -4.88%K -59.12%G +0.000% | 8.17I 12.24%NM 11.77%EV +7.34%E +0.898%K +1.02%G +0.075% | 4.0% | 2026-08-31 22:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91%EV -4.45%E -4.05%K -44.52%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV +5.10%E +0.638%K +0.729%G +0.037% | 3.4% | 2026-08-31 22:53 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -5.32%E -4.88%K -59.12%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +5.10%E +0.638%K +0.729%G +0.037% | 4.2% | 2026-08-31 21:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -5.32%E -4.88%K -59.12%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +5.10%E +0.638%K +0.729%G +0.037% | 4.2% | 2026-08-31 21:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.19%E -5.73%K -77.36%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +5.10%E +0.638%K +0.729%G +0.037% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 14:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.19%E -5.73%K -77.36%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +5.10%E +0.638%K +0.729%G +0.037% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 14:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.64%EV -4.45%E -4.05%K -44.52%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.36%EV +2.48%E +0.317%K +0.364%G +0.009% | 3.7% | 2026-08-31 22:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.64%EV -4.45%E -4.05%K -44.52%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.36%EV +2.48%E +0.317%K +0.364%G +0.009% | 3.7% | 2026-08-31 22:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.47%EV -3.58%E -3.23%K -32.57%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.53%EV +1.82%E +0.235%K +0.270%G +0.005% | 3.0% | 2026-08-31 22:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.46%EV -5.32%E -4.88%K -59.12%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.54%EV -0.151%E -0.020%K -0.023%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-31 21:24 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.46%EV -5.32%E -4.88%K -59.12%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.54%EV -0.151%E -0.020%K -0.023%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-31 21:28 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.24%EV -3.58%E -3.23%K -32.57%G +0.000% | 7.59I 13.18%NM 12.76%EV -0.283%E -0.037%K -0.043%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-31 23:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.32%E -4.88%K -59.12%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -1.46%E -0.195%K -0.225%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 21:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.32%E -4.88%K -59.12%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -1.46%E -0.195%K -0.225%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 21:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.32%E -4.88%K -59.12%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -1.46%E -0.195%K -0.225%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 21:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.32%E -4.88%K -59.12%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -1.46%E -0.195%K -0.225%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 21:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.32%E -4.88%K -59.12%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -1.46%E -0.195%K -0.225%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 21:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.32%E -4.88%K -59.12%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -1.46%E -0.195%K -0.225%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 21:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.32%E -4.88%K -59.12%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -1.46%E -0.195%K -0.225%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 21:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.32%E -4.88%K -59.12%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -1.46%E -0.195%K -0.225%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 21:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.32%E -4.88%K -59.12%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -1.46%E -0.195%K -0.225%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 21:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.32%E -4.88%K -59.12%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -1.46%E -0.195%K -0.225%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 21:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.32%E -4.88%K -59.12%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -1.46%E -0.195%K -0.225%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 21:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.32%E -4.88%K -59.12%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -1.46%E -0.195%K -0.225%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 21:06 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.32%E -4.88%K -59.12%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -1.46%E -0.195%K -0.225%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 21:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.32%E -4.88%K -59.12%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -1.46%E -0.195%K -0.225%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 21:06 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.32%E -4.88%K -59.12%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -1.46%E -0.195%K -0.225%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 21:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.32%E -4.88%K -59.12%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -1.46%E -0.195%K -0.225%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 21:28 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.19%E -5.73%K -77.36%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -1.46%E -0.195%K -0.225%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 21:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -7.06%E -6.60%K -100.82%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -1.46%E -0.195%K -0.225%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-31 20:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -7.06%E -6.60%K -100.82%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -1.46%E -0.195%K -0.225%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-31 22:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.24%EV -5.32%E -4.88%K -59.12%G +0.000% | 7.45I 13.42%NM 12.76%EV -2.12%E -0.285%K -0.329%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 20:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.01%EV -5.32%E -4.88%K -59.12%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.99%EV -4.09%E -0.561%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-31 23:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -4.45%E -4.05%K -44.52%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV -4.75%E -0.655%K -0.760%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 23:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.69%EV -5.32%E -4.88%K -59.12%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.31%EV -6.72%E -0.946%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 22:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.45%E -4.05%K -44.52%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.03%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 04:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.45%E -4.05%K -44.52%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.03%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 23:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.45%E -4.05%K -44.52%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.03%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 04:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.45%E -4.05%K -44.52%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.03%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-28 12:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.45%E -4.05%K -44.52%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.03%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-28 12:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.45%E -4.05%K -44.52%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.03%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 04:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.45%E -4.05%K -44.52%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.03%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-28 13:01 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.45%E -4.05%K -44.52%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.03%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 23:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.45%E -4.05%K -44.52%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.03%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 20:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.45%E -4.05%K -44.52%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.03%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 22:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.32%E -4.88%K -59.12%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -8.03%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 22:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.32%E -4.88%K -59.12%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -8.03%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-28 12:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.32%E -4.88%K -59.12%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -8.03%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 22:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.32%E -4.88%K -59.12%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -8.03%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-28 12:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.32%E -4.88%K -59.12%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -8.03%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-28 12:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.19%E -5.73%K -77.36%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -8.03%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-31 22:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.19%E -5.73%K -77.36%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -8.03%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-31 05:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.85%EV -7.93%E -7.48%K -132.10%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -8.03%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-31 21:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.45%E -4.05%K -44.52%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -11.32%E -1.68%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.45%E -4.05%K -44.52%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -11.32%E -1.68%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-31 22:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.95%EV -5.32%E -4.88%K -59.12%G +0.000% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.05%EV -12.37%E -1.85%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-31 22:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.95%EV -5.32%E -4.88%K -59.12%G +0.000% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.05%EV -12.37%E -1.85%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-31 22:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.45%E -4.05%K -44.52%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -14.60%E -2.25%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 17:59 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (8)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.44% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56% | 0.7% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.44% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56% | 0.7% | 2026-08-31 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.44% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56% | 0.7% | 2026-08-31 22:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.44% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56% | 0.7% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Novig◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.59% | 8.70I 11.49%NM 11.41% | 0.8% | 2026-08-31 23:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.23% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.77% | 1.0% | 2026-08-31 22:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.15% | 8.33I 12.00%NM 11.85% | 1.3% | 2026-08-31 22:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 88.57% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.43% | 1.7% | 2026-08-31 22:55 |