默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Felix Auger-Aliassime v Rinky Hijikata

开赛时间: 2026-08-31 23:10 UTC

最终结果: Felix Auger-Aliassime 3–1 Rinky Hijikata

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

63 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Felix Auger-Aliassime (主队)

预测 86.86%1.15公平赔率
EV -3.58%
优势 -3.23%
Kelly -32.57%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.11

博彩公司预测分布
85.53%86.99%86.83%89.67%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.061.091.091.1194.34%91.69%91.74%90.09%最小值均值中位数最大值

Rinky Hijikata (客队)

预测 13.14%7.61公平赔率
EV +25.47%
优势 +2.67%
Kelly +2.98%
增长率 +0.759%

假设最高赔率为 9.55

博彩公司预测分布
10.33%13.01%13.17%14.47%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
6.507.437.509.5515.38%13.45%13.33%10.47%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Felix Auger-Aliassime (主队):86.86%;Rinky Hijikata (客队):13.14%。 对于“Rinky Hijikata (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为7.61。 当时有14家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为9.55,对应+25.47%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (63 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 89.67%EV -4.45%E -4.05%K -44.52%G +0.000%9.55I 10.47%NM 10.33%EV +25.47%E +2.67%K +2.98%G +0.759%1.4%2026-08-31 23:00
SportsBet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -7.06%E -6.60%K -100.82%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +11.67%E +1.37%K +1.56%G +0.182%5.2%2026-08-31 20:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -7.93%E -7.48%K -132.10%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +11.67%E +1.37%K +1.56%G +0.182%6.1%2026-08-31 20:45
FanDuel🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.61%EV -6.19%E -5.73%K -77.36%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.39%EV +10.36%E +1.23%K +1.40%G +0.145%4.5%2026-08-31 20:40
DraftKings🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.27%EV -5.32%E -4.88%K -59.12%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.73%EV +7.73%E +0.943%K +1.07%G +0.083%3.9%2026-08-31 23:00
GTbets🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.23%EV -5.32%E -4.88%K -59.12%G +0.000%8.17I 12.24%NM 11.77%EV +7.34%E +0.898%K +1.02%G +0.075%4.0%2026-08-31 22:55
betano_uk🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91%EV -4.45%E -4.05%K -44.52%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV +5.10%E +0.638%K +0.729%G +0.037%3.4%2026-08-31 22:53
ReBet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -5.32%E -4.88%K -59.12%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +5.10%E +0.638%K +0.729%G +0.037%4.2%2026-08-31 21:24
Winamax (DE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -5.32%E -4.88%K -59.12%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +5.10%E +0.638%K +0.729%G +0.037%4.2%2026-08-31 21:24
Paddy Power🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.19%E -5.73%K -77.36%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +5.10%E +0.638%K +0.729%G +0.037%5.1%2026-08-31 14:55
Sky Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.19%E -5.73%K -77.36%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +5.10%E +0.638%K +0.729%G +0.037%5.1%2026-08-31 14:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.64%EV -4.45%E -4.05%K -44.52%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.36%EV +2.48%E +0.317%K +0.364%G +0.009%3.7%2026-08-31 22:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.64%EV -4.45%E -4.05%K -44.52%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.36%EV +2.48%E +0.317%K +0.364%G +0.009%3.7%2026-08-31 22:55
Coolbet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 87.47%EV -3.58%E -3.23%K -32.57%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.53%EV +1.82%E +0.235%K +0.270%G +0.005%3.0%2026-08-31 22:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.46%EV -5.32%E -4.88%K -59.12%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.54%EV -0.151%E -0.020%K -0.023%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-31 21:24
MyBookie.ag🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.46%EV -5.32%E -4.88%K -59.12%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.54%EV -0.151%E -0.020%K -0.023%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-31 21:28
Pinnacle🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 87.24%EV -3.58%E -3.23%K -32.57%G +0.000%7.59I 13.18%NM 12.76%EV -0.283%E -0.037%K -0.043%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-31 23:00
Unibet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.32%E -4.88%K -59.12%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -1.46%E -0.195%K -0.225%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 21:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.32%E -4.88%K -59.12%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -1.46%E -0.195%K -0.225%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 21:05
TABtouch🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.32%E -4.88%K -59.12%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -1.46%E -0.195%K -0.225%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 21:05
Casumo🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.32%E -4.88%K -59.12%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -1.46%E -0.195%K -0.225%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 21:05
Grosvenor🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.32%E -4.88%K -59.12%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -1.46%E -0.195%K -0.225%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 21:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.32%E -4.88%K -59.12%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -1.46%E -0.195%K -0.225%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 21:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.32%E -4.88%K -59.12%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -1.46%E -0.195%K -0.225%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 21:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.32%E -4.88%K -59.12%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -1.46%E -0.195%K -0.225%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 21:05
Bally Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.32%E -4.88%K -59.12%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -1.46%E -0.195%K -0.225%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 21:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.32%E -4.88%K -59.12%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -1.46%E -0.195%K -0.225%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 21:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.32%E -4.88%K -59.12%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -1.46%E -0.195%K -0.225%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 21:05
betPARX🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.32%E -4.88%K -59.12%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -1.46%E -0.195%K -0.225%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 21:06
BetRivers🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.32%E -4.88%K -59.12%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -1.46%E -0.195%K -0.225%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 21:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.32%E -4.88%K -59.12%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -1.46%E -0.195%K -0.225%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 21:06
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.32%E -4.88%K -59.12%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -1.46%E -0.195%K -0.225%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 21:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.32%E -4.88%K -59.12%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -1.46%E -0.195%K -0.225%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 21:28
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.19%E -5.73%K -77.36%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -1.46%E -0.195%K -0.225%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 21:15
NetBet (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -7.06%E -6.60%K -100.82%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -1.46%E -0.195%K -0.225%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-31 20:45
Fliff🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -7.06%E -6.60%K -100.82%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -1.46%E -0.195%K -0.225%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-31 22:59
BetAnything🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.24%EV -5.32%E -4.88%K -59.12%G +0.000%7.45I 13.42%NM 12.76%EV -2.12%E -0.285%K -0.329%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 20:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.01%EV -5.32%E -4.88%K -59.12%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.99%EV -4.09%E -0.561%K -0.650%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-31 23:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -4.45%E -4.05%K -44.52%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV -4.75%E -0.655%K -0.760%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 23:00
LeoVegas🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.69%EV -5.32%E -4.88%K -59.12%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.31%EV -6.72%E -0.946%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 22:50
888sport🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.45%E -4.05%K -44.52%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.03%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 04:05
Betway🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.45%E -4.05%K -44.52%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.03%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 23:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.45%E -4.05%K -44.52%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.03%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 04:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.45%E -4.05%K -44.52%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.03%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 12:19
Neds🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.45%E -4.05%K -44.52%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.03%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 12:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.45%E -4.05%K -44.52%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.03%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 04:05
William Hill🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.45%E -4.05%K -44.52%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.03%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 13:01
Unibet (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.45%E -4.05%K -44.52%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.03%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 23:00
BoyleSports🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.45%E -4.05%K -44.52%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.03%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 20:15
Fanatics🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.45%E -4.05%K -44.52%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.03%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 22:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.32%E -4.88%K -59.12%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -8.03%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 22:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.32%E -4.88%K -59.12%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -8.03%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-28 12:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.32%E -4.88%K -59.12%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -8.03%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 22:35
BetMGM🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.32%E -4.88%K -59.12%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -8.03%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-28 12:15
Coral🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.32%E -4.88%K -59.12%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -8.03%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-28 12:15
TAB🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.19%E -5.73%K -77.36%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -8.03%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-31 22:15
betfred_uk🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.19%E -5.73%K -77.36%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -8.03%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-31 05:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 86.85%EV -7.93%E -7.48%K -132.10%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -8.03%E -1.15%K -1.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-31 21:05
PlayUp🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.45%E -4.05%K -44.52%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -11.32%E -1.68%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-31 21:40
theScore Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.45%E -4.05%K -44.52%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -11.32%E -1.68%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-31 22:55
NordicBet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.95%EV -5.32%E -4.88%K -59.12%G +0.000%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.05%EV -12.37%E -1.85%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-31 22:55
Betsson🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.95%EV -5.32%E -4.88%K -59.12%G +0.000%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.05%EV -12.37%E -1.85%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-31 22:55
Caesars🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.45%E -4.05%K -44.52%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -14.60%E -2.25%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 17:59
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (8)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.11I 90.09%NM 89.44%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56%0.7%2026-08-31 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.11I 90.09%NM 89.44%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56%0.7%2026-08-31 22:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.11I 90.09%NM 89.44%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56%0.7%2026-08-31 22:55
Matchbook◎1.11I 90.09%NM 89.44%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56%0.7%2026-08-31 22:45
Novig◎1.12I 89.29%NM 88.59%8.70I 11.49%NM 11.41%0.8%2026-08-31 23:00
Smarkets◎1.11I 90.09%NM 89.23%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.77%1.0%2026-08-31 22:55
Kalshi◎1.12I 89.29%NM 88.15%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.85%1.3%2026-08-31 22:55
ProphetX◎1.11I 90.09%NM 88.57%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.43%1.7%2026-08-31 22:55