Language:English
Denis Shapovalov v Luca Van Assche
Head to Head
Denis Shapovalov (Local)
Prediction 58.35%1.71fair odd
EV -1.97%
Edge -1.17%
Kelly -2.90%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.68
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.99%58.48%58.29%59.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.611.611.6864.10%62.30%62.11%59.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Luca Van Assche (Visit)
Prediction 41.65%2.40fair odd
EV -0.878%
Edge -0.369%
Kelly -0.636%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.21%41.52%41.71%42.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.182.272.252.3845.87%44.07%44.44%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Denis Shapovalov (Local): 58.35%; Luca Van Assche (Visit): 41.65%. For Luca Van Assche (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.40. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.38, with an expected value of -0.878%; they do not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%EV -1.97%E -1.17%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%EV -0.878%E -0.369%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 1.5% | 2026-08-30 23:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -2.55%E -1.53%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -3.38%E -1.46%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-30 23:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.72%E -2.25%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.21%E -1.83%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-30 23:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.89%E -3.00%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.29%E -2.80%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 23:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.47%E -3.38%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.29%E -2.80%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 23:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.47%E -3.38%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.29%E -2.80%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 23:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.47%E -3.38%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.29%E -2.80%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 23:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.05%E -3.76%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.96%E -1.27%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-31 00:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.72%EV -6.05%E -3.76%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.28%EV -4.63%E -2.02%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 23:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.05%E -3.76%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.29%E -2.80%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-30 23:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.64%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.21%E -1.83%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 23:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.64%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.29%E -2.80%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-30 23:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.44%EV -7.22%E -4.54%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.56%EV -2.96%E -1.27%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 23:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.53%EV -7.80%E -4.94%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.47%EV -7.12%E -3.19%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-30 23:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.39%E -5.34%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.29%E -2.80%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-30 23:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -8.97%E -5.75%K -16.02%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -3.38%E -1.46%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-30 23:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -8.97%E -5.75%K -16.02%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.37%E -3.81%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-30 23:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.29%EV -8.97%E -5.75%K -16.02%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.71%EV -9.21%E -4.22%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-30 23:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.29%EV -8.97%E -5.75%K -16.02%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.71%EV -9.21%E -4.22%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-30 23:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20% | 2.0% | 2026-08-31 01:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.08% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.92% | 12.5% | 2026-08-30 23:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 51.78% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 48.22% | 18.5% | 2026-08-31 01:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 51.78% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 48.22% | 18.5% | 2026-08-31 01:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 51.78% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 48.22% | 18.5% | 2026-08-31 01:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 40.59% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 59.41% | 53.0% | 2026-08-31 01:25 |