Langue:Français
Denis Shapovalov v Luca Van Assche
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Denis Shapovalov (Local)
Prévision 57.52%1.74cote équitable
EV +1.24%
Avantage +0.704%
Kelly +1.63%
Croissance +0.020%
avec la cote maximale 1.76
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.52%57.36%57.65%58.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.601.661.661.7662.50%60.28%60.24%56.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Luca Van Assche (Visiteur)
Prévision 42.48%2.35cote équitable
EV -1.03%
Avantage -0.441%
Kelly -0.773%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.33
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.03%42.64%42.35%45.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.102.222.232.3347.62%45.08%44.84%42.92%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Denis Shapovalov (Local) : 57.52% ; Luca Van Assche (Visiteur) : 42.48%. Pour Denis Shapovalov (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 1.74. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 1.76, soit une espérance positive de +1.24%.
Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV +1.24%E +0.704%K +1.63%G +0.020% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV -10.37%E -4.92%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-02 20:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV +1.24%E +0.704%K +1.63%G +0.020% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV -10.37%E -4.92%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-02 20:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV +0.664%E +0.380%K +0.886%G +0.006% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -10.80%E -5.14%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 20:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV +0.089%E +0.051%K +0.121%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -5.70%E -2.57%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-02 20:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -1.06%E -0.617%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -10.80%E -5.14%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 20:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -1.64%E -0.957%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -10.80%E -5.14%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-02 20:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.61%EV -2.21%E -1.30%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.39%EV -9.52%E -4.47%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 20:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -2.79%E -1.65%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-02 20:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -3.36%E -2.00%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -2.30%E -1.00%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-02 20:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-01 17:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-02 19:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 20:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 20:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 20:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 19:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 19:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 20:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 20:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -4.51%E -2.72%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -4.00%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-02 20:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.51%E -2.72%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.28%E -2.37%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 20:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.51%E -2.72%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.28%E -2.37%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 17:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.51%E -2.72%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.28%E -2.37%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 17:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.51%E -2.72%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.28%E -2.37%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 17:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.51%E -2.72%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.28%E -2.37%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 17:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.51%E -2.72%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.28%E -2.37%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 17:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.51%E -2.72%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.28%E -2.37%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 17:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.51%E -2.72%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.28%E -2.37%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 17:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.51%E -2.72%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.28%E -2.37%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 17:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.51%E -2.72%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.28%E -2.37%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 17:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.51%E -2.72%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.28%E -2.37%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 17:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.51%E -2.72%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.28%E -2.37%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 17:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.51%E -2.72%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.28%E -2.37%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 17:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.51%E -2.72%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.28%E -2.37%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 17:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.51%E -2.72%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.28%E -2.37%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 17:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.09%E -3.08%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.30%E -1.00%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-02 10:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.09%E -3.08%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 19:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.09%E -3.08%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 19:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.09%E -3.08%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 19:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.09%E -3.08%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-02 19:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -5.09%E -3.08%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -7.40%E -3.39%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-02 20:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -5.09%E -3.08%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -7.82%E -3.61%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 19:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.09%E -3.08%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.67%E -4.03%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-02 19:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.09%E -3.08%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.67%E -4.03%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-02 19:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.66%E -3.45%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 20:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -6.24%E -3.83%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -1.03%E -0.441%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-01 06:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.66%EV -6.24%E -3.83%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.34%EV -5.70%E -2.57%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 19:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.66%EV -6.24%E -3.83%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.34%EV -5.70%E -2.57%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 19:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.81%E -4.21%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.30%E -1.00%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 11:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.81%E -4.21%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 18:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.81%E -4.21%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 09:02 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.81%E -4.21%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-02 19:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -6.81%E -4.21%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.74%EV -7.82%E -3.61%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-01 17:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -7.39%E -4.59%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -2.30%E -1.00%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 06:22 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -7.39%E -4.59%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -2.30%E -1.00%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 11:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -7.39%E -4.59%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -2.30%E -1.00%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 11:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -7.39%E -4.59%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -2.30%E -1.00%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 11:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.96%E -4.98%K -13.27%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.30%E -1.00%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 20:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -7.96%E -4.98%K -13.27%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.67%E -4.03%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-02 19:13 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (8)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00% | 0.2% | 2026-09-02 20:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00% | 0.2% | 2026-09-02 20:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00% | 0.2% | 2026-09-02 20:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00% | 0.2% | 2026-09-02 20:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 0.6% | 2026-09-02 20:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36% | 0.9% | 2026-09-02 20:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.1% | 2026-09-02 20:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11% | 2.2% | 2026-09-02 20:40 |