Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Denis Shapovalov v Luca Van Assche

Início: 2026-09-02 20:45 UTC

Final: Denis Shapovalov 3–0 Luca Van Assche

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

58 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Denis Shapovalov (Local)

Previsão 57.52%1.74odd justa
EV +1.24%
Vantagem +0.704%
Kelly +1.63%
Crescimento +0.020%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.76

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.52%57.36%57.65%58.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.601.661.661.7662.50%60.28%60.24%56.82%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Luca Van Assche (Visitante)

Previsão 42.48%2.35odd justa
EV -1.03%
Vantagem -0.441%
Kelly -0.773%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.33

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.03%42.64%42.35%45.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.102.222.232.3347.62%45.08%44.84%42.92%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Denis Shapovalov (Local): 57.52%; Luca Van Assche (Visitante): 42.48%. Para Denis Shapovalov (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.74. 4 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 1.76, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.24%.

Odds das casas de apostas (58 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
LowVig.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV +1.24%E +0.704%K +1.63%G +0.020%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV -10.37%E -4.92%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-02 20:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV +1.24%E +0.704%K +1.63%G +0.020%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV -10.37%E -4.92%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-02 20:40
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV +0.664%E +0.380%K +0.886%G +0.006%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -10.80%E -5.14%K -9.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 20:39
Pinnacle🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV +0.089%E +0.051%K +0.121%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -5.70%E -2.57%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-02 20:40
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -1.06%E -0.617%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -10.80%E -5.14%K -9.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 20:20
BetAnything🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -1.64%E -0.957%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -10.80%E -5.14%K -9.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-02 20:40
DraftKings🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.61%EV -2.21%E -1.30%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.39%EV -9.52%E -4.47%K -8.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 20:40
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -2.79%E -1.65%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-02 20:39
Coolbet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -3.36%E -2.00%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -2.30%E -1.00%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-02 20:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-01 17:05
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 19:50
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 20:05
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 20:20
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 20:20
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 19:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 19:50
betano_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 20:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 20:20
FanDuel🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -4.51%E -2.72%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -4.00%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-02 20:20
SportsBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.51%E -2.72%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.28%E -2.37%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 20:20
Casumo🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.51%E -2.72%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.28%E -2.37%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 17:05
TABtouch🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.51%E -2.72%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.28%E -2.37%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 17:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.51%E -2.72%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.28%E -2.37%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 17:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.51%E -2.72%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.28%E -2.37%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 17:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.51%E -2.72%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.28%E -2.37%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 17:05
Grosvenor🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.51%E -2.72%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.28%E -2.37%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 17:05
BetRivers🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.51%E -2.72%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.28%E -2.37%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 17:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.51%E -2.72%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.28%E -2.37%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 17:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.51%E -2.72%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.28%E -2.37%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 17:05
Unibet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.51%E -2.72%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.28%E -2.37%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 17:05
Bally Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.51%E -2.72%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.28%E -2.37%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 17:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.51%E -2.72%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.28%E -2.37%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 17:05
betPARX🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.51%E -2.72%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.28%E -2.37%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 17:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.51%E -2.72%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.28%E -2.37%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 17:05
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.09%E -3.08%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.30%E -1.00%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-02 10:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.09%E -3.08%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 19:15
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.09%E -3.08%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 19:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.09%E -3.08%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 19:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.09%E -3.08%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-02 19:45
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -5.09%E -3.08%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -7.40%E -3.39%K -6.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-02 20:40
NetBet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -5.09%E -3.08%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -7.82%E -3.61%K -6.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 19:50
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.09%E -3.08%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.67%E -4.03%K -7.54%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 19:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.09%E -3.08%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.67%E -4.03%K -7.54%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 19:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.66%E -3.45%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 20:25
1xBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -6.24%E -3.83%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -1.03%E -0.441%K -0.773%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-01 06:25
NordicBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.66%EV -6.24%E -3.83%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.34%EV -5.70%E -2.57%K -4.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 19:00
Betsson🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.66%EV -6.24%E -3.83%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.34%EV -5.70%E -2.57%K -4.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 19:00
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.81%E -4.21%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.30%E -1.00%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 11:55
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.81%E -4.21%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 18:55
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.81%E -4.21%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 09:02
Fliff🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.81%E -4.21%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-02 19:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -6.81%E -4.21%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.74%EV -7.82%E -3.61%K -6.69%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-01 17:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -7.39%E -4.59%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -2.30%E -1.00%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 06:22
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -7.39%E -4.59%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -2.30%E -1.00%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 11:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -7.39%E -4.59%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -2.30%E -1.00%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 11:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -7.39%E -4.59%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -2.30%E -1.00%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 11:55
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.96%E -4.98%K -13.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.30%E -1.00%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 20:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -7.96%E -4.98%K -13.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.67%E -4.03%K -7.54%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-02 19:13
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00%2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00%0.2%2026-09-02 20:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00%2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00%0.2%2026-09-02 20:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00%2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00%0.2%2026-09-02 20:40
Matchbook◎1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00%2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00%0.2%2026-09-02 20:40
ProphetX◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-09-02 20:40
Smarkets◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%0.9%2026-09-02 20:40
Kalshi◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-09-02 20:40
Novig◎1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%2.2%2026-09-02 20:40