預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Daniil Medvedev v Sebastian Gorzny

開賽時間: 2026-09-02 15:04 UTC

最終賽果: Daniil Medvedev 3–0 Sebastian Gorzny

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

62 家博彩公司 (20 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Daniil Medvedev (主隊)

預測 92.45%1.08公平賠率
EV -2.93%
優勢 -2.79%
Kelly -58.53%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.05

博彩公司預測分布
89.64%92.54%92.42%94.77%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.011.031.031.0599.01%96.97%97.09%95.24%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Sebastian Gorzny (客隊)

預測 7.55%13.25公平賠率
EV +39.65%
優勢 +2.14%
Kelly +2.27%
成長率 +0.899%

假設最高賠率為 18.50

博彩公司預測分布
5.23%7.46%7.58%10.36%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
9.0012.3712.0018.5011.11%8.08%8.33%5.41%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Daniil Medvedev (主隊):92.45%;Sebastian Gorzny (客隊):7.55%。 對於「Sebastian Gorzny (客隊)」,該估計相當於13.25的公平十進位賠率。 當時有15家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為18.50,對應+39.65%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (62 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊 ▼利潤率更新時間
1xBet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.77%EV -5.70%E -5.59%K -284.99%G +0.000%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.23%EV +39.65%E +2.14%K +2.27%G +0.899%3.4%2026-09-02 14:51
BoyleSports🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -4.78%E -4.64%K -159.18%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +28.33%E +1.67%K +1.77%G +0.502%3.0%2026-09-01 21:45
Sky Bet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -4.78%E -4.64%K -159.18%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +28.33%E +1.67%K +1.77%G +0.502%3.0%2026-09-01 06:15
SportsBet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.70%E -5.59%K -284.99%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +13.23%E +0.882%K +0.945%G +0.125%4.7%2026-09-01 15:05
FanDuel🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.70%E -5.59%K -284.99%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +13.23%E +0.882%K +0.945%G +0.125%4.7%2026-09-01 06:14
Paddy Power🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.70%E -5.59%K -284.99%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +13.23%E +0.882%K +0.945%G +0.125%4.7%2026-09-01 17:30
Caesars🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -6.62%E -6.56%K -662.44%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +13.23%E +0.882%K +0.945%G +0.125%5.7%2026-09-01 09:13
Winamax (FR)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.37%EV -4.78%E -4.64%K -159.18%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.63%EV +9.46%E +0.652%K +0.701%G +0.066%4.0%2026-09-02 14:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.37%EV -4.78%E -4.64%K -159.18%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.63%EV +9.46%E +0.652%K +0.701%G +0.066%4.0%2026-09-02 14:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.78%E -4.64%K -159.18%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV +5.68%E +0.406%K +0.437%G +0.025%4.2%2026-09-02 14:04
NetBet (FR)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -6.62%E -6.56%K -662.44%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV +5.68%E +0.406%K +0.437%G +0.025%6.2%2026-09-01 11:59
ReBet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.91%EV -4.78%E -4.64%K -159.18%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.09%EV +1.91%E +0.142%K +0.153%G +0.003%4.5%2026-09-02 14:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.91%EV -4.78%E -4.64%K -159.18%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.09%EV +1.91%E +0.142%K +0.153%G +0.003%4.5%2026-09-02 10:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.91%EV -4.78%E -4.64%K -159.18%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.09%EV +1.91%E +0.142%K +0.153%G +0.003%4.5%2026-09-02 10:40
Pinnacle🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 92.68%EV -2.93%E -2.79%K -58.53%G +0.000%13.30I 7.52%NM 7.32%EV +0.401%E +0.030%K +0.033%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-02 14:35
DraftKings🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.83%EV -5.70%E -5.59%K -284.99%G +0.000%13.20I 7.58%NM 7.17%EV -0.354%E -0.027%K -0.029%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 13:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -3.85%E -3.70%K -96.27%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -1.86%E -0.143%K -0.155%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-01 09:30
Coral🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -3.85%E -3.70%K -96.27%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -1.86%E -0.143%K -0.155%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-01 09:30
Bovada🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.78%E -4.64%K -159.18%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -1.86%E -0.143%K -0.155%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 06:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.70%E -5.59%K -284.99%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -1.86%E -0.143%K -0.155%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 06:35
Fliff🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.69%EV -6.62%E -6.56%K -662.44%G +0.000%12.80I 7.81%NM 7.31%EV -3.37%E -0.264%K -0.286%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-02 14:50
GTbets🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.52%EV -5.70%E -5.59%K -284.99%G +0.000%12.61I 7.93%NM 7.48%EV -4.81%E -0.381%K -0.414%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 13:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -4.78%E -4.64%K -159.18%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -5.64%E -0.451%K -0.490%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 14:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -5.70%E -5.59%K -284.99%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -5.64%E -0.451%K -0.490%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 14:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -5.70%E -5.59%K -284.99%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -5.64%E -0.451%K -0.490%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 09:30
Neds🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -5.70%E -5.59%K -284.99%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -5.64%E -0.451%K -0.490%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 09:30
BetAnything🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.36%EV -4.78%E -4.64%K -159.18%G +0.000%12.45I 8.03%NM 7.64%EV -6.02%E -0.483%K -0.525%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 10:40
theScore Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -3.85%E -3.70%K -96.27%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -9.41%E -0.784%K -0.856%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-02 07:50
Betway🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.78%E -4.64%K -159.18%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.41%E -0.784%K -0.856%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 09:20
Betsson🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.78%E -4.64%K -159.18%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.41%E -0.784%K -0.856%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 12:50
NordicBet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.78%E -4.64%K -159.18%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.41%E -0.784%K -0.856%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 12:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.78%E -4.64%K -159.18%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.41%E -0.784%K -0.856%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 05:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.70%E -5.59%K -284.99%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -9.41%E -0.784%K -0.856%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 14:49
Tipico (DE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.70%E -5.59%K -284.99%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -9.41%E -0.784%K -0.856%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 10:15
Fanatics🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -4.78%E -4.64%K -159.18%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -13.19%E -1.15%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 14:46
Betr (AU)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.61%EV -4.78%E -4.64%K -159.18%G +0.000%11.25I 8.89%NM 8.39%EV -15.07%E -1.34%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 06:35
PlayUp🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -2.93%E -2.79%K -58.53%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -16.96%E -1.54%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 12:40
888sport🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.85%E -3.70%K -96.27%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.96%E -1.54%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 06:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.85%E -3.70%K -96.27%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.96%E -1.54%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 06:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.85%E -3.70%K -96.27%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.96%E -1.54%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 06:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.85%E -3.70%K -96.27%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.96%E -1.54%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 12:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.85%E -3.70%K -96.27%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.96%E -1.54%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 12:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.85%E -3.70%K -96.27%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.96%E -1.54%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 12:45
Unibet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.85%E -3.70%K -96.27%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.96%E -1.54%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 12:45
BetRivers🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.85%E -3.70%K -96.27%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.96%E -1.54%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 12:45
Casumo🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.85%E -3.70%K -96.27%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.96%E -1.54%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 12:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.85%E -3.70%K -96.27%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.96%E -1.54%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 12:45
Grosvenor🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.85%E -3.70%K -96.27%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.96%E -1.54%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 12:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.85%E -3.70%K -96.27%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.96%E -1.54%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 12:45
TABtouch🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.85%E -3.70%K -96.27%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.96%E -1.54%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 12:45
betPARX🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.85%E -3.70%K -96.27%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.96%E -1.54%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 12:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.85%E -3.70%K -96.27%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.96%E -1.54%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 12:45
Bally Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.85%E -3.70%K -96.27%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.96%E -1.54%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 12:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.85%E -3.70%K -96.27%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.96%E -1.54%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 12:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.85%E -3.70%K -96.27%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.96%E -1.54%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 12:45
betano_uk🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.85%E -3.70%K -96.27%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.96%E -1.54%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 14:08
William Hill🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.85%E -3.70%K -96.27%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.96%E -1.54%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 06:35
betfred_uk🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.78%E -4.64%K -159.18%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -16.96%E -1.54%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 06:40
LeoVegas🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.78%E -4.64%K -159.18%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -16.96%E -1.54%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 14:55
BetMGM🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.78%E -4.64%K -159.18%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -16.96%E -1.54%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 09:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -6.62%E -6.56%K -662.44%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -16.96%E -1.54%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-01 09:30
TAB🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -3.85%E -3.70%K -96.27%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -32.06%E -3.56%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-02 12:42
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (8)

博彩公司主隊客隊利潤率 ▲更新時間
Novig◎1.08I 92.59%NM 92.51%13.33I 7.50%NM 7.49%0.1%2026-09-02 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60%1.0%2026-09-02 14:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60%1.0%2026-09-02 14:51
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60%1.0%2026-09-02 14:51
Matchbook◎1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60%1.0%2026-09-02 14:50
Smarkets◎1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40%14.99I 6.67%NM 6.60%1.0%2026-09-02 14:55
Kalshi◎1.06I 94.34%NM 93.09%14.29I 7.00%NM 6.91%1.3%2026-09-02 14:31
ProphetX◎1.06I 94.34%NM 92.96%14.00I 7.14%NM 7.04%1.5%2026-09-02 14:40