Langue:Français
Daniil Medvedev v Sebastian Gorzny
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Daniil Medvedev (Local)
Prévision 92.45%1.08cote équitable
EV -2.93%
Avantage -2.79%
Kelly -58.53%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.05
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
89.64%92.54%92.42%94.77%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.011.031.031.0599.01%96.97%97.09%95.24%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Sebastian Gorzny (Visiteur)
Prévision 7.55%13.25cote équitable
EV +39.65%
Avantage +2.14%
Kelly +2.27%
Croissance +0.899%
avec la cote maximale 18.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
5.23%7.46%7.58%10.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
9.0012.3712.0018.5011.11%8.08%8.33%5.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Daniil Medvedev (Local) : 92.45% ; Sebastian Gorzny (Visiteur) : 7.55%. Pour Sebastian Gorzny (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 13.25. 15 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 18.50, soit une espérance positive de +39.65%.
Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.77%EV -5.70%E -5.59%K -284.99%G +0.000% | 18.50I 5.41%NM 5.23%EV +39.65%E +2.14%K +2.27%G +0.899% | 3.4% | 2026-09-02 14:51 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -4.78%E -4.64%K -159.18%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +28.33%E +1.67%K +1.77%G +0.502% | 3.0% | 2026-09-01 21:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -4.78%E -4.64%K -159.18%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +28.33%E +1.67%K +1.77%G +0.502% | 3.0% | 2026-09-01 06:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.70%E -5.59%K -284.99%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +13.23%E +0.882%K +0.945%G +0.125% | 4.7% | 2026-09-01 15:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.70%E -5.59%K -284.99%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +13.23%E +0.882%K +0.945%G +0.125% | 4.7% | 2026-09-01 06:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.70%E -5.59%K -284.99%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +13.23%E +0.882%K +0.945%G +0.125% | 4.7% | 2026-09-01 17:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -6.62%E -6.56%K -662.44%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +13.23%E +0.882%K +0.945%G +0.125% | 5.7% | 2026-09-01 09:13 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.37%EV -4.78%E -4.64%K -159.18%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.63%EV +9.46%E +0.652%K +0.701%G +0.066% | 4.0% | 2026-09-02 14:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.37%EV -4.78%E -4.64%K -159.18%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.63%EV +9.46%E +0.652%K +0.701%G +0.066% | 4.0% | 2026-09-02 14:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.78%E -4.64%K -159.18%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV +5.68%E +0.406%K +0.437%G +0.025% | 4.2% | 2026-09-02 14:04 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -6.62%E -6.56%K -662.44%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV +5.68%E +0.406%K +0.437%G +0.025% | 6.2% | 2026-09-01 11:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.91%EV -4.78%E -4.64%K -159.18%G +0.000% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.09%EV +1.91%E +0.142%K +0.153%G +0.003% | 4.5% | 2026-09-02 14:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.91%EV -4.78%E -4.64%K -159.18%G +0.000% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.09%EV +1.91%E +0.142%K +0.153%G +0.003% | 4.5% | 2026-09-02 10:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.91%EV -4.78%E -4.64%K -159.18%G +0.000% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.09%EV +1.91%E +0.142%K +0.153%G +0.003% | 4.5% | 2026-09-02 10:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.68%EV -2.93%E -2.79%K -58.53%G +0.000% | 13.30I 7.52%NM 7.32%EV +0.401%E +0.030%K +0.033%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-02 14:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.83%EV -5.70%E -5.59%K -284.99%G +0.000% | 13.20I 7.58%NM 7.17%EV -0.354%E -0.027%K -0.029%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 13:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -3.85%E -3.70%K -96.27%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -1.86%E -0.143%K -0.155%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-01 09:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -3.85%E -3.70%K -96.27%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -1.86%E -0.143%K -0.155%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-01 09:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.78%E -4.64%K -159.18%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -1.86%E -0.143%K -0.155%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 06:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.70%E -5.59%K -284.99%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -1.86%E -0.143%K -0.155%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 06:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.69%EV -6.62%E -6.56%K -662.44%G +0.000% | 12.80I 7.81%NM 7.31%EV -3.37%E -0.264%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-02 14:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.52%EV -5.70%E -5.59%K -284.99%G +0.000% | 12.61I 7.93%NM 7.48%EV -4.81%E -0.381%K -0.414%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 13:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -4.78%E -4.64%K -159.18%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -5.64%E -0.451%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 14:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -5.70%E -5.59%K -284.99%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -5.64%E -0.451%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -5.70%E -5.59%K -284.99%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -5.64%E -0.451%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 09:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -5.70%E -5.59%K -284.99%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -5.64%E -0.451%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 09:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.36%EV -4.78%E -4.64%K -159.18%G +0.000% | 12.45I 8.03%NM 7.64%EV -6.02%E -0.483%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 10:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -3.85%E -3.70%K -96.27%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -9.41%E -0.784%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-02 07:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.78%E -4.64%K -159.18%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.41%E -0.784%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 09:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.78%E -4.64%K -159.18%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.41%E -0.784%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 12:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.78%E -4.64%K -159.18%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.41%E -0.784%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 12:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.78%E -4.64%K -159.18%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.41%E -0.784%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 05:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.70%E -5.59%K -284.99%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -9.41%E -0.784%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 14:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.70%E -5.59%K -284.99%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -9.41%E -0.784%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 10:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -4.78%E -4.64%K -159.18%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -13.19%E -1.15%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 14:46 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.61%EV -4.78%E -4.64%K -159.18%G +0.000% | 11.25I 8.89%NM 8.39%EV -15.07%E -1.34%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 06:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -2.93%E -2.79%K -58.53%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -16.96%E -1.54%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-02 12:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.85%E -3.70%K -96.27%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.96%E -1.54%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 06:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.85%E -3.70%K -96.27%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.96%E -1.54%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 06:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.85%E -3.70%K -96.27%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.96%E -1.54%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 06:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.85%E -3.70%K -96.27%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.96%E -1.54%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 12:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.85%E -3.70%K -96.27%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.96%E -1.54%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 12:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.85%E -3.70%K -96.27%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.96%E -1.54%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 12:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.85%E -3.70%K -96.27%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.96%E -1.54%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 12:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.85%E -3.70%K -96.27%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.96%E -1.54%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 12:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.85%E -3.70%K -96.27%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.96%E -1.54%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 12:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.85%E -3.70%K -96.27%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.96%E -1.54%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 12:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.85%E -3.70%K -96.27%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.96%E -1.54%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 12:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.85%E -3.70%K -96.27%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.96%E -1.54%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 12:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.85%E -3.70%K -96.27%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.96%E -1.54%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 12:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.85%E -3.70%K -96.27%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.96%E -1.54%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 12:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.85%E -3.70%K -96.27%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.96%E -1.54%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 12:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.85%E -3.70%K -96.27%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.96%E -1.54%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 12:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.85%E -3.70%K -96.27%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.96%E -1.54%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 12:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.85%E -3.70%K -96.27%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.96%E -1.54%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 12:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.85%E -3.70%K -96.27%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.96%E -1.54%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 14:08 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.85%E -3.70%K -96.27%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.96%E -1.54%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 06:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.78%E -4.64%K -159.18%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -16.96%E -1.54%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 06:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.78%E -4.64%K -159.18%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -16.96%E -1.54%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.78%E -4.64%K -159.18%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -16.96%E -1.54%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-01 09:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -6.62%E -6.56%K -662.44%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -16.96%E -1.54%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-01 09:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -3.85%E -3.70%K -96.27%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -32.06%E -3.56%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-02 12:42 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (8)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 92.51% | 13.33I 7.50%NM 7.49% | 0.1% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60% | 1.0% | 2026-09-02 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60% | 1.0% | 2026-09-02 14:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60% | 1.0% | 2026-09-02 14:51 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60% | 1.0% | 2026-09-02 14:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40% | 14.99I 6.67%NM 6.60% | 1.0% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.09% | 14.29I 7.00%NM 6.91% | 1.3% | 2026-09-02 14:31 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 92.96% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.04% | 1.5% | 2026-09-02 14:40 |