语言:简体中文
Daniil Medvedev v Sebastian Gorzny
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Daniil Medvedev (主队)
预测 92.45%1.08公平赔率
EV -2.93%
优势 -2.79%
Kelly -58.53%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.05
博彩公司预测分布
89.64%92.54%92.42%94.77%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.011.031.031.0599.01%96.97%97.09%95.24%最小值均值中位数最大值
Sebastian Gorzny (客队)
预测 7.55%13.25公平赔率
EV +39.65%
优势 +2.14%
Kelly +2.27%
增长率 +0.899%
假设最高赔率为 18.50
博彩公司预测分布
5.23%7.46%7.58%10.36%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
9.0012.3712.0018.5011.11%8.08%8.33%5.41%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Daniil Medvedev (主队)：92.45%；Sebastian Gorzny (客队)：7.55%。 对于“Sebastian Gorzny (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为13.25。 当时有15家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为18.50，对应+39.65%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (62 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.77%EV -5.70%E -5.59%K -284.99%G +0.000% | 18.50I 5.41%NM 5.23%EV +39.65%E +2.14%K +2.27%G +0.899% | 3.4% | 2026-09-02 14:51 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -4.78%E -4.64%K -159.18%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +28.33%E +1.67%K +1.77%G +0.502% | 3.0% | 2026-09-01 21:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -4.78%E -4.64%K -159.18%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +28.33%E +1.67%K +1.77%G +0.502% | 3.0% | 2026-09-01 06:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.70%E -5.59%K -284.99%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +13.23%E +0.882%K +0.945%G +0.125% | 4.7% | 2026-09-01 15:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.70%E -5.59%K -284.99%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +13.23%E +0.882%K +0.945%G +0.125% | 4.7% | 2026-09-01 06:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.70%E -5.59%K -284.99%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +13.23%E +0.882%K +0.945%G +0.125% | 4.7% | 2026-09-01 17:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -6.62%E -6.56%K -662.44%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +13.23%E +0.882%K +0.945%G +0.125% | 5.7% | 2026-09-01 09:13 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.37%EV -4.78%E -4.64%K -159.18%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.63%EV +9.46%E +0.652%K +0.701%G +0.066% | 4.0% | 2026-09-02 14:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.37%EV -4.78%E -4.64%K -159.18%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.63%EV +9.46%E +0.652%K +0.701%G +0.066% | 4.0% | 2026-09-02 14:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.78%E -4.64%K -159.18%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV +5.68%E +0.406%K +0.437%G +0.025% | 4.2% | 2026-09-02 14:04 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -6.62%E -6.56%K -662.44%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV +5.68%E +0.406%K +0.437%G +0.025% | 6.2% | 2026-09-01 11:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.91%EV -4.78%E -4.64%K -159.18%G +0.000% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.09%EV +1.91%E +0.142%K +0.153%G +0.003% | 4.5% | 2026-09-02 14:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.91%EV -4.78%E -4.64%K -159.18%G +0.000% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.09%EV +1.91%E +0.142%K +0.153%G +0.003% | 4.5% | 2026-09-02 10:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.91%EV -4.78%E -4.64%K -159.18%G +0.000% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.09%EV +1.91%E +0.142%K +0.153%G +0.003% | 4.5% | 2026-09-02 10:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.68%EV -2.93%E -2.79%K -58.53%G +0.000% | 13.30I 7.52%NM 7.32%EV +0.401%E +0.030%K +0.033%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-02 14:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.83%EV -5.70%E -5.59%K -284.99%G +0.000% | 13.20I 7.58%NM 7.17%EV -0.354%E -0.027%K -0.029%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 13:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -3.85%E -3.70%K -96.27%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -1.86%E -0.143%K -0.155%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-01 09:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -3.85%E -3.70%K -96.27%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -1.86%E -0.143%K -0.155%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-01 09:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.78%E -4.64%K -159.18%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -1.86%E -0.143%K -0.155%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 06:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.70%E -5.59%K -284.99%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -1.86%E -0.143%K -0.155%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 06:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.69%EV -6.62%E -6.56%K -662.44%G +0.000% | 12.80I 7.81%NM 7.31%EV -3.37%E -0.264%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-02 14:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.52%EV -5.70%E -5.59%K -284.99%G +0.000% | 12.61I 7.93%NM 7.48%EV -4.81%E -0.381%K -0.414%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 13:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -4.78%E -4.64%K -159.18%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -5.64%E -0.451%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 14:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -5.70%E -5.59%K -284.99%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -5.64%E -0.451%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -5.70%E -5.59%K -284.99%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -5.64%E -0.451%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 09:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -5.70%E -5.59%K -284.99%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -5.64%E -0.451%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 09:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.36%EV -4.78%E -4.64%K -159.18%G +0.000% | 12.45I 8.03%NM 7.64%EV -6.02%E -0.483%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 10:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -3.85%E -3.70%K -96.27%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -9.41%E -0.784%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-02 07:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.78%E -4.64%K -159.18%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.41%E -0.784%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 09:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.78%E -4.64%K -159.18%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.41%E -0.784%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 12:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.78%E -4.64%K -159.18%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.41%E -0.784%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 12:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.78%E -4.64%K -159.18%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.41%E -0.784%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 05:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.70%E -5.59%K -284.99%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -9.41%E -0.784%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 14:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.70%E -5.59%K -284.99%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -9.41%E -0.784%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 10:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -4.78%E -4.64%K -159.18%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -13.19%E -1.15%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 14:46 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.61%EV -4.78%E -4.64%K -159.18%G +0.000% | 11.25I 8.89%NM 8.39%EV -15.07%E -1.34%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 06:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -2.93%E -2.79%K -58.53%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -16.96%E -1.54%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-02 12:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.85%E -3.70%K -96.27%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.96%E -1.54%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 06:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.85%E -3.70%K -96.27%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.96%E -1.54%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 06:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.85%E -3.70%K -96.27%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.96%E -1.54%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 06:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.85%E -3.70%K -96.27%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.96%E -1.54%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 12:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.85%E -3.70%K -96.27%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.96%E -1.54%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 12:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.85%E -3.70%K -96.27%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.96%E -1.54%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 12:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.85%E -3.70%K -96.27%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.96%E -1.54%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 12:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.85%E -3.70%K -96.27%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.96%E -1.54%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 12:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.85%E -3.70%K -96.27%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.96%E -1.54%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 12:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.85%E -3.70%K -96.27%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.96%E -1.54%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 12:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.85%E -3.70%K -96.27%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.96%E -1.54%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 12:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.85%E -3.70%K -96.27%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.96%E -1.54%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 12:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.85%E -3.70%K -96.27%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.96%E -1.54%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 12:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.85%E -3.70%K -96.27%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.96%E -1.54%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 12:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.85%E -3.70%K -96.27%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.96%E -1.54%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 12:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.85%E -3.70%K -96.27%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.96%E -1.54%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 12:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.85%E -3.70%K -96.27%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.96%E -1.54%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 12:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.85%E -3.70%K -96.27%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.96%E -1.54%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 12:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.85%E -3.70%K -96.27%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.96%E -1.54%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 14:08 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.85%E -3.70%K -96.27%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.96%E -1.54%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 06:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.78%E -4.64%K -159.18%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -16.96%E -1.54%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 06:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.78%E -4.64%K -159.18%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -16.96%E -1.54%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.78%E -4.64%K -159.18%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -16.96%E -1.54%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-01 09:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -6.62%E -6.56%K -662.44%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -16.96%E -1.54%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-01 09:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -3.85%E -3.70%K -96.27%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -32.06%E -3.56%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-02 12:42 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (8)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 92.51% | 13.33I 7.50%NM 7.49% | 0.1% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60% | 1.0% | 2026-09-02 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60% | 1.0% | 2026-09-02 14:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60% | 1.0% | 2026-09-02 14:51 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60% | 1.0% | 2026-09-02 14:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40% | 14.99I 6.67%NM 6.60% | 1.0% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.09% | 14.29I 7.00%NM 6.91% | 1.3% | 2026-09-02 14:31 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 92.96% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.04% | 1.5% | 2026-09-02 14:40 |