Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bu Yunchaokete v Michael Zheng

Kickoff: 2026-09-03 23:28 UTC

Final: Bu Yunchaokete 1–3 Michael Zheng

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bu Yunchaokete (Local)

Prediction 37.55%2.66fair odd
EV -0.482%
Edge -0.182%
Kelly -0.292%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.41%37.59%37.53%39.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.412.532.532.6541.49%39.57%39.53%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Michael Zheng (Visit)

Prediction 62.45%1.60fair odd
EV -2.58%
Edge -1.66%
Kelly -4.61%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.71%62.41%62.47%63.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.471.521.521.5668.03%65.83%65.79%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bu Yunchaokete (Local): 37.55%; Michael Zheng (Visit): 62.45%. For Bu Yunchaokete (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.66. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.65, with an expected value of -0.482%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%EV -0.482%E -0.182%K -0.292%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.25%EV -3.83%E -2.49%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-03 23:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%EV -0.482%E -0.182%K -0.292%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.25%EV -3.83%E -2.49%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-03 23:20
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -1.61%E -0.614%K -0.993%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -6.33%E -4.22%K -12.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 22:20
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -2.36%E -0.908%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -3.21%E -2.07%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-03 17:25
Pinnacle🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 37.59%EV -2.74%E -1.06%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.41%EV -2.58%E -1.66%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-03 23:15
1xBet🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -3.11%E -1.21%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.46%E -2.91%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-03 23:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.24%E -1.66%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.83%E -2.49%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-03 22:40
ReBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.24%E -1.66%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.83%E -2.49%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-03 20:15
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.24%E -1.66%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.83%E -2.49%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-03 23:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.24%E -1.66%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.83%E -2.49%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-03 18:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.24%E -1.66%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.83%E -2.49%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-03 18:45
BetAnything🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.24%E -1.66%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.83%E -2.49%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-03 23:05
FanDuel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.24%E -1.66%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.46%E -2.91%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-03 21:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.24%E -1.66%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.33%E -4.22%K -12.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 22:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.24%E -1.66%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.33%E -4.22%K -12.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 10:15
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.24%E -1.66%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.33%E -4.22%K -12.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 17:25
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.24%E -1.66%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.33%E -4.22%K -12.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 17:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.24%E -1.66%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.33%E -4.22%K -12.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 17:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.24%E -1.66%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.33%E -4.22%K -12.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 17:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.24%E -1.66%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.33%E -4.22%K -12.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 17:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.24%E -1.66%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.33%E -4.22%K -12.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 17:25
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.24%E -1.66%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.33%E -4.22%K -12.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 17:25
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.24%E -1.66%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.33%E -4.22%K -12.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 17:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.24%E -1.66%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.33%E -4.22%K -12.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 17:25
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.24%E -1.66%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.33%E -4.22%K -12.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 17:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.24%E -1.66%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.33%E -4.22%K -12.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 17:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.24%E -1.66%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.33%E -4.22%K -12.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 17:25
Bally Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.24%E -1.66%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.33%E -4.22%K -12.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 17:25
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.24%E -1.66%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.33%E -4.22%K -12.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 17:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.28%EV -4.61%E -1.82%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.72%EV -5.71%E -3.78%K -11.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 23:15
BetMGM🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -4.61%E -1.82%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -6.33%E -4.22%K -12.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 18:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -4.99%E -1.97%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -5.08%E -3.34%K -9.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 18:45
SportsBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -5.36%E -2.13%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -4.46%E -2.91%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 21:29
MyBookie.ag🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -5.36%E -2.13%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -4.46%E -2.91%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 18:44
BetUS🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -6.12%E -2.45%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.58%E -1.66%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-03 15:45
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.12%E -2.45%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.21%E -2.07%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-03 22:49
Unibet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.12%E -2.45%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.83%E -2.49%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-03 11:55
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.12%E -2.45%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.46%E -2.91%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 17:15
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.12%E -2.45%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.46%E -2.91%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 05:24
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.12%E -2.45%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.46%E -2.91%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 17:15
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.12%E -2.45%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.46%E -2.91%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 18:45
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.12%E -2.45%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.46%E -2.91%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 17:15
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.12%E -2.45%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.46%E -2.91%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 21:30
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.12%E -2.45%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.46%E -2.91%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 21:29
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.12%E -2.45%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.46%E -2.91%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 17:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.12%E -2.45%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.46%E -2.91%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 17:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.12%E -2.45%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.46%E -2.91%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 19:55
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.12%E -2.45%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.08%E -3.34%K -9.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 23:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.12%E -2.45%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.08%E -3.34%K -9.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 18:40
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.12%E -2.45%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.08%E -3.34%K -9.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 18:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -6.12%E -2.45%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.71%E -3.78%K -11.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 18:45
betano_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.12%E -2.45%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.33%E -4.22%K -12.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 21:48
Fliff🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.12%E -2.45%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.33%E -4.22%K -12.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 23:02
Caesars🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.12%E -2.45%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.33%E -4.22%K -12.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 11:23
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -6.12%E -2.45%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.58%E -5.12%K -15.79%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-03 18:40
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -6.12%E -2.45%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.58%E -5.12%K -15.79%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-03 18:40
PMU (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -6.12%E -2.45%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -8.20%E -5.58%K -17.46%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-03 21:35
NordicBet🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 38.10%EV -7.24%E -2.93%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.90%EV -5.08%E -3.34%K -9.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 18:45
Betsson🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 38.10%EV -7.24%E -2.93%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.90%EV -5.08%E -3.34%K -9.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 18:45
NetBet (FR)🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 37.94%EV -7.24%E -2.93%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.06%EV -5.71%E -3.78%K -11.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 23:05
Fanatics🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.99%E -3.26%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.46%E -2.91%K -8.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 23:20
TAB🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.99%E -3.26%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.46%E -2.91%K -8.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 19:40
DraftKings🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 39.29%EV -9.49%E -3.94%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.71%EV -2.58%E -1.66%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 08:21
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig2.63I 38.02%NM 37.83%1.60I 62.50%NM 62.17%0.5%2026-09-03 23:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74%0.9%2026-09-03 23:26
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74%0.9%2026-09-03 23:26
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74%0.9%2026-09-03 23:25
Matchbook2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74%0.9%2026-09-03 23:26
Kalshi2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%0.9%2026-09-03 15:35
Smarkets2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%1.1%2026-09-03 23:10
ProphetX2.64I 37.88%NM 37.44%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.56%1.2%2026-09-03 23:26