Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Bu Yunchaokete v Michael Zheng

Início: 2026-09-03 23:28 UTC

Final: Bu Yunchaokete 1–3 Michael Zheng

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Bu Yunchaokete (Local)

Previsão 37.55%2.66odd justa
EV -0.482%
Vantagem -0.182%
Kelly -0.292%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.65

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.41%37.59%37.53%39.29%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.412.532.532.6541.49%39.57%39.53%37.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Michael Zheng (Visitante)

Previsão 62.45%1.60odd justa
EV -2.58%
Vantagem -1.66%
Kelly -4.61%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.56

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
60.71%62.41%62.47%63.59%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.471.521.521.5668.03%65.83%65.79%64.10%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Bu Yunchaokete (Local): 37.55%; Michael Zheng (Visitante): 62.45%. Para Bu Yunchaokete (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.66. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.65, com valor esperado de -0.482%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
BetOnline.ag🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%EV -0.482%E -0.182%K -0.292%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.25%EV -3.83%E -2.49%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-03 23:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%EV -0.482%E -0.182%K -0.292%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.25%EV -3.83%E -2.49%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-03 23:20
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -1.61%E -0.614%K -0.993%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -6.33%E -4.22%K -12.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 22:20
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -2.36%E -0.908%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -3.21%E -2.07%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-03 17:25
Pinnacle🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 37.59%EV -2.74%E -1.06%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.41%EV -2.58%E -1.66%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-03 23:15
1xBet🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -3.11%E -1.21%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.46%E -2.91%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-03 23:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.24%E -1.66%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.83%E -2.49%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-03 22:40
ReBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.24%E -1.66%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.83%E -2.49%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-03 20:15
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.24%E -1.66%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.83%E -2.49%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-03 23:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.24%E -1.66%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.83%E -2.49%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-03 18:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.24%E -1.66%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.83%E -2.49%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-03 18:45
BetAnything🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.24%E -1.66%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.83%E -2.49%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-03 23:05
FanDuel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.24%E -1.66%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.46%E -2.91%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-03 21:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.24%E -1.66%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.33%E -4.22%K -12.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 22:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.24%E -1.66%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.33%E -4.22%K -12.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 10:15
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.24%E -1.66%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.33%E -4.22%K -12.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 17:25
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.24%E -1.66%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.33%E -4.22%K -12.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 17:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.24%E -1.66%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.33%E -4.22%K -12.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 17:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.24%E -1.66%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.33%E -4.22%K -12.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 17:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.24%E -1.66%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.33%E -4.22%K -12.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 17:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.24%E -1.66%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.33%E -4.22%K -12.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 17:25
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.24%E -1.66%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.33%E -4.22%K -12.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 17:25
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.24%E -1.66%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.33%E -4.22%K -12.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 17:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.24%E -1.66%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.33%E -4.22%K -12.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 17:25
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.24%E -1.66%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.33%E -4.22%K -12.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 17:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.24%E -1.66%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.33%E -4.22%K -12.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 17:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.24%E -1.66%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.33%E -4.22%K -12.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 17:25
Bally Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.24%E -1.66%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.33%E -4.22%K -12.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 17:25
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.24%E -1.66%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.33%E -4.22%K -12.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 17:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.28%EV -4.61%E -1.82%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.72%EV -5.71%E -3.78%K -11.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 23:15
BetMGM🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -4.61%E -1.82%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -6.33%E -4.22%K -12.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 18:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -4.99%E -1.97%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -5.08%E -3.34%K -9.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 18:45
SportsBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -5.36%E -2.13%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -4.46%E -2.91%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 21:29
MyBookie.ag🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -5.36%E -2.13%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -4.46%E -2.91%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 18:44
BetUS🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -6.12%E -2.45%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.58%E -1.66%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-03 15:45
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.12%E -2.45%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.21%E -2.07%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-03 22:49
Unibet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.12%E -2.45%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.83%E -2.49%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-03 11:55
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.12%E -2.45%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.46%E -2.91%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 17:15
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.12%E -2.45%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.46%E -2.91%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 05:24
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.12%E -2.45%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.46%E -2.91%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 17:15
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.12%E -2.45%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.46%E -2.91%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 18:45
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.12%E -2.45%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.46%E -2.91%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 17:15
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.12%E -2.45%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.46%E -2.91%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 21:30
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.12%E -2.45%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.46%E -2.91%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 21:29
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.12%E -2.45%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.46%E -2.91%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 17:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.12%E -2.45%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.46%E -2.91%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 17:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.12%E -2.45%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.46%E -2.91%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 19:55
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.12%E -2.45%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.08%E -3.34%K -9.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 23:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.12%E -2.45%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.08%E -3.34%K -9.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 18:40
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.12%E -2.45%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.08%E -3.34%K -9.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 18:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -6.12%E -2.45%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.71%E -3.78%K -11.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 18:45
betano_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.12%E -2.45%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.33%E -4.22%K -12.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 21:48
Fliff🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.12%E -2.45%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.33%E -4.22%K -12.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 23:02
Caesars🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.12%E -2.45%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.33%E -4.22%K -12.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 11:23
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -6.12%E -2.45%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.58%E -5.12%K -15.79%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-03 18:40
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -6.12%E -2.45%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.58%E -5.12%K -15.79%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-03 18:40
PMU (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -6.12%E -2.45%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -8.20%E -5.58%K -17.46%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-03 21:35
NordicBet🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 38.10%EV -7.24%E -2.93%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.90%EV -5.08%E -3.34%K -9.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 18:45
Betsson🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 38.10%EV -7.24%E -2.93%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.90%EV -5.08%E -3.34%K -9.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 18:45
NetBet (FR)🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 37.94%EV -7.24%E -2.93%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.06%EV -5.71%E -3.78%K -11.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 23:05
Fanatics🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.99%E -3.26%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.46%E -2.91%K -8.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 23:20
TAB🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.99%E -3.26%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.46%E -2.91%K -8.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 19:40
DraftKings🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 39.29%EV -9.49%E -3.94%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.71%EV -2.58%E -1.66%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 08:21
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig◎2.63I 38.02%NM 37.83%1.60I 62.50%NM 62.17%0.5%2026-09-03 23:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74%0.9%2026-09-03 23:26
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74%0.9%2026-09-03 23:26
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74%0.9%2026-09-03 23:25
Matchbook◎2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74%0.9%2026-09-03 23:26
Kalshi◎2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%0.9%2026-09-03 15:35
Smarkets◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%1.1%2026-09-03 23:10
ProphetX◎2.64I 37.88%NM 37.44%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.56%1.2%2026-09-03 23:26