預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Ben Shelton v Carlos Alcaraz

開賽時間: 2026-09-09 03:00 UTC

最終賽果: Ben Shelton 3–2 Carlos Alcaraz

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

64 家博彩公司 (21 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Ben Shelton (主隊)

預測 24.76%4.04公平賠率
EV +1.51%
優勢 +0.367%
Kelly +0.486%
成長率 +0.007%

假設最高賠率為 4.10

博彩公司預測分布
23.22%24.76%24.75%26.93%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
3.503.833.804.1028.57%26.14%26.32%24.39%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Carlos Alcaraz (客隊)

預測 75.24%1.33公平賠率
EV -2.94%
優勢 -2.28%
Kelly -10.13%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.29

博彩公司預測分布
73.07%75.24%75.25%76.78%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.211.271.271.2982.64%79.04%78.74%77.52%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Ben Shelton (主隊):24.76%;Carlos Alcaraz (客隊):75.24%。 對於「Ben Shelton (主隊)」,該估計相當於4.04的公平十進位賠率。 當時有4家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為4.10,對應+1.51%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (64 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊 ▼客隊利潤率更新時間
SportsBet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +1.51%E +0.367%K +0.486%G +0.007%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.70%E -5.40%K -27.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-09 01:15
TAB🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +1.51%E +0.367%K +0.486%G +0.007%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.70%E -5.40%K -27.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-09 02:44
Bovada🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 24.02%EV +0.269%E +0.066%K +0.088%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.98%EV -3.69%E -2.88%K -13.18%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-09 02:14
Unibet (FR)🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV +0.269%E +0.066%K +0.088%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.27%EV -5.19%E -4.12%K -19.98%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-09 02:45
1xBet🎯4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -0.722%E -0.180%K -0.240%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -5.95%E -4.76%K -23.79%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-09 02:59
Pinnacle🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 24.39%EV -0.969%E -0.242%K -0.323%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 75.61%EV -2.94%E -2.28%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-09 03:00
Unibet (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -0.969%E -0.242%K -0.323%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.44%E -3.50%K -16.45%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-08 17:15
ReBet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -0.969%E -0.242%K -0.323%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.44%E -3.50%K -16.45%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-09 02:44
FanDuel🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -0.969%E -0.242%K -0.323%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -5.19%E -4.12%K -19.98%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-09 01:24
BetMGM🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.969%E -0.242%K -0.323%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.95%E -4.76%K -23.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 15:10
BoyleSports🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.969%E -0.242%K -0.323%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.95%E -4.76%K -23.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-08 10:25
Paddy Power🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.969%E -0.242%K -0.323%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.95%E -4.76%K -23.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-09 01:24
Sky Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.969%E -0.242%K -0.323%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.95%E -4.76%K -23.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-09 01:14
Winamax (DE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -0.969%E -0.242%K -0.323%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.70%E -5.40%K -27.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-09 02:59
GTbets🎯3.96I 25.25%NM 23.85%EV -1.96%E -0.495%K -0.662%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.15%EV -6.70%E -5.40%K -27.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-09 02:44
Betclic (FR)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -2.21%E -0.559%K -0.748%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -6.70%E -5.40%K -27.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-09 02:49
Coolbet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.86%EV -3.45%E -0.883%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 75.14%EV -2.94%E -2.28%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-09 02:55
theScore Bet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -3.45%E -0.883%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -3.69%E -2.88%K -13.18%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-09 02:44
BetOnline.ag🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -3.45%E -0.883%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -3.69%E -2.88%K -13.18%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-09 02:49
LowVig.ag🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -3.45%E -0.883%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -3.69%E -2.88%K -13.18%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-09 02:49
MyBookie.ag🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.45%E -0.883%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.19%E -4.12%K -19.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-09 02:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -3.45%E -0.883%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.95%E -4.76%K -23.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-07 15:10
Coral🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -3.45%E -0.883%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.95%E -4.76%K -23.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-07 15:10
DraftKings🎯3.87I 25.84%NM 24.71%EV -4.19%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.29%EV -4.44%E -3.50%K -16.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 01:54
PlayUp🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -4.68%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.95%E -4.76%K -23.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-08 05:15
Betsson🎯3.83I 26.11%NM 24.61%EV -5.18%E -1.35%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.39%EV -5.95%E -4.76%K -23.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-09 02:44
NordicBet🎯3.83I 26.11%NM 24.61%EV -5.18%E -1.35%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.39%EV -5.95%E -4.76%K -23.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-09 02:44
Marathon Bet🎯3.82I 26.18%NM 24.95%EV -5.43%E -1.42%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.05%EV -4.44%E -3.50%K -16.45%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-09 02:44
Betway🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -2.94%E -2.28%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-09 02:44
Neds🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.19%E -4.12%K -19.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-07 15:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.19%E -4.12%K -19.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-07 15:10
Tipico (DE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.95%E -4.76%K -23.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 01:59
Caesars🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.95%E -4.76%K -23.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-07 13:50
NetBet (FR)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.95%E -4.76%K -23.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 02:59
Fliff🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -6.70%E -5.40%K -27.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 02:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -2.94%E -2.28%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-09 02:55
BetRivers🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.69%E -2.88%K -13.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 02:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.69%E -2.88%K -13.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 02:55
Virgin Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.69%E -2.88%K -13.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 02:55
LiveScore Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.69%E -2.88%K -13.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 02:54
TABtouch🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.69%E -2.88%K -13.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 02:50
Unibet (NL)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.69%E -2.88%K -13.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 02:55
Unibet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.69%E -2.88%K -13.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 02:55
Casumo🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.69%E -2.88%K -13.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 02:54
Unibet (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.69%E -2.88%K -13.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 02:50
Grosvenor🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.69%E -2.88%K -13.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 02:54
betPARX🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.69%E -2.88%K -13.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 02:50
Bally Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.69%E -2.88%K -13.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 02:54
ATG (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.69%E -2.88%K -13.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 02:50
Svenska Spel🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.69%E -2.88%K -13.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 02:54
LeoVegas🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.19%E -4.12%K -19.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-09 02:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.19%E -4.12%K -19.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-09 02:45
betfred_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.95%E -4.76%K -23.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-08 17:00
betano_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.95%E -4.76%K -23.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-08 10:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.95%E -4.76%K -23.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-09 01:10
BetUS🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -8.40%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -4.44%E -3.50%K -16.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-09 02:49
Fanatics🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -9.63%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -4.44%E -3.50%K -16.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-09 03:00
Betr (AU)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -9.63%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -4.44%E -3.50%K -16.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-09 03:00
888sport🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.87%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.94%E -2.28%K -10.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 14:15
888sport (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.87%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.94%E -2.28%K -10.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 14:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.87%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.94%E -2.28%K -10.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 14:15
PMU (FR)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.87%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.95%E -4.76%K -23.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-09 02:54
Winamax (FR)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -10.87%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 74.84%EV -8.96%E -7.40%K -42.65%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-09 02:59
William Hill🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -13.35%E -3.81%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -2.94%E -2.28%K -10.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-09 03:00
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (7)

博彩公司主隊客隊利潤率 ▲更新時間
Novig◎4.17I 23.98%NM 23.91%1.31I 76.34%NM 76.09%0.3%2026-09-09 03:00
ProphetX◎4.05I 24.69%NM 24.58%1.32I 75.76%NM 75.42%0.4%2026-09-09 03:00
Matchbook◎4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%0.7%2026-09-09 03:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%0.7%2026-09-09 02:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%0.7%2026-09-09 02:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%0.7%2026-09-09 02:50
Smarkets◎4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07%1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93%1.3%2026-09-09 02:50