Язык:Русский
Ben Shelton v Carlos Alcaraz
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Ben Shelton (Хозяева)
Прогноз 24.76%4.04справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.51%
Преимущество +0.367%
Kelly +0.486%
Рост +0.007%
при максимальном коэффициенте 4.10
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
23.22%24.76%24.75%26.93%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.503.833.804.1028.57%26.14%26.32%24.39%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Carlos Alcaraz (Гости)
Прогноз 75.24%1.33справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.94%
Преимущество -2.28%
Kelly -10.13%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.29
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
73.07%75.24%75.25%76.78%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.211.271.271.2982.64%79.04%78.74%77.52%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Ben Shelton (Хозяева): 24.76%; Carlos Alcaraz (Гости): 75.24%. Для исхода «Ben Shelton (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 4.04. 4 букмекера предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 4.10, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +1.51%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (64 букмекерские конторы)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +1.51%E +0.367%K +0.486%G +0.007% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.70%E -5.40%K -27.91%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-09 01:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +1.51%E +0.367%K +0.486%G +0.007% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.70%E -5.40%K -27.91%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-09 02:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 24.02%EV +0.269%E +0.066%K +0.088%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.98%EV -3.69%E -2.88%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-09 02:14 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV +0.269%E +0.066%K +0.088%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.27%EV -5.19%E -4.12%K -19.98%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-09 02:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -0.722%E -0.180%K -0.240%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -5.95%E -4.76%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-09 02:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.39%EV -0.969%E -0.242%K -0.323%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.61%EV -2.94%E -2.28%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-09 03:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -0.969%E -0.242%K -0.323%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.44%E -3.50%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-08 17:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -0.969%E -0.242%K -0.323%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.44%E -3.50%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-09 02:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -0.969%E -0.242%K -0.323%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -5.19%E -4.12%K -19.98%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-09 01:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.969%E -0.242%K -0.323%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.95%E -4.76%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-07 15:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.969%E -0.242%K -0.323%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.95%E -4.76%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-08 10:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.969%E -0.242%K -0.323%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.95%E -4.76%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-09 01:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.969%E -0.242%K -0.323%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.95%E -4.76%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-09 01:14 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -0.969%E -0.242%K -0.323%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.70%E -5.40%K -27.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-09 02:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.96I 25.25%NM 23.85%EV -1.96%E -0.495%K -0.662%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.15%EV -6.70%E -5.40%K -27.91%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-09 02:44 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -2.21%E -0.559%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -6.70%E -5.40%K -27.91%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-09 02:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.86%EV -3.45%E -0.883%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.14%EV -2.94%E -2.28%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-09 02:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -3.45%E -0.883%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -3.69%E -2.88%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-09 02:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -3.45%E -0.883%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -3.69%E -2.88%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-09 02:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -3.45%E -0.883%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -3.69%E -2.88%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-09 02:49 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.45%E -0.883%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.19%E -4.12%K -19.98%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-09 02:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -3.45%E -0.883%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.95%E -4.76%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-07 15:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -3.45%E -0.883%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.95%E -4.76%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-07 15:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.71%EV -4.19%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.29%EV -4.44%E -3.50%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-09 01:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -4.68%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.95%E -4.76%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-08 05:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.61%EV -5.18%E -1.35%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.39%EV -5.95%E -4.76%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-09 02:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.61%EV -5.18%E -1.35%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.39%EV -5.95%E -4.76%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-09 02:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.95%EV -5.43%E -1.42%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.05%EV -4.44%E -3.50%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-09 02:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -2.94%E -2.28%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-09 02:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.19%E -4.12%K -19.98%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-07 15:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.19%E -4.12%K -19.98%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-07 15:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.95%E -4.76%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-09 01:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.95%E -4.76%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-07 13:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.95%E -4.76%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-09 02:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -6.70%E -5.40%K -27.91%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 02:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -2.94%E -2.28%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-09 02:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.69%E -2.88%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-09 02:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.69%E -2.88%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-09 02:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.69%E -2.88%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-09 02:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.69%E -2.88%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-09 02:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.69%E -2.88%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-09 02:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.69%E -2.88%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-09 02:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.69%E -2.88%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-09 02:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.69%E -2.88%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-09 02:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.69%E -2.88%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-09 02:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.69%E -2.88%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-09 02:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.69%E -2.88%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-09 02:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.69%E -2.88%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-09 02:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.69%E -2.88%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-09 02:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.69%E -2.88%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-09 02:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.19%E -4.12%K -19.98%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-09 02:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.19%E -4.12%K -19.98%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-09 02:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.95%E -4.76%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-08 17:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.95%E -4.76%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-08 10:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.95%E -4.76%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-09 01:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -8.40%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -4.44%E -3.50%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-09 02:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -9.63%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -4.44%E -3.50%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-09 03:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -9.63%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -4.44%E -3.50%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-09 03:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.87%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.94%E -2.28%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-08 14:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.87%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.94%E -2.28%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-08 14:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.87%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.94%E -2.28%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-08 14:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.87%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.95%E -4.76%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-09 02:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -10.87%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 74.84%EV -8.96%E -7.40%K -42.65%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-09 02:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -13.35%E -3.81%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -2.94%E -2.28%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-09 03:00 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (7)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.91% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 76.09% | 0.3% | 2026-09-09 03:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.05I 24.69%NM 24.58% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.42% | 0.4% | 2026-09-09 03:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 0.7% | 2026-09-09 03:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 0.7% | 2026-09-09 02:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 0.7% | 2026-09-09 02:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 0.7% | 2026-09-09 02:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93% | 1.3% | 2026-09-09 02:50 |