Lingua:Italiano
Ben Shelton v Carlos Alcaraz
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Ben Shelton (Casa)
Previsione 24.76%4.04quota equa
EV +1.51%
Vantaggio +0.367%
Kelly +0.486%
Crescita +0.007%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.10
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.22%24.76%24.75%26.93%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.503.833.804.1028.57%26.14%26.32%24.39%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Carlos Alcaraz (Trasferta)
Previsione 75.24%1.33quota equa
EV -2.94%
Vantaggio -2.28%
Kelly -10.13%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.29
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
73.07%75.24%75.25%76.78%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.211.271.271.2982.64%79.04%78.74%77.52%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Ben Shelton (Casa): 24.76%; Carlos Alcaraz (Trasferta): 75.24%. Per Ben Shelton (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 4.04. 4 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 4.10, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +1.51%.
Quote dei bookmaker (64 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +1.51%E +0.367%K +0.486%G +0.007% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.70%E -5.40%K -27.91%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-09 01:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +1.51%E +0.367%K +0.486%G +0.007% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.70%E -5.40%K -27.91%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-09 02:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 24.02%EV +0.269%E +0.066%K +0.088%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.98%EV -3.69%E -2.88%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-09 02:14 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV +0.269%E +0.066%K +0.088%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.27%EV -5.19%E -4.12%K -19.98%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-09 02:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -0.722%E -0.180%K -0.240%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -5.95%E -4.76%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-09 02:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.39%EV -0.969%E -0.242%K -0.323%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.61%EV -2.94%E -2.28%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-09 03:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -0.969%E -0.242%K -0.323%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.44%E -3.50%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-08 17:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -0.969%E -0.242%K -0.323%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.44%E -3.50%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-09 02:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -0.969%E -0.242%K -0.323%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -5.19%E -4.12%K -19.98%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-09 01:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.969%E -0.242%K -0.323%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.95%E -4.76%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-07 15:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.969%E -0.242%K -0.323%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.95%E -4.76%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-08 10:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.969%E -0.242%K -0.323%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.95%E -4.76%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-09 01:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.969%E -0.242%K -0.323%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.95%E -4.76%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-09 01:14 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -0.969%E -0.242%K -0.323%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.70%E -5.40%K -27.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-09 02:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.96I 25.25%NM 23.85%EV -1.96%E -0.495%K -0.662%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.15%EV -6.70%E -5.40%K -27.91%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-09 02:44 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -2.21%E -0.559%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -6.70%E -5.40%K -27.91%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-09 02:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.86%EV -3.45%E -0.883%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.14%EV -2.94%E -2.28%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-09 02:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -3.45%E -0.883%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -3.69%E -2.88%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-09 02:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -3.45%E -0.883%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -3.69%E -2.88%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-09 02:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -3.45%E -0.883%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -3.69%E -2.88%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-09 02:49 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.45%E -0.883%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.19%E -4.12%K -19.98%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-09 02:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -3.45%E -0.883%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.95%E -4.76%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-07 15:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -3.45%E -0.883%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.95%E -4.76%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-07 15:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.71%EV -4.19%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.29%EV -4.44%E -3.50%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-09 01:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -4.68%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.95%E -4.76%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-08 05:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.61%EV -5.18%E -1.35%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.39%EV -5.95%E -4.76%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-09 02:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.61%EV -5.18%E -1.35%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.39%EV -5.95%E -4.76%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-09 02:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.95%EV -5.43%E -1.42%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.05%EV -4.44%E -3.50%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-09 02:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -2.94%E -2.28%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-09 02:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.19%E -4.12%K -19.98%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-07 15:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.19%E -4.12%K -19.98%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-07 15:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.95%E -4.76%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-09 01:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.95%E -4.76%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-07 13:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.95%E -4.76%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-09 02:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -6.70%E -5.40%K -27.91%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 02:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -2.94%E -2.28%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-09 02:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.69%E -2.88%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-09 02:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.69%E -2.88%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-09 02:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.69%E -2.88%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-09 02:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.69%E -2.88%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-09 02:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.69%E -2.88%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-09 02:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.69%E -2.88%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-09 02:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.69%E -2.88%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-09 02:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.69%E -2.88%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-09 02:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.69%E -2.88%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-09 02:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.69%E -2.88%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-09 02:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.69%E -2.88%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-09 02:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.69%E -2.88%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-09 02:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.69%E -2.88%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-09 02:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.69%E -2.88%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-09 02:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.19%E -4.12%K -19.98%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-09 02:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.19%E -4.12%K -19.98%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-09 02:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.95%E -4.76%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-08 17:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.95%E -4.76%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-08 10:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.95%E -4.76%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-09 01:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -8.40%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -4.44%E -3.50%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-09 02:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -9.63%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -4.44%E -3.50%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-09 03:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -9.63%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -4.44%E -3.50%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-09 03:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.87%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.94%E -2.28%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-08 14:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.87%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.94%E -2.28%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-08 14:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.87%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.94%E -2.28%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-08 14:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.87%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.95%E -4.76%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-09 02:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -10.87%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 74.84%EV -8.96%E -7.40%K -42.65%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-09 02:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -13.35%E -3.81%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -2.94%E -2.28%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-09 03:00 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (7)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.91% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 76.09% | 0.3% | 2026-09-09 03:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.05I 24.69%NM 24.58% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.42% | 0.4% | 2026-09-09 03:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 0.7% | 2026-09-09 03:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 0.7% | 2026-09-09 02:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 0.7% | 2026-09-09 02:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 0.7% | 2026-09-09 02:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93% | 1.3% | 2026-09-09 02:50 |