Language:English
Arthur Gea v Botic van de Zandschulp
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Arthur Gea (Local)
Prediction 40.60%2.46fair odd
EV +1.50%
Edge +0.602%
Kelly +1.00%
Growth +0.015%
assuming max odds 2.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.57%40.60%40.81%42.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.342.352.5046.51%42.79%42.55%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Botic van de Zandschulp (Visit)
Prediction 59.40%1.68fair odd
EV -2.59%
Edge -1.58%
Kelly -4.04%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.64
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.33%59.40%59.19%61.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.511.591.591.6466.23%62.93%62.89%60.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arthur Gea (Local): 40.60%; Botic van de Zandschulp (Visit): 59.40%. For Arthur Gea (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.46. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.50%.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV +1.50%E +0.602%K +1.00%G +0.015% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -6.75%E -4.30%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-07 07:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -0.525%E -0.214%K -0.362%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -3.78%E -2.33%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-07 20:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.56%E -1.06%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.96%E -3.10%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-06 18:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.56%E -1.06%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.15%E -3.89%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-07 20:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.37%E -1.41%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.96%E -3.10%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-07 20:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -3.37%E -1.41%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -5.56%E -3.50%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-07 20:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -3.37%E -1.41%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -6.15%E -3.89%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-07 08:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -3.37%E -1.41%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -6.15%E -3.89%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-07 08:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -3.37%E -1.41%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -6.15%E -3.89%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-07 08:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.37%E -1.41%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.75%E -4.30%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-07 04:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.37%E -1.41%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.75%E -4.30%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-07 08:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.37%E -1.41%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.75%E -4.30%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-07 08:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.37%E -1.41%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.75%E -4.30%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-07 08:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.37%E -1.41%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.75%E -4.30%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-07 08:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.37%E -1.41%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.75%E -4.30%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-07 08:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.37%E -1.41%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.75%E -4.30%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-07 08:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.37%E -1.41%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.75%E -4.30%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-07 08:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.37%E -1.41%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.75%E -4.30%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-07 08:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.37%E -1.41%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.75%E -4.30%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-07 08:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.37%E -1.41%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.75%E -4.30%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-07 08:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.37%E -1.41%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.75%E -4.30%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-07 08:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.37%E -1.41%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.75%E -4.30%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-07 16:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -3.77%E -1.59%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.10%EV -2.59%E -1.58%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-07 17:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -3.77%E -1.59%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.10%EV -2.59%E -1.58%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-07 17:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -4.18%E -1.77%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -4.96%E -3.10%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-07 20:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.59%E -1.95%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.78%E -2.33%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-07 20:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.59%E -1.95%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.78%E -2.33%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-07 20:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.59%E -1.95%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.37%E -2.71%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-07 20:38 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.59%E -1.95%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.96%E -3.10%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-07 20:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.59%E -1.95%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.15%E -3.89%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-07 20:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.59%E -1.95%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.15%E -3.89%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-07 20:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.59%E -1.95%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.75%E -4.30%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-07 20:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.59%E -1.95%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.75%E -4.30%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-06 06:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.99%E -2.13%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.37%E -2.71%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-07 20:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.46%EV -4.99%E -2.13%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.54%EV -5.56%E -3.50%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-07 12:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -5.80%E -2.50%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -7.93%E -5.12%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-07 08:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.62%E -2.88%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.78%E -2.33%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-07 20:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.62%E -2.88%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.78%E -2.33%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-06 06:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.62%E -2.88%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.78%E -2.33%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-06 06:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.62%E -2.88%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.37%E -2.71%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-06 06:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.62%E -2.88%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.96%E -3.10%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-07 20:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.62%E -2.88%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.96%E -3.10%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-07 20:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.62%E -2.88%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.96%E -3.10%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-07 20:23 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.62%E -2.88%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.96%E -3.10%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-07 20:19 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.62%E -2.88%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.96%E -3.10%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-07 14:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.62%E -2.88%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.56%E -3.50%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-07 20:19 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.62%E -2.88%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.56%E -3.50%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-06 06:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.62%E -2.88%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.75%E -4.30%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-07 20:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -6.62%E -2.88%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.37%EV -10.31%E -6.83%K -20.21%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-07 20:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.98%EV -7.02%E -3.07%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.02%EV -5.56%E -3.50%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-07 20:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.98%EV -7.02%E -3.07%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.02%EV -5.56%E -3.50%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-07 20:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.65%E -3.84%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.78%E -2.33%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-07 15:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.65%E -3.84%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.96%E -3.10%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-07 20:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.65%E -3.84%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.96%E -3.10%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-07 20:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.65%E -3.84%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.96%E -3.10%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-07 20:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.65%E -3.84%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.96%E -3.10%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-07 20:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.65%E -3.84%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.75%E -4.30%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-06 06:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.65%E -3.84%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.75%E -4.30%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-06 06:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -12.71%E -5.91%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -4.96%E -3.10%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-07 20:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42% | 0.2% | 2026-09-07 20:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42% | 0.2% | 2026-09-07 20:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 0.5% | 2026-09-07 20:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 0.5% | 2026-09-07 20:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 0.5% | 2026-09-07 20:40 |
| Novig◎ | 2.53I 39.53%NM 39.18% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.82% | 0.9% | 2026-09-07 20:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80% | 2.0% | 2026-09-07 20:40 |