StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Arthur Gea v Botic van de Zandschulp

Matchstart: 2026-09-07 20:41 UTC

Slutresultat: Arthur Gea 2–3 Botic van de Zandschulp

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

59 spelbolag (19 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Arthur Gea (Hemma)

Prognos 40.60%2.46rättvist odds
EV +1.50%
Fördel +0.602%
Kelly +1.00%
Tillväxt +0.015%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.50

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
38.57%40.60%40.81%42.67%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.152.342.352.5046.51%42.79%42.55%40.00%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Botic van de Zandschulp (Borta)

Prognos 59.40%1.68rättvist odds
EV -2.59%
Fördel -1.58%
Kelly -4.04%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.64

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
57.33%59.40%59.19%61.43%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.511.591.591.6466.23%62.93%62.89%60.98%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Arthur Gea (Hemma): 40.60%; Botic van de Zandschulp (Borta): 59.40%. För Arthur Gea (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.46. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 2.50, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +1.50%.

Spelbolagsodds (59 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV +1.50%E +0.602%K +1.00%G +0.015%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -6.75%E -4.30%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-07 07:25
Pinnacle🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -0.525%E -0.214%K -0.362%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -3.78%E -2.33%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-07 20:35
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.56%E -1.06%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.96%E -3.10%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-06 18:30
1xBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.56%E -1.06%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.15%E -3.89%K -10.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 20:19
FanDuel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.37%E -1.41%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.96%E -3.10%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-07 20:25
SportsBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -3.37%E -1.41%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -5.56%E -3.50%K -9.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-07 20:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -3.37%E -1.41%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -6.15%E -3.89%K -10.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 08:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -3.37%E -1.41%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -6.15%E -3.89%K -10.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 08:20
Unibet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -3.37%E -1.41%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -6.15%E -3.89%K -10.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 08:25
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.37%E -1.41%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.75%E -4.30%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-07 04:30
Casumo🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.37%E -1.41%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.75%E -4.30%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-07 08:25
Grosvenor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.37%E -1.41%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.75%E -4.30%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-07 08:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.37%E -1.41%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.75%E -4.30%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-07 08:25
TABtouch🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.37%E -1.41%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.75%E -4.30%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-07 08:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.37%E -1.41%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.75%E -4.30%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-07 08:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.37%E -1.41%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.75%E -4.30%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-07 08:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.37%E -1.41%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.75%E -4.30%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-07 08:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.37%E -1.41%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.75%E -4.30%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-07 08:25
BetRivers🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.37%E -1.41%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.75%E -4.30%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-07 08:25
Bally Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.37%E -1.41%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.75%E -4.30%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-07 08:25
betPARX🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.37%E -1.41%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.75%E -4.30%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-07 08:20
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.37%E -1.41%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.75%E -4.30%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-07 16:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -3.77%E -1.59%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.10%EV -2.59%E -1.58%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-07 17:15
BetOnline.ag🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -3.77%E -1.59%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.10%EV -2.59%E -1.58%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-07 17:15
DraftKings🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -4.18%E -1.77%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -4.96%E -3.10%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-07 20:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.59%E -1.95%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.78%E -2.33%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-07 20:19
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.59%E -1.95%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.78%E -2.33%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-07 20:19
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.59%E -1.95%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.37%E -2.71%K -7.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-07 20:38
TAB🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.59%E -1.95%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.96%E -3.10%K -8.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 20:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.59%E -1.95%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.15%E -3.89%K -10.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-07 20:35
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.59%E -1.95%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.15%E -3.89%K -10.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-07 20:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.59%E -1.95%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.75%E -4.30%K -11.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-07 20:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.59%E -1.95%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.75%E -4.30%K -11.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 06:20
BetUS🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.99%E -2.13%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.37%E -2.71%K -7.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 20:29
Marathon Bet🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.46%EV -4.99%E -2.13%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.54%EV -5.56%E -3.50%K -9.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-07 12:50
PMU (FR)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -5.80%E -2.50%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -7.93%E -5.12%K -14.42%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-07 08:25
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.62%E -2.88%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.78%E -2.33%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-07 20:20
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.62%E -2.88%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.78%E -2.33%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-06 06:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.62%E -2.88%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.78%E -2.33%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-06 06:00
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.62%E -2.88%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.37%E -2.71%K -7.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 06:05
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.62%E -2.88%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.96%E -3.10%K -8.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-07 20:20
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.62%E -2.88%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.96%E -3.10%K -8.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-07 20:10
MyBookie.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.62%E -2.88%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.96%E -3.10%K -8.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-07 20:23
ReBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.62%E -2.88%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.96%E -3.10%K -8.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-07 20:19
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.62%E -2.88%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.96%E -3.10%K -8.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-07 14:29
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.62%E -2.88%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.56%E -3.50%K -9.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-07 20:19
Caesars🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.62%E -2.88%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.56%E -3.50%K -9.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 06:39
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.62%E -2.88%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.75%E -4.30%K -11.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-07 20:40
Fliff🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -6.62%E -2.88%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.37%EV -10.31%E -6.83%K -20.21%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-07 20:34
Betsson🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 40.98%EV -7.02%E -3.07%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.02%EV -5.56%E -3.50%K -9.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-07 20:19
NordicBet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 40.98%EV -7.02%E -3.07%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.02%EV -5.56%E -3.50%K -9.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-07 20:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.65%E -3.84%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.78%E -2.33%K -6.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-07 15:29
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.65%E -3.84%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.96%E -3.10%K -8.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-07 20:40
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.65%E -3.84%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.96%E -3.10%K -8.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-07 20:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.65%E -3.84%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.96%E -3.10%K -8.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-07 20:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.65%E -3.84%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.96%E -3.10%K -8.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-07 20:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.65%E -3.84%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.75%E -4.30%K -11.83%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-06 06:00
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.65%E -3.84%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.75%E -4.30%K -11.83%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-06 06:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -12.71%E -5.91%K -11.05%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -4.96%E -3.10%K -8.27%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-07 20:35
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42%0.2%2026-09-07 20:40
ProphetX◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42%0.2%2026-09-07 20:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%0.5%2026-09-07 20:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%0.5%2026-09-07 20:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%0.5%2026-09-07 20:40
Novig◎2.53I 39.53%NM 39.18%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.82%0.9%2026-09-07 20:40
Smarkets◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%2.0%2026-09-07 20:40