Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Arthur Gea v Botic van de Zandschulp

Inizio: 2026-09-07 20:41 UTC

Finale: Arthur Gea 2–3 Botic van de Zandschulp

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

59 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Arthur Gea (Casa)

Previsione 40.60%2.46quota equa
EV +1.50%
Vantaggio +0.602%
Kelly +1.00%
Crescita +0.015%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
38.57%40.60%40.81%42.67%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.152.342.352.5046.51%42.79%42.55%40.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Botic van de Zandschulp (Trasferta)

Previsione 59.40%1.68quota equa
EV -2.59%
Vantaggio -1.58%
Kelly -4.04%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.64

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
57.33%59.40%59.19%61.43%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.511.591.591.6466.23%62.93%62.89%60.98%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Arthur Gea (Casa): 40.60%; Botic van de Zandschulp (Trasferta): 59.40%. Per Arthur Gea (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.46. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 2.50, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +1.50%.

Quote dei bookmaker (59 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV +1.50%E +0.602%K +1.00%G +0.015%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -6.75%E -4.30%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-07 07:25
Pinnacle🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -0.525%E -0.214%K -0.362%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -3.78%E -2.33%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-07 20:35
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.56%E -1.06%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.96%E -3.10%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-06 18:30
1xBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.56%E -1.06%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.15%E -3.89%K -10.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 20:19
FanDuel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.37%E -1.41%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.96%E -3.10%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-07 20:25
SportsBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -3.37%E -1.41%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -5.56%E -3.50%K -9.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-07 20:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -3.37%E -1.41%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -6.15%E -3.89%K -10.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 08:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -3.37%E -1.41%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -6.15%E -3.89%K -10.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 08:20
Unibet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -3.37%E -1.41%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -6.15%E -3.89%K -10.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 08:25
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.37%E -1.41%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.75%E -4.30%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-07 04:30
Casumo🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.37%E -1.41%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.75%E -4.30%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-07 08:25
Grosvenor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.37%E -1.41%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.75%E -4.30%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-07 08:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.37%E -1.41%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.75%E -4.30%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-07 08:25
TABtouch🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.37%E -1.41%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.75%E -4.30%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-07 08:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.37%E -1.41%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.75%E -4.30%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-07 08:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.37%E -1.41%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.75%E -4.30%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-07 08:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.37%E -1.41%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.75%E -4.30%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-07 08:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.37%E -1.41%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.75%E -4.30%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-07 08:25
BetRivers🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.37%E -1.41%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.75%E -4.30%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-07 08:25
Bally Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.37%E -1.41%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.75%E -4.30%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-07 08:25
betPARX🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.37%E -1.41%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.75%E -4.30%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-07 08:20
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.37%E -1.41%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.75%E -4.30%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-07 16:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -3.77%E -1.59%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.10%EV -2.59%E -1.58%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-07 17:15
BetOnline.ag🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -3.77%E -1.59%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.10%EV -2.59%E -1.58%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-07 17:15
DraftKings🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -4.18%E -1.77%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -4.96%E -3.10%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-07 20:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.59%E -1.95%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.78%E -2.33%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-07 20:19
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.59%E -1.95%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.78%E -2.33%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-07 20:19
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.59%E -1.95%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.37%E -2.71%K -7.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-07 20:38
TAB🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.59%E -1.95%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.96%E -3.10%K -8.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 20:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.59%E -1.95%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.15%E -3.89%K -10.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-07 20:35
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.59%E -1.95%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.15%E -3.89%K -10.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-07 20:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.59%E -1.95%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.75%E -4.30%K -11.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-07 20:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.59%E -1.95%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.75%E -4.30%K -11.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 06:20
BetUS🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.99%E -2.13%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.37%E -2.71%K -7.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 20:29
Marathon Bet🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.46%EV -4.99%E -2.13%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.54%EV -5.56%E -3.50%K -9.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-07 12:50
PMU (FR)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -5.80%E -2.50%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -7.93%E -5.12%K -14.42%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-07 08:25
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.62%E -2.88%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.78%E -2.33%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-07 20:20
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.62%E -2.88%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.78%E -2.33%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-06 06:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.62%E -2.88%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.78%E -2.33%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-06 06:00
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.62%E -2.88%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.37%E -2.71%K -7.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 06:05
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.62%E -2.88%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.96%E -3.10%K -8.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-07 20:20
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.62%E -2.88%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.96%E -3.10%K -8.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-07 20:10
MyBookie.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.62%E -2.88%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.96%E -3.10%K -8.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-07 20:23
ReBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.62%E -2.88%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.96%E -3.10%K -8.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-07 20:19
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.62%E -2.88%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.96%E -3.10%K -8.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-07 14:29
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.62%E -2.88%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.56%E -3.50%K -9.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-07 20:19
Caesars🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.62%E -2.88%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.56%E -3.50%K -9.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 06:39
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.62%E -2.88%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.75%E -4.30%K -11.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-07 20:40
Fliff🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -6.62%E -2.88%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.37%EV -10.31%E -6.83%K -20.21%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-07 20:34
Betsson🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 40.98%EV -7.02%E -3.07%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.02%EV -5.56%E -3.50%K -9.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-07 20:19
NordicBet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 40.98%EV -7.02%E -3.07%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.02%EV -5.56%E -3.50%K -9.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-07 20:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.65%E -3.84%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.78%E -2.33%K -6.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-07 15:29
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.65%E -3.84%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.96%E -3.10%K -8.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-07 20:40
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.65%E -3.84%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.96%E -3.10%K -8.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-07 20:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.65%E -3.84%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.96%E -3.10%K -8.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-07 20:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.65%E -3.84%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.96%E -3.10%K -8.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-07 20:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.65%E -3.84%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.75%E -4.30%K -11.83%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-06 06:00
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.65%E -3.84%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.75%E -4.30%K -11.83%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-06 06:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -12.71%E -5.91%K -11.05%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -4.96%E -3.10%K -8.27%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-07 20:35
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42%0.2%2026-09-07 20:40
ProphetX◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42%0.2%2026-09-07 20:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%0.5%2026-09-07 20:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%0.5%2026-09-07 20:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%0.5%2026-09-07 20:40
Novig◎2.53I 39.53%NM 39.18%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.82%0.9%2026-09-07 20:40
Smarkets◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%2.0%2026-09-07 20:40