StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Alexander Zverev v Luciano Darderi

Matchstart: 2026-09-08 01:12 UTC

Slutresultat: Alexander Zverev 3–0 Luciano Darderi

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

64 spelbolag (20 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Alexander Zverev (Hemma)

Prognos 87.32%1.15rättvist odds
EV -2.20%
Fördel -1.96%
Kelly -18.33%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.12

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
85.41%87.31%87.36%89.37%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.041.081.081.1296.15%92.30%92.59%89.29%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Luciano Darderi (Borta)

Prognos 12.68%7.89rättvist odds
EV +14.10%
Fördel +1.57%
Kelly +1.76%
Tillväxt +0.249%

med antagandet om högsta odds 9.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
10.63%12.69%12.64%14.59%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
6.507.817.579.0015.38%12.81%13.20%11.11%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Alexander Zverev (Hemma): 87.32%; Luciano Darderi (Borta): 12.68%. För Luciano Darderi (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 7.89. 25 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 9.00, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +14.10%.

Spelbolagsodds (64 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
LiveScore Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -6.57%E -6.14%K -93.80%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +14.10%E +1.57%K +1.76%G +0.249%4.6%2026-09-07 20:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -6.57%E -6.14%K -93.80%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +14.10%E +1.57%K +1.76%G +0.249%4.6%2026-09-07 20:50
Grosvenor🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -6.57%E -6.14%K -93.80%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +14.10%E +1.57%K +1.76%G +0.249%4.6%2026-09-07 20:50
Unibet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -6.57%E -6.14%K -93.80%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +14.10%E +1.57%K +1.76%G +0.249%4.6%2026-09-07 20:50
TABtouch🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -6.57%E -6.14%K -93.80%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +14.10%E +1.57%K +1.76%G +0.249%4.6%2026-09-07 20:50
Casumo🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -6.57%E -6.14%K -93.80%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +14.10%E +1.57%K +1.76%G +0.249%4.6%2026-09-07 20:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -6.57%E -6.14%K -93.80%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +14.10%E +1.57%K +1.76%G +0.249%4.6%2026-09-07 20:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -6.57%E -6.14%K -93.80%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +14.10%E +1.57%K +1.76%G +0.249%4.6%2026-09-07 20:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -6.57%E -6.14%K -93.80%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +14.10%E +1.57%K +1.76%G +0.249%4.6%2026-09-07 20:50
BetRivers🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -6.57%E -6.14%K -93.80%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +14.10%E +1.57%K +1.76%G +0.249%4.6%2026-09-07 20:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -6.57%E -6.14%K -93.80%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +14.10%E +1.57%K +1.76%G +0.249%4.6%2026-09-07 20:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -6.57%E -6.14%K -93.80%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +14.10%E +1.57%K +1.76%G +0.249%4.6%2026-09-07 20:50
Bally Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -6.57%E -6.14%K -93.80%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +14.10%E +1.57%K +1.76%G +0.249%4.6%2026-09-07 20:50
betPARX🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -6.57%E -6.14%K -93.80%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +14.10%E +1.57%K +1.76%G +0.249%4.6%2026-09-07 20:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -6.57%E -6.14%K -93.80%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +14.10%E +1.57%K +1.76%G +0.249%4.6%2026-09-07 20:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -5.69%E -5.27%K -71.16%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +7.77%E +0.914%K +1.04%G +0.080%4.4%2026-09-07 23:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -9.19%E -8.83%K -229.64%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV +7.77%E +0.914%K +1.04%G +0.080%7.9%2026-09-07 20:50
GTbets🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.37%EV -4.82%E -4.42%K -53.55%G +0.000%8.28I 12.08%NM 11.63%EV +4.98%E +0.601%K +0.684%G +0.034%3.8%2026-09-08 00:40
Coolbet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 88.24%EV -3.95%E -3.59%K -39.46%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.76%EV +4.60%E +0.557%K +0.634%G +0.029%3.0%2026-09-07 19:00
Betway🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.69%E -5.27%K -71.16%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +1.43%E +0.178%K +0.204%G +0.003%5.1%2026-09-07 20:50
BoyleSports🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.69%E -5.27%K -71.16%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +1.43%E +0.178%K +0.204%G +0.003%5.1%2026-09-06 10:35
William Hill🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -6.57%E -6.14%K -93.80%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV +1.43%E +0.178%K +0.204%G +0.003%6.0%2026-09-06 10:04
888sport🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.44%E -7.02%K -123.98%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +1.43%E +0.178%K +0.204%G +0.003%6.8%2026-09-06 10:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.44%E -7.02%K -123.98%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +1.43%E +0.178%K +0.204%G +0.003%6.8%2026-09-06 10:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.44%E -7.02%K -123.98%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +1.43%E +0.178%K +0.204%G +0.003%6.8%2026-09-06 10:00
Bovada🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.67%EV -4.82%E -4.42%K -53.55%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.33%EV -1.74%E -0.225%K -0.258%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-07 23:05
NetBet (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.87%EV -6.57%E -6.14%K -93.80%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.13%EV -1.74%E -0.225%K -0.258%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-08 01:00
FanDuel🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.36%EV -3.95%E -3.59%K -39.46%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.64%EV -3.64%E -0.480%K -0.552%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-08 00:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.36%EV -3.95%E -3.59%K -39.46%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.64%EV -3.64%E -0.480%K -0.552%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-08 00:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.36%EV -3.95%E -3.59%K -39.46%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.64%EV -3.64%E -0.480%K -0.552%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-08 00:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.46%EV -4.82%E -4.42%K -53.55%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.54%EV -3.64%E -0.480%K -0.552%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-07 23:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.46%EV -4.82%E -4.42%K -53.55%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.54%EV -3.64%E -0.480%K -0.552%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-07 23:05
Pinnacle🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.38%EV -4.82%E -4.42%K -53.55%G +0.000%7.55I 13.25%NM 12.62%EV -4.28%E -0.567%K -0.653%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-08 00:35
DraftKings🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 87.11%EV -3.07%E -2.77%K -27.94%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV -4.91%E -0.655%K -0.756%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-08 01:00
Paddy Power🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.95%E -3.59%K -39.46%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -4.91%E -0.655%K -0.756%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-08 00:25
Sky Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.95%E -3.59%K -39.46%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -4.91%E -0.655%K -0.756%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-08 00:25
Neds🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.82%E -4.42%K -53.55%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -4.91%E -0.655%K -0.756%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 22:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.82%E -4.42%K -53.55%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -4.91%E -0.655%K -0.756%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 22:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.69%E -5.27%K -71.16%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -4.91%E -0.655%K -0.756%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 23:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.69%E -5.27%K -71.16%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -4.91%E -0.655%K -0.756%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 23:00
PlayUp🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.69%E -5.27%K -71.16%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -4.91%E -0.655%K -0.756%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-08 00:50
betano_uk🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.69%E -5.27%K -71.16%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -4.91%E -0.655%K -0.756%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 21:24
Coral🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.69%E -5.27%K -71.16%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -4.91%E -0.655%K -0.756%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 22:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.69%E -5.27%K -71.16%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -4.91%E -0.655%K -0.756%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 22:10
BetUS🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.69%E -5.27%K -71.16%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -4.91%E -0.655%K -0.756%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 19:05
BetAnything🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.24%EV -4.82%E -4.42%K -53.55%G +0.000%7.45I 13.42%NM 12.76%EV -5.55%E -0.744%K -0.860%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-07 23:00
LeoVegas🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.11%EV -5.69%E -5.27%K -71.16%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.89%EV -7.45%E -1.02%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-08 01:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.72%EV -3.07%E -2.77%K -27.94%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.28%EV -8.08%E -1.11%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-08 01:00
BetMGM🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -5.69%E -5.27%K -71.16%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -8.08%E -1.11%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-07 22:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.96%EV -5.69%E -5.27%K -71.16%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.04%EV -8.72%E -1.21%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-08 00:20
1xBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.47%EV -3.95%E -3.59%K -39.46%G +0.000%7.03I 14.22%NM 13.53%EV -10.87%E -1.55%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-08 00:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -2.20%E -1.96%K -18.33%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV -11.25%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-08 01:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.07%E -2.77%K -27.94%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -11.25%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-08 01:00
SportsBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.95%E -3.59%K -39.46%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -11.25%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-08 00:25
theScore Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.95%E -3.59%K -39.46%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -11.25%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-08 01:00
betfred_uk🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.69%E -5.27%K -71.16%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -11.25%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-08 00:45
Caesars🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.69%E -5.27%K -71.16%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -11.25%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-07 21:53
TAB🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.69%E -5.27%K -71.16%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -11.25%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-07 22:08
Fliff🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 86.68%EV -7.44%E -7.02%K -123.98%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.32%EV -12.52%E -1.81%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-08 01:00
Fanatics🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -3.07%E -2.77%K -27.94%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -15.06%E -2.25%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-08 01:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.07%E -2.77%K -27.94%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -17.59%E -2.71%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-08 00:25
NordicBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -3.95%E -3.59%K -39.46%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -17.59%E -2.71%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-08 01:00
Betsson🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -3.95%E -3.59%K -39.46%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -17.59%E -2.71%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-08 01:00
ReBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -3.95%E -3.59%K -39.46%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -17.59%E -2.71%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-08 01:00
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
ProphetX◎1.14I 87.72%NM 87.66%8.10I 12.35%NM 12.34%0.1%2026-09-08 01:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 88.14%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86%0.4%2026-09-08 01:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 88.14%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86%0.4%2026-09-08 01:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 87.89%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11%0.7%2026-09-08 01:00
Matchbook◎1.13I 88.50%NM 87.89%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11%0.7%2026-09-08 01:00
Novig◎1.12I 89.29%NM 87.29%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.71%2.3%2026-09-08 01:00
Smarkets◎1.11I 90.09%NM 87.82%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.18%2.6%2026-09-08 01:00