Langue:Français
Alexander Zverev v Luciano Darderi
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Alexander Zverev (Local)
Prévision 87.32%1.15cote équitable
EV -2.20%
Avantage -1.96%
Kelly -18.33%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.12
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
85.41%87.31%87.36%89.37%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.041.081.081.1296.15%92.30%92.59%89.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Luciano Darderi (Visiteur)
Prévision 12.68%7.89cote équitable
EV +14.10%
Avantage +1.57%
Kelly +1.76%
Croissance +0.249%
avec la cote maximale 9.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
10.63%12.69%12.64%14.59%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
6.507.817.579.0015.38%12.81%13.20%11.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Alexander Zverev (Local) : 87.32% ; Luciano Darderi (Visiteur) : 12.68%. Pour Luciano Darderi (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 7.89. 25 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 9.00, soit une espérance positive de +14.10%.
Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -6.57%E -6.14%K -93.80%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +14.10%E +1.57%K +1.76%G +0.249% | 4.6% | 2026-09-07 20:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -6.57%E -6.14%K -93.80%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +14.10%E +1.57%K +1.76%G +0.249% | 4.6% | 2026-09-07 20:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -6.57%E -6.14%K -93.80%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +14.10%E +1.57%K +1.76%G +0.249% | 4.6% | 2026-09-07 20:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -6.57%E -6.14%K -93.80%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +14.10%E +1.57%K +1.76%G +0.249% | 4.6% | 2026-09-07 20:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -6.57%E -6.14%K -93.80%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +14.10%E +1.57%K +1.76%G +0.249% | 4.6% | 2026-09-07 20:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -6.57%E -6.14%K -93.80%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +14.10%E +1.57%K +1.76%G +0.249% | 4.6% | 2026-09-07 20:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -6.57%E -6.14%K -93.80%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +14.10%E +1.57%K +1.76%G +0.249% | 4.6% | 2026-09-07 20:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -6.57%E -6.14%K -93.80%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +14.10%E +1.57%K +1.76%G +0.249% | 4.6% | 2026-09-07 20:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -6.57%E -6.14%K -93.80%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +14.10%E +1.57%K +1.76%G +0.249% | 4.6% | 2026-09-07 20:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -6.57%E -6.14%K -93.80%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +14.10%E +1.57%K +1.76%G +0.249% | 4.6% | 2026-09-07 20:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -6.57%E -6.14%K -93.80%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +14.10%E +1.57%K +1.76%G +0.249% | 4.6% | 2026-09-07 20:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -6.57%E -6.14%K -93.80%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +14.10%E +1.57%K +1.76%G +0.249% | 4.6% | 2026-09-07 20:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -6.57%E -6.14%K -93.80%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +14.10%E +1.57%K +1.76%G +0.249% | 4.6% | 2026-09-07 20:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -6.57%E -6.14%K -93.80%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +14.10%E +1.57%K +1.76%G +0.249% | 4.6% | 2026-09-07 20:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -6.57%E -6.14%K -93.80%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +14.10%E +1.57%K +1.76%G +0.249% | 4.6% | 2026-09-07 20:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -5.69%E -5.27%K -71.16%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +7.77%E +0.914%K +1.04%G +0.080% | 4.4% | 2026-09-07 23:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -9.19%E -8.83%K -229.64%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV +7.77%E +0.914%K +1.04%G +0.080% | 7.9% | 2026-09-07 20:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.37%EV -4.82%E -4.42%K -53.55%G +0.000% | 8.28I 12.08%NM 11.63%EV +4.98%E +0.601%K +0.684%G +0.034% | 3.8% | 2026-09-08 00:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 88.24%EV -3.95%E -3.59%K -39.46%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.76%EV +4.60%E +0.557%K +0.634%G +0.029% | 3.0% | 2026-09-07 19:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.69%E -5.27%K -71.16%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +1.43%E +0.178%K +0.204%G +0.003% | 5.1% | 2026-09-07 20:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.69%E -5.27%K -71.16%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +1.43%E +0.178%K +0.204%G +0.003% | 5.1% | 2026-09-06 10:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -6.57%E -6.14%K -93.80%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV +1.43%E +0.178%K +0.204%G +0.003% | 6.0% | 2026-09-06 10:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.44%E -7.02%K -123.98%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +1.43%E +0.178%K +0.204%G +0.003% | 6.8% | 2026-09-06 10:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.44%E -7.02%K -123.98%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +1.43%E +0.178%K +0.204%G +0.003% | 6.8% | 2026-09-06 10:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.44%E -7.02%K -123.98%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +1.43%E +0.178%K +0.204%G +0.003% | 6.8% | 2026-09-06 10:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.67%EV -4.82%E -4.42%K -53.55%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.33%EV -1.74%E -0.225%K -0.258%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-07 23:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.87%EV -6.57%E -6.14%K -93.80%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.13%EV -1.74%E -0.225%K -0.258%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-08 01:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.36%EV -3.95%E -3.59%K -39.46%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.64%EV -3.64%E -0.480%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-08 00:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.36%EV -3.95%E -3.59%K -39.46%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.64%EV -3.64%E -0.480%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-08 00:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.36%EV -3.95%E -3.59%K -39.46%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.64%EV -3.64%E -0.480%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-08 00:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.46%EV -4.82%E -4.42%K -53.55%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.54%EV -3.64%E -0.480%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-07 23:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.46%EV -4.82%E -4.42%K -53.55%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.54%EV -3.64%E -0.480%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-07 23:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.38%EV -4.82%E -4.42%K -53.55%G +0.000% | 7.55I 13.25%NM 12.62%EV -4.28%E -0.567%K -0.653%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-08 00:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.11%EV -3.07%E -2.77%K -27.94%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV -4.91%E -0.655%K -0.756%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-08 01:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.95%E -3.59%K -39.46%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -4.91%E -0.655%K -0.756%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-08 00:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.95%E -3.59%K -39.46%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -4.91%E -0.655%K -0.756%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-08 00:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.82%E -4.42%K -53.55%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -4.91%E -0.655%K -0.756%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-07 22:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.82%E -4.42%K -53.55%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -4.91%E -0.655%K -0.756%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-07 22:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.69%E -5.27%K -71.16%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -4.91%E -0.655%K -0.756%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-07 23:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.69%E -5.27%K -71.16%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -4.91%E -0.655%K -0.756%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-07 23:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.69%E -5.27%K -71.16%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -4.91%E -0.655%K -0.756%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-08 00:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.69%E -5.27%K -71.16%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -4.91%E -0.655%K -0.756%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-07 21:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.69%E -5.27%K -71.16%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -4.91%E -0.655%K -0.756%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-07 22:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.69%E -5.27%K -71.16%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -4.91%E -0.655%K -0.756%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-07 22:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.69%E -5.27%K -71.16%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -4.91%E -0.655%K -0.756%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-07 19:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.24%EV -4.82%E -4.42%K -53.55%G +0.000% | 7.45I 13.42%NM 12.76%EV -5.55%E -0.744%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-07 23:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.11%EV -5.69%E -5.27%K -71.16%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.89%EV -7.45%E -1.02%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-08 01:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.72%EV -3.07%E -2.77%K -27.94%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.28%EV -8.08%E -1.11%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-08 01:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -5.69%E -5.27%K -71.16%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -8.08%E -1.11%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-07 22:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.96%EV -5.69%E -5.27%K -71.16%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.04%EV -8.72%E -1.21%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-08 00:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.47%EV -3.95%E -3.59%K -39.46%G +0.000% | 7.03I 14.22%NM 13.53%EV -10.87%E -1.55%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-08 00:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -2.20%E -1.96%K -18.33%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV -11.25%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-08 01:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.07%E -2.77%K -27.94%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -11.25%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-08 01:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.95%E -3.59%K -39.46%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -11.25%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-08 00:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.95%E -3.59%K -39.46%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -11.25%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-08 01:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.69%E -5.27%K -71.16%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -11.25%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-08 00:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.69%E -5.27%K -71.16%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -11.25%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-07 21:53 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.69%E -5.27%K -71.16%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -11.25%E -1.61%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-07 22:08 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.68%EV -7.44%E -7.02%K -123.98%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.32%EV -12.52%E -1.81%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-08 01:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -3.07%E -2.77%K -27.94%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -15.06%E -2.25%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-08 01:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.07%E -2.77%K -27.94%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -17.59%E -2.71%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-08 00:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -3.95%E -3.59%K -39.46%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -17.59%E -2.71%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-08 01:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -3.95%E -3.59%K -39.46%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -17.59%E -2.71%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-08 01:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -3.95%E -3.59%K -39.46%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -17.59%E -2.71%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-08 01:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.66% | 8.10I 12.35%NM 12.34% | 0.1% | 2026-09-08 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 88.14% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86% | 0.4% | 2026-09-08 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 88.14% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86% | 0.4% | 2026-09-08 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.89% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11% | 0.7% | 2026-09-08 01:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.89% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11% | 0.7% | 2026-09-08 01:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 87.29% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.71% | 2.3% | 2026-09-08 01:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.82% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.18% | 2.6% | 2026-09-08 01:00 |