Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alexander Zverev v Ben Shelton

2026-09-13 18:00 UTC — ATP US Open

Head to Head

65 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

57%

43%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alexander Zverev (Local)

Prediction 57.17%1.75fair odd

EV -1.66%

Edge -0.967%

Kelly -2.31%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

55.99%57.22%57.14%58.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.621.671.681.7261.73%59.84%59.52%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Ben Shelton (Visit)

Prediction 42.83%2.33fair odd

EV -1.50%

Edge -0.650%

Kelly -1.15%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

41.77%42.78%42.86%44.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.152.222.232.3046.51%45.06%44.84%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Alexander Zverev (Local): 57.17%; Ben Shelton (Visit): 42.83%. For Ben Shelton (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.33. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.30, with an expected value of -1.50%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
1xBet🎯	1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21%EV -1.66%E -0.967%K -2.31%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79%EV -1.50%E -0.650%K -1.15%G +0.000%	1.6%	2026-09-12 15:50
GTbets🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -2.81%E -1.65%K -4.01%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -1.50%E -0.650%K -1.15%G +0.000%	2.3%	2026-09-12 14:20
Coolbet🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -2.81%E -1.65%K -4.01%G +0.000%	2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -2.78%E -1.23%K -2.19%G +0.000%	2.9%	2026-09-12 19:40
Pinnacle🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%EV -3.38%E -2.00%K -4.90%G +0.000%	2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%EV -2.35%E -1.03%K -1.84%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-09-12 14:20
Fanatics🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.38%E -2.00%K -4.90%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.64%E -1.62%K -2.91%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-09-12 14:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.38%E -2.00%K -4.90%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.64%E -1.62%K -2.91%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-09-12 15:46
BetMGM🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.38%E -2.00%K -4.90%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.78%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-09-12 14:20
BetUS🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.38%E -2.00%K -4.90%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.92%E -3.68%K -6.89%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-09-12 14:35
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -3.95%E -2.35%K -5.81%G +0.000%	2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -2.35%E -1.03%K -1.84%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-09-12 14:20
LowVig.ag🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -3.95%E -2.35%K -5.81%G +0.000%	2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -2.35%E -1.03%K -1.84%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-09-12 14:20
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.95%E -2.35%K -5.81%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.64%E -1.62%K -2.91%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-09-12 14:20
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.95%E -2.35%K -5.81%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.64%E -1.62%K -2.91%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-09-12 14:16
Winamax (FR)🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.95%E -2.35%K -5.81%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.64%E -1.62%K -2.91%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-09-12 14:20
Winamax (DE)🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.95%E -2.35%K -5.81%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.64%E -1.62%K -2.91%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-09-12 14:20
Marathon Bet🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.95%E -2.35%K -5.81%G +0.000%	2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -4.07%E -1.82%K -3.28%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-09-12 15:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.95%E -2.35%K -5.81%G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.49%E -2.02%K -3.65%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-09-12 16:01
Casumo🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.95%E -2.35%K -5.81%G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.49%E -2.02%K -3.65%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-09-12 16:01
Grosvenor🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.95%E -2.35%K -5.81%G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.49%E -2.02%K -3.65%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-09-12 16:01
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.95%E -2.35%K -5.81%G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.49%E -2.02%K -3.65%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-09-12 16:00
TABtouch🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.95%E -2.35%K -5.81%G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.49%E -2.02%K -3.65%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-09-12 17:10
Unibet🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.95%E -2.35%K -5.81%G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.49%E -2.02%K -3.65%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-09-12 16:00
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.95%E -2.35%K -5.81%G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.49%E -2.02%K -3.65%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-09-12 16:01
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.95%E -2.35%K -5.81%G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.49%E -2.02%K -3.65%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-09-12 16:01
Virgin Bet🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.95%E -2.35%K -5.81%G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.49%E -2.02%K -3.65%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-09-12 16:01
BetRivers🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.95%E -2.35%K -5.81%G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.49%E -2.02%K -3.65%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-09-12 16:01
Svenska Spel🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.95%E -2.35%K -5.81%G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.49%E -2.02%K -3.65%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-09-12 16:00
ATG (SE)🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.95%E -2.35%K -5.81%G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.49%E -2.02%K -3.65%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-09-12 16:01
betPARX🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.95%E -2.35%K -5.81%G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.49%E -2.02%K -3.65%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-09-12 16:00
Bally Bet🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.95%E -2.35%K -5.81%G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.49%E -2.02%K -3.65%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-09-12 16:00
FanDuel🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -3.95%E -2.35%K -5.81%G +0.000%	2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -4.92%E -2.22%K -4.03%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-09-12 14:20
TAB🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.95%E -2.35%K -5.81%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.78%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-12 14:20
SportsBet🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -3.95%E -2.35%K -5.81%G +0.000%	2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -6.21%E -2.83%K -5.22%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-09-12 18:03
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -3.95%E -2.35%K -5.81%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.92%E -3.68%K -6.89%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-09-12 14:20
Neds🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -3.95%E -2.35%K -5.81%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.92%E -3.68%K -6.89%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-09-12 14:20
Bovada🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.52%E -2.71%K -6.75%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.64%E -1.62%K -2.91%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-09-12 14:17
BoyleSports🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.52%E -2.71%K -6.75%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.64%E -1.62%K -2.91%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-09-12 14:20
NetBet (FR)🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.52%E -2.71%K -6.75%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.64%E -1.62%K -2.91%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-09-12 14:20
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.52%E -2.71%K -6.75%G +0.000%	2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.92%E -2.22%K -4.03%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-09-12 18:10
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -4.52%E -2.71%K -6.75%G +0.000%	2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -5.35%E -2.42%K -4.42%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-12 17:00
betfred_uk🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.52%E -2.71%K -6.75%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.78%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-12 14:20
betano_uk🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.52%E -2.71%K -6.75%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.78%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-12 14:20
Paddy Power🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.52%E -2.71%K -6.75%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.78%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-12 14:20
Sky Bet🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.52%E -2.71%K -6.75%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.78%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-12 14:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.52%E -2.71%K -6.75%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.78%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-12 14:20
BetAnything🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.52%E -2.71%K -6.75%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.78%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-12 14:20
888sport🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.52%E -2.71%K -6.75%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.78%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-12 14:20
William Hill🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.52%E -2.71%K -6.75%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.78%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-12 14:20
Caesars🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.52%E -2.71%K -6.75%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.78%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-12 14:16
theScore Bet🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.52%E -2.71%K -6.75%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.78%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-12 14:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.52%E -2.71%K -6.75%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.78%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-12 14:20
888sport (SE)🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.52%E -2.71%K -6.75%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.78%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-12 14:20
DraftKings🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -5.09%E -3.07%K -7.72%G +0.000%	2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -4.07%E -1.82%K -3.28%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-09-12 15:00
Betway🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.67%E -3.43%K -8.72%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.50%E -0.650%K -1.15%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-09-12 15:46
PlayUp🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.67%E -3.43%K -8.72%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.78%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-09-12 14:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.67%E -3.43%K -8.72%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.78%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-09-12 14:19
NordicBet🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -5.67%E -3.43%K -8.72%G +0.000%	2.19I 45.66%NM 42.97%EV -6.21%E -2.83%K -5.22%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-09-12 14:20
Betsson🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -5.67%E -3.43%K -8.72%G +0.000%	2.19I 45.66%NM 42.97%EV -6.21%E -2.83%K -5.22%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-09-12 14:20
Coral🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.67%E -3.43%K -8.72%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.92%E -3.68%K -6.89%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-09-12 14:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.67%E -3.43%K -8.72%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.92%E -3.68%K -6.89%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-09-12 14:20
Betr (AU)🎯	1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.24%E -3.80%K -9.75%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.78%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-09-12 15:45
ReBet🎯	1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -6.24%E -3.80%K -9.75%G +0.000%	2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -7.06%E -3.26%K -6.04%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-09-12 18:05
PMU (FR)🎯	1.63I 61.35%NM 56.99%EV -6.81%E -4.18%K -10.81%G +0.000%	2.16I 46.30%NM 43.01%EV -7.49%E -3.47%K -6.46%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-09-12 16:01
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.38%E -4.56%K -11.90%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.64%E -1.62%K -2.91%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-09-12 14:20
Fliff🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.38%E -4.56%K -11.90%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.78%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-09-12 18:05
LeoVegas🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.38%E -4.56%K -11.90%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.92%E -3.68%K -6.89%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-09-12 14:20

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.74I 57.47%NM 57.35%	2.34I 42.74%NM 42.65%	0.2%	2026-09-12 18:51
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.74I 57.47%NM 57.35%	2.34I 42.74%NM 42.65%	0.2%	2026-09-12 18:51
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	1.74I 57.47%NM 57.35%	2.34I 42.74%NM 42.65%	0.2%	2026-09-12 18:51
Matchbook◎	1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%	2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%	0.5%	2026-09-12 19:30
ProphetX◎	1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%	2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%	0.6%	2026-09-12 19:11
Novig◎	1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%	2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%	0.6%	2026-09-12 19:11
Smarkets◎	1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%	2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%	2.0%	2026-09-12 18:51