默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Alexander Zverev v Ben Shelton

开赛时间: 2026-09-13 18:13 UTC

最终结果: Alexander Zverev 3–1 Ben Shelton

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

65 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Alexander Zverev (主队)

预测 57.27%1.75公平赔率
EV +0.216%
优势 +0.123%
Kelly +0.287%
增长率 +0.001%

假设最高赔率为 1.75

博彩公司预测分布
54.43%57.22%57.25%59.38%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.561.661.671.7564.10%60.38%59.88%57.14%最小值均值中位数最大值

Ben Shelton (客队)

预测 42.73%2.34公平赔率
EV +0.425%
优势 +0.181%
Kelly +0.315%
增长率 +0.001%

假设最高赔率为 2.35

博彩公司预测分布
40.63%42.78%42.75%45.57%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.092.252.252.3547.85%44.47%44.44%42.55%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Alexander Zverev (主队):57.27%;Ben Shelton (客队):42.73%。 对于“Ben Shelton (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.34。 当时有14家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为2.35,对应+0.425%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (65 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -7.23%E -4.46%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV +0.425%E +0.181%K +0.315%G +0.001%4.3%2026-09-13 17:55
Casumo🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -7.23%E -4.46%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV +0.425%E +0.181%K +0.315%G +0.001%4.3%2026-09-13 17:55
Grosvenor🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -7.23%E -4.46%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV +0.425%E +0.181%K +0.315%G +0.001%4.3%2026-09-13 17:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -7.23%E -4.46%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV +0.425%E +0.181%K +0.315%G +0.001%4.3%2026-09-13 17:55
Unibet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -7.23%E -4.46%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV +0.425%E +0.181%K +0.315%G +0.001%4.3%2026-09-13 17:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -7.23%E -4.46%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV +0.425%E +0.181%K +0.315%G +0.001%4.3%2026-09-13 17:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -7.23%E -4.46%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV +0.425%E +0.181%K +0.315%G +0.001%4.3%2026-09-13 17:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -7.23%E -4.46%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV +0.425%E +0.181%K +0.315%G +0.001%4.3%2026-09-13 17:55
BetRivers🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -7.23%E -4.46%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV +0.425%E +0.181%K +0.315%G +0.001%4.3%2026-09-13 17:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -7.23%E -4.46%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV +0.425%E +0.181%K +0.315%G +0.001%4.3%2026-09-13 17:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -7.23%E -4.46%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV +0.425%E +0.181%K +0.315%G +0.001%4.3%2026-09-13 17:55
betPARX🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -7.23%E -4.46%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV +0.425%E +0.181%K +0.315%G +0.001%4.3%2026-09-13 17:55
Bally Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -7.23%E -4.46%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV +0.425%E +0.181%K +0.315%G +0.001%4.3%2026-09-13 17:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -7.23%E -4.46%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV +0.425%E +0.181%K +0.315%G +0.001%4.3%2026-09-13 17:55
Bovada🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -3.79%E -2.26%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -0.430%E -0.184%K -0.323%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-13 17:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -3.79%E -2.26%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -1.71%E -0.744%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-13 17:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -3.79%E -2.26%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -1.71%E -0.744%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-13 17:55
ReBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.97%EV -4.94%E -2.97%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -2.14%E -0.934%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-13 16:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.12%EV -5.51%E -3.34%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.88%EV -2.14%E -0.934%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 17:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.12%EV -5.51%E -3.34%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.88%EV -2.14%E -0.934%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 16:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -6.08%E -3.71%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -2.14%E -0.934%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-13 16:51
PMU (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -10.67%E -6.84%K -19.04%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -2.57%E -1.13%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-13 17:55
Pinnacle🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.08%E -1.21%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -2.99%E -1.32%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-13 17:36
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -2.65%E -1.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -2.99%E -1.32%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-13 17:40
FanDuel🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -4.94%E -2.97%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -3.42%E -1.51%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-13 13:20
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.22%E -1.91%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.85%E -1.71%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-13 17:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.79%E -2.26%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.85%E -1.71%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-13 17:51
Betclic (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.79%E -2.26%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.85%E -1.71%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-13 17:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.79%E -2.26%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.85%E -1.71%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-13 17:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.79%E -2.26%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.85%E -1.71%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-13 17:35
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.37%E -2.61%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.85%E -1.71%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-12 14:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.37%E -2.61%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.85%E -1.71%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 17:41
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.51%E -3.34%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.85%E -1.71%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 11:24
Tipico (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.23%E -4.46%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.85%E -1.71%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-13 16:51
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.79%E -2.26%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.70%E -2.11%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-13 17:05
SportsBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.94%E -2.97%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.70%E -2.11%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 16:01
1xBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -3.79%E -2.26%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -5.13%E -2.31%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-13 17:54
NordicBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.66%EV -6.66%E -4.08%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.34%EV -5.13%E -2.31%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 16:49
Betsson🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.66%EV -6.66%E -4.08%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.34%EV -5.13%E -2.31%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 16:50
Betway🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.65%E -1.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.99%E -2.72%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 17:40
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.22%E -1.91%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.99%E -2.72%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-13 17:05
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.37%E -2.61%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.99%E -2.72%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 14:20
betano_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.37%E -2.61%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.99%E -2.72%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 16:54
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.37%E -2.61%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.99%E -2.72%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 16:00
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.37%E -2.61%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.99%E -2.72%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 14:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.37%E -2.61%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.99%E -2.72%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 14:20
BetAnything🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.37%E -2.61%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.99%E -2.72%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 17:40
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.37%E -2.61%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.99%E -2.72%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 17:20
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.37%E -2.61%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.99%E -2.72%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 17:25
Caesars🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.37%E -2.61%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.99%E -2.72%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 14:16
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.37%E -2.61%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.99%E -2.72%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 17:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.37%E -2.61%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.99%E -2.72%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 17:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.94%E -2.97%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.99%E -2.72%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-13 17:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.51%E -3.34%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.99%E -2.72%K -4.99%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 17:20
LeoVegas🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.51%E -3.34%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.99%E -2.72%K -4.99%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 17:35
BetUS🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.74%EV -4.37%E -2.61%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.26%EV -6.41%E -2.93%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-13 17:50
GTbets🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -7.23%E -4.46%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -6.84%E -3.14%K -5.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-13 17:55
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.22%E -1.91%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -8.12%E -3.78%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-13 17:55
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -3.79%E -2.26%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -8.12%E -3.78%K -7.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 17:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -3.79%E -2.26%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -8.12%E -3.78%K -7.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 17:55
Neds🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -3.79%E -2.26%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -8.12%E -3.78%K -7.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 17:05
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.51%E -3.34%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.12%E -3.78%K -7.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 17:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.51%E -3.34%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.12%E -3.78%K -7.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 17:05
Fliff🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.23%E -4.46%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -8.12%E -3.78%K -7.06%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-13 17:55
DraftKings🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV +0.216%E +0.123%K +0.287%G +0.001%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -10.69%E -5.11%K -9.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 17:55
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (7)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook◎1.71I 58.48%NM 58.39%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.61%0.1%2026-09-13 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-09-13 17:51
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-09-13 17:51
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-09-13 17:51
Novig◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.74%2.35I 42.55%NM 42.26%0.7%2026-09-13 17:41
ProphetX◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-09-13 17:55
Smarkets◎1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%1.5%2026-09-13 17:55