Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Alexander Zverev v Ben Shelton

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-13 18:13 UTC

Score final : Alexander Zverev 3–1 Ben Shelton

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

65 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Alexander Zverev (Local)

Prévision 57.27%1.75cote équitable
EV +0.216%
Avantage +0.123%
Kelly +0.287%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 1.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.43%57.22%57.25%59.38%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.561.661.671.7564.10%60.38%59.88%57.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Ben Shelton (Visiteur)

Prévision 42.73%2.34cote équitable
EV +0.425%
Avantage +0.181%
Kelly +0.315%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 2.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.63%42.78%42.75%45.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.092.252.252.3547.85%44.47%44.44%42.55%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Alexander Zverev (Local) : 57.27% ; Ben Shelton (Visiteur) : 42.73%. Pour Ben Shelton (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.34. 14 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.35, soit une espérance positive de +0.425%.

Cotes des opérateurs (65 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -7.23%E -4.46%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV +0.425%E +0.181%K +0.315%G +0.001%4.3%2026-09-13 17:55
Casumo🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -7.23%E -4.46%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV +0.425%E +0.181%K +0.315%G +0.001%4.3%2026-09-13 17:55
Grosvenor🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -7.23%E -4.46%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV +0.425%E +0.181%K +0.315%G +0.001%4.3%2026-09-13 17:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -7.23%E -4.46%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV +0.425%E +0.181%K +0.315%G +0.001%4.3%2026-09-13 17:55
Unibet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -7.23%E -4.46%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV +0.425%E +0.181%K +0.315%G +0.001%4.3%2026-09-13 17:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -7.23%E -4.46%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV +0.425%E +0.181%K +0.315%G +0.001%4.3%2026-09-13 17:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -7.23%E -4.46%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV +0.425%E +0.181%K +0.315%G +0.001%4.3%2026-09-13 17:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -7.23%E -4.46%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV +0.425%E +0.181%K +0.315%G +0.001%4.3%2026-09-13 17:55
BetRivers🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -7.23%E -4.46%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV +0.425%E +0.181%K +0.315%G +0.001%4.3%2026-09-13 17:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -7.23%E -4.46%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV +0.425%E +0.181%K +0.315%G +0.001%4.3%2026-09-13 17:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -7.23%E -4.46%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV +0.425%E +0.181%K +0.315%G +0.001%4.3%2026-09-13 17:55
betPARX🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -7.23%E -4.46%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV +0.425%E +0.181%K +0.315%G +0.001%4.3%2026-09-13 17:55
Bally Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -7.23%E -4.46%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV +0.425%E +0.181%K +0.315%G +0.001%4.3%2026-09-13 17:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -7.23%E -4.46%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV +0.425%E +0.181%K +0.315%G +0.001%4.3%2026-09-13 17:55
Bovada🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -3.79%E -2.26%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -0.430%E -0.184%K -0.323%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-13 17:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -3.79%E -2.26%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -1.71%E -0.744%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-13 17:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -3.79%E -2.26%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -1.71%E -0.744%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-13 17:55
ReBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.97%EV -4.94%E -2.97%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -2.14%E -0.934%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-13 16:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.12%EV -5.51%E -3.34%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.88%EV -2.14%E -0.934%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 17:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.12%EV -5.51%E -3.34%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.88%EV -2.14%E -0.934%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 16:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -6.08%E -3.71%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -2.14%E -0.934%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-13 16:51
PMU (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -10.67%E -6.84%K -19.04%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -2.57%E -1.13%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-13 17:55
Pinnacle🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.08%E -1.21%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -2.99%E -1.32%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-13 17:36
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -2.65%E -1.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -2.99%E -1.32%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-13 17:40
FanDuel🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -4.94%E -2.97%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -3.42%E -1.51%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-13 13:20
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.22%E -1.91%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.85%E -1.71%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-13 17:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.79%E -2.26%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.85%E -1.71%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-13 17:51
Betclic (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.79%E -2.26%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.85%E -1.71%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-13 17:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.79%E -2.26%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.85%E -1.71%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-13 17:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.79%E -2.26%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.85%E -1.71%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-13 17:35
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.37%E -2.61%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.85%E -1.71%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-12 14:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.37%E -2.61%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.85%E -1.71%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 17:41
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.51%E -3.34%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.85%E -1.71%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 11:24
Tipico (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.23%E -4.46%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.85%E -1.71%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-13 16:51
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.79%E -2.26%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.70%E -2.11%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-13 17:05
SportsBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.94%E -2.97%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.70%E -2.11%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 16:01
1xBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -3.79%E -2.26%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -5.13%E -2.31%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-13 17:54
NordicBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.66%EV -6.66%E -4.08%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.34%EV -5.13%E -2.31%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 16:49
Betsson🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.66%EV -6.66%E -4.08%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.34%EV -5.13%E -2.31%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 16:50
Betway🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.65%E -1.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.99%E -2.72%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 17:40
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.22%E -1.91%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.99%E -2.72%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-13 17:05
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.37%E -2.61%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.99%E -2.72%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 14:20
betano_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.37%E -2.61%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.99%E -2.72%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 16:54
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.37%E -2.61%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.99%E -2.72%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 16:00
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.37%E -2.61%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.99%E -2.72%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 14:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.37%E -2.61%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.99%E -2.72%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 14:20
BetAnything🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.37%E -2.61%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.99%E -2.72%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 17:40
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.37%E -2.61%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.99%E -2.72%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 17:20
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.37%E -2.61%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.99%E -2.72%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 17:25
Caesars🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.37%E -2.61%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.99%E -2.72%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 14:16
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.37%E -2.61%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.99%E -2.72%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 17:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.37%E -2.61%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.99%E -2.72%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 17:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.94%E -2.97%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.99%E -2.72%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-13 17:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.51%E -3.34%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.99%E -2.72%K -4.99%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 17:20
LeoVegas🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.51%E -3.34%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.99%E -2.72%K -4.99%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 17:35
BetUS🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.74%EV -4.37%E -2.61%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.26%EV -6.41%E -2.93%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-13 17:50
GTbets🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -7.23%E -4.46%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -6.84%E -3.14%K -5.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-13 17:55
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.22%E -1.91%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -8.12%E -3.78%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-13 17:55
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -3.79%E -2.26%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -8.12%E -3.78%K -7.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 17:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -3.79%E -2.26%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -8.12%E -3.78%K -7.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 17:55
Neds🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -3.79%E -2.26%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -8.12%E -3.78%K -7.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 17:05
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.51%E -3.34%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.12%E -3.78%K -7.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 17:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.51%E -3.34%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.12%E -3.78%K -7.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 17:05
Fliff🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.23%E -4.46%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -8.12%E -3.78%K -7.06%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-13 17:55
DraftKings🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV +0.216%E +0.123%K +0.287%G +0.001%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -10.69%E -5.11%K -9.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 17:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎1.71I 58.48%NM 58.39%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.61%0.1%2026-09-13 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-09-13 17:51
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-09-13 17:51
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-09-13 17:51
Novig◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.74%2.35I 42.55%NM 42.26%0.7%2026-09-13 17:41
ProphetX◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-09-13 17:55
Smarkets◎1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%1.5%2026-09-13 17:55