语言:简体中文
Alexander Bublik v Tommy Paul
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Alexander Bublik (主队)
预测 38.96%2.57公平赔率
EV -2.59%
优势 -1.04%
Kelly -1.73%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.50
博彩公司预测分布
37.97%39.02%38.93%40.51%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.332.422.402.5042.92%41.39%41.67%40.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
Tommy Paul (客队)
预测 61.04%1.64公平赔率
EV -1.12%
优势 -0.692%
Kelly -1.81%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.62
博彩公司预测分布
59.49%60.98%61.07%62.03%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.531.561.571.6265.36%63.97%63.69%61.73%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Alexander Bublik (主队)：38.96%；Tommy Paul (客队)：61.04%。 对于“Tommy Paul (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.64。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为1.62，期望值为-1.12%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (64 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -2.59%E -1.04%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -2.95%E -1.86%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-04 11:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -2.59%E -1.04%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -3.56%E -2.26%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-04 11:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.59%E -1.04%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.17%E -2.66%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.59%E -1.04%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.78%E -3.07%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 07:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -2.59%E -1.04%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -5.39%E -3.48%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-04 14:31 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.59%E -1.04%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.61%E -4.32%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 12:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.67%EV -2.98%E -1.20%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.33%EV -4.17%E -2.66%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.52%EV -2.98%E -1.20%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.48%EV -4.78%E -3.07%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.52%EV -2.98%E -1.20%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.48%EV -4.78%E -3.07%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-04 14:31 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -3.37%E -1.36%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.78%E -3.07%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -3.37%E -1.36%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -6.61%E -4.32%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 08:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -3.76%E -1.52%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -1.73%E -1.08%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -4.15%E -1.69%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -4.78%E -3.07%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-04 14:13 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -4.15%E -1.69%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -4.78%E -3.07%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -4.54%E -1.85%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.56%E -2.26%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.54%E -1.85%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.17%E -2.66%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-04 14:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.54%E -1.85%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.17%E -2.66%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.54%E -1.85%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.78%E -3.07%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-04 14:31 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.54%E -1.85%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.78%E -3.07%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-04 11:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.54%E -1.85%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -6.00%E -3.90%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 07:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.54%E -1.85%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.61%E -4.32%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -5.32%E -2.19%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -5.39%E -3.48%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 13:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -5.32%E -2.19%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -6.61%E -4.32%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -5.32%E -2.19%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -6.61%E -4.32%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.73%EV -5.71%E -2.36%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.27%EV -6.61%E -4.32%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -6.49%E -2.70%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -1.12%E -0.692%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -6.49%E -2.70%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -1.12%E -0.692%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -6.49%E -2.70%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -2.95%E -1.86%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-03 23:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.49%E -2.70%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.17%E -2.66%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.49%E -2.70%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.17%E -2.66%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 13:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.49%E -2.70%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.17%E -2.66%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 13:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.49%E -2.70%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.39%E -3.48%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 11:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.49%E -2.70%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.39%E -3.48%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 14:31 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.49%E -2.70%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.39%E -3.48%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.49%E -2.70%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.00%E -3.90%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-03 13:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.49%E -2.70%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.61%E -4.32%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-03 13:19 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.49%E -2.70%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.61%E -4.32%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-03 13:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.49%E -2.70%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.61%E -4.32%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.65%EV -6.88%E -2.88%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.35%EV -4.17%E -2.66%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 13:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -7.27%E -3.05%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -3.56%E -2.26%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 23:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -7.27%E -3.05%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -3.56%E -2.26%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 07:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -7.27%E -3.05%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -3.56%E -2.26%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 07:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.27%E -3.05%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.17%E -2.66%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 11:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.27%E -3.05%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.17%E -2.66%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 07:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.27%E -3.05%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.17%E -2.66%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 07:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.27%E -3.05%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.17%E -2.66%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 07:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.27%E -3.05%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.17%E -2.66%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 23:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.27%E -3.05%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.17%E -2.66%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 23:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.27%E -3.05%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.17%E -2.66%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 23:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.27%E -3.05%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.17%E -2.66%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 23:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.27%E -3.05%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.17%E -2.66%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 23:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.27%E -3.05%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.17%E -2.66%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 23:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.27%E -3.05%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.17%E -2.66%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 07:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.27%E -3.05%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.17%E -2.66%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 07:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.27%E -3.05%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.17%E -2.66%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 11:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.27%E -3.05%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.17%E -2.66%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 11:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.27%E -3.05%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.17%E -2.66%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 14:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.27%E -3.05%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.17%E -2.66%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 11:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.27%E -3.05%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.17%E -2.66%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 11:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -7.66%E -3.23%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -6.61%E -4.32%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-03 13:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -7.66%E -3.23%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -6.61%E -4.32%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-03 13:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -8.43%E -3.59%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.34%E -1.46%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 14:08 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -8.43%E -3.59%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -3.56%E -2.26%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -9.21%E -3.95%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.21%EV -6.00%E -3.90%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-04 07:04 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (8)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77% | 0.3% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77% | 0.3% | 2026-09-04 14:31 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77% | 0.3% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77% | 0.3% | 2026-09-04 14:31 |
| Novig◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 0.6% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 0.7% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 1.2% | 2026-09-03 14:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83% | 2.1% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |