StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Alexander Bublik v Tommy Paul

Spielbeginn: 2026-09-04 16:10 UTC

Endstand: Alexander Bublik 2–3 Tommy Paul

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

64 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Alexander Bublik (Heim)

Prognose 38.96%2.57faire Quote
EV -2.59%
Vorteil -1.04%
Kelly -1.73%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.50

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
37.97%39.02%38.93%40.51%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.332.422.402.5042.92%41.39%41.67%40.00%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Tommy Paul (Auswärts)

Prognose 61.04%1.64faire Quote
EV -1.12%
Vorteil -0.692%
Kelly -1.81%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.62

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
59.49%60.98%61.07%62.03%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.531.561.571.6265.36%63.97%63.69%61.73%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Alexander Bublik (Heim): 38.96%; Tommy Paul (Auswärts): 61.04%. Für Tommy Paul (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 1.64. Kein geeigneter Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an: Die beste betrug 1.62, bei einem Erwartungswert von -1.12%; sie ergab keinen positiven Erwartungswert.

Wettanbieterquoten (64 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Coolbet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -2.59%E -1.04%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -2.95%E -1.86%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-04 11:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -2.59%E -1.04%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -3.56%E -2.26%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-04 11:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.59%E -1.04%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.17%E -2.66%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-04 14:10
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.59%E -1.04%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.78%E -3.07%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-04 07:34
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -2.59%E -1.04%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -5.39%E -3.48%K -9.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-04 14:31
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.59%E -1.04%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.61%E -4.32%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 12:59
ReBet🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 38.67%EV -2.98%E -1.20%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.33%EV -4.17%E -2.66%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-04 14:15
1xBet🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 38.52%EV -2.98%E -1.20%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.48%EV -4.78%E -3.07%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-04 14:35
BetUS🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 38.52%EV -2.98%E -1.20%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.48%EV -4.78%E -3.07%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-04 14:31
Unibet (UK)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -3.37%E -1.36%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.78%E -3.07%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-04 14:10
GTbets🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -3.37%E -1.36%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -6.61%E -4.32%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-03 08:05
Pinnacle🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -3.76%E -1.52%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -1.73%E -1.08%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-04 14:15
MyBookie.ag🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -4.15%E -1.69%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -4.78%E -3.07%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 14:13
FanDuel🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -4.15%E -1.69%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -4.78%E -3.07%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 14:30
Betclic (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -4.54%E -1.85%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.56%E -2.26%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-04 14:10
Bovada🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.54%E -1.85%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.17%E -2.66%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-04 14:09
BetAnything🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.54%E -1.85%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.17%E -2.66%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-04 14:15
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.54%E -1.85%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.78%E -3.07%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-04 14:31
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.54%E -1.85%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.78%E -3.07%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-04 11:25
theScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.54%E -1.85%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -6.00%E -3.90%K -11.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 07:35
LeoVegas🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.54%E -1.85%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.61%E -4.32%K -12.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 14:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -5.32%E -2.19%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -5.39%E -3.48%K -9.81%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 13:00
Betsson🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -5.32%E -2.19%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -6.61%E -4.32%K -12.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 14:10
NordicBet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -5.32%E -2.19%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -6.61%E -4.32%K -12.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 14:10
NetBet (FR)🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.73%EV -5.71%E -2.36%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.27%EV -6.61%E -4.32%K -12.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 14:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -6.49%E -2.70%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -1.12%E -0.692%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-04 14:15
BetOnline.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -6.49%E -2.70%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -1.12%E -0.692%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-04 14:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -6.49%E -2.70%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -2.95%E -1.86%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-03 23:35
betano_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.49%E -2.70%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.17%E -2.66%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 14:30
Neds🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.49%E -2.70%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.17%E -2.66%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 13:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.49%E -2.70%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.17%E -2.66%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 13:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.49%E -2.70%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.39%E -3.48%K -9.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 11:30
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.49%E -2.70%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.39%E -3.48%K -9.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 14:31
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.49%E -2.70%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.39%E -3.48%K -9.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 14:10
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.49%E -2.70%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.00%E -3.90%K -11.12%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-03 13:05
Caesars🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.49%E -2.70%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.61%E -4.32%K -12.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 13:19
Fliff🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.49%E -2.70%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.61%E -4.32%K -12.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 13:05
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.49%E -2.70%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.61%E -4.32%K -12.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 14:30
DraftKings🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 39.65%EV -6.88%E -2.88%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.35%EV -4.17%E -2.66%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 13:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -7.27%E -3.05%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -3.56%E -2.26%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 23:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -7.27%E -3.05%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -3.56%E -2.26%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 07:05
Unibet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -7.27%E -3.05%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -3.56%E -2.26%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 07:05
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.27%E -3.05%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.17%E -2.66%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 11:35
Grosvenor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.27%E -3.05%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.17%E -2.66%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 07:05
Casumo🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.27%E -3.05%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.17%E -2.66%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 07:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.27%E -3.05%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.17%E -2.66%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 07:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.27%E -3.05%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.17%E -2.66%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-03 23:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.27%E -3.05%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.17%E -2.66%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-03 23:35
BetRivers🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.27%E -3.05%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.17%E -2.66%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-03 23:35
TABtouch🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.27%E -3.05%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.17%E -2.66%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-03 23:35
betPARX🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.27%E -3.05%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.17%E -2.66%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-03 23:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.27%E -3.05%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.17%E -2.66%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-03 23:35
Bally Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.27%E -3.05%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.17%E -2.66%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 07:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.27%E -3.05%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.17%E -2.66%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 07:05
888sport🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.27%E -3.05%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.17%E -2.66%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 11:10
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.27%E -3.05%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.17%E -2.66%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 11:10
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.27%E -3.05%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.17%E -2.66%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 14:29
888sport (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.27%E -3.05%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.17%E -2.66%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 11:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.27%E -3.05%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.17%E -2.66%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 11:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -7.66%E -3.23%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -6.61%E -4.32%K -12.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-03 13:05
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -7.66%E -3.23%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -6.61%E -4.32%K -12.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-03 13:05
TAB🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -8.43%E -3.59%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.34%E -1.46%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 14:08
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -8.43%E -3.59%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -3.56%E -2.26%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 14:10
PMU (FR)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -9.21%E -3.95%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.21%EV -6.00%E -3.90%K -11.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-04 07:04
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (8)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%0.3%2026-09-04 14:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%0.3%2026-09-04 14:31
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%0.3%2026-09-04 14:35
Matchbook◎2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%0.3%2026-09-04 14:31
Novig◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%0.6%2026-09-04 14:15
ProphetX◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%0.7%2026-09-04 14:10
Kalshi◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-09-03 14:15
Smarkets◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.1%2026-09-04 14:35