Idioma:Español
Alexander Bublik v Tommy Paul
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Alexander Bublik (Local)
Predicción 38.96%2.57momio equitativo
EV -2.59%
Ventaja -1.04%
Kelly -1.73%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.97%39.02%38.93%40.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.332.422.402.5042.92%41.39%41.67%40.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Tommy Paul (Visitante)
Predicción 61.04%1.64momio equitativo
EV -1.12%
Ventaja -0.692%
Kelly -1.81%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.62
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.49%60.98%61.07%62.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.531.561.571.6265.36%63.97%63.69%61.73%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Alexander Bublik (Local): 38.96%; Tommy Paul (Visitante): 61.04%. Para Tommy Paul (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.64. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 1.62, con un valor esperado de -1.12%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -2.59%E -1.04%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -2.95%E -1.86%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-04 11:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -2.59%E -1.04%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -3.56%E -2.26%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-04 11:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.59%E -1.04%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.17%E -2.66%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.59%E -1.04%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.78%E -3.07%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 07:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -2.59%E -1.04%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -5.39%E -3.48%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-04 14:31 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.59%E -1.04%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.61%E -4.32%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 12:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.67%EV -2.98%E -1.20%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.33%EV -4.17%E -2.66%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.52%EV -2.98%E -1.20%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.48%EV -4.78%E -3.07%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.52%EV -2.98%E -1.20%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.48%EV -4.78%E -3.07%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-04 14:31 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -3.37%E -1.36%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.78%E -3.07%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -3.37%E -1.36%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -6.61%E -4.32%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 08:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -3.76%E -1.52%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -1.73%E -1.08%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -4.15%E -1.69%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -4.78%E -3.07%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-04 14:13 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -4.15%E -1.69%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -4.78%E -3.07%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -4.54%E -1.85%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.56%E -2.26%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.54%E -1.85%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.17%E -2.66%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-04 14:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.54%E -1.85%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.17%E -2.66%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.54%E -1.85%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.78%E -3.07%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-04 14:31 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.54%E -1.85%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.78%E -3.07%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-04 11:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.54%E -1.85%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -6.00%E -3.90%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 07:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.54%E -1.85%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.61%E -4.32%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -5.32%E -2.19%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -5.39%E -3.48%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 13:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -5.32%E -2.19%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -6.61%E -4.32%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -5.32%E -2.19%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -6.61%E -4.32%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.73%EV -5.71%E -2.36%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.27%EV -6.61%E -4.32%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -6.49%E -2.70%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -1.12%E -0.692%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -6.49%E -2.70%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -1.12%E -0.692%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -6.49%E -2.70%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -2.95%E -1.86%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-03 23:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.49%E -2.70%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.17%E -2.66%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.49%E -2.70%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.17%E -2.66%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 13:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.49%E -2.70%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.17%E -2.66%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 13:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.49%E -2.70%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.39%E -3.48%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 11:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.49%E -2.70%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.39%E -3.48%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 14:31 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.49%E -2.70%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.39%E -3.48%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.49%E -2.70%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.00%E -3.90%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-03 13:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.49%E -2.70%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.61%E -4.32%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-03 13:19 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.49%E -2.70%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.61%E -4.32%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-03 13:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.49%E -2.70%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.61%E -4.32%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.65%EV -6.88%E -2.88%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.35%EV -4.17%E -2.66%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 13:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -7.27%E -3.05%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -3.56%E -2.26%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 23:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -7.27%E -3.05%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -3.56%E -2.26%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 07:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -7.27%E -3.05%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -3.56%E -2.26%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 07:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.27%E -3.05%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.17%E -2.66%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 11:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.27%E -3.05%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.17%E -2.66%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 07:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.27%E -3.05%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.17%E -2.66%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 07:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.27%E -3.05%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.17%E -2.66%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 07:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.27%E -3.05%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.17%E -2.66%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 23:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.27%E -3.05%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.17%E -2.66%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 23:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.27%E -3.05%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.17%E -2.66%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 23:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.27%E -3.05%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.17%E -2.66%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 23:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.27%E -3.05%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.17%E -2.66%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 23:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.27%E -3.05%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.17%E -2.66%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 23:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.27%E -3.05%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.17%E -2.66%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 07:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.27%E -3.05%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.17%E -2.66%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 07:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.27%E -3.05%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.17%E -2.66%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 11:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.27%E -3.05%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.17%E -2.66%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 11:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.27%E -3.05%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.17%E -2.66%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 14:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.27%E -3.05%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.17%E -2.66%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 11:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.27%E -3.05%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.17%E -2.66%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 11:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -7.66%E -3.23%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -6.61%E -4.32%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-03 13:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -7.66%E -3.23%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -6.61%E -4.32%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-03 13:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -8.43%E -3.59%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.34%E -1.46%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 14:08 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -8.43%E -3.59%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -3.56%E -2.26%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -9.21%E -3.95%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.21%EV -6.00%E -3.90%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-04 07:04 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77% | 0.3% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77% | 0.3% | 2026-09-04 14:31 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77% | 0.3% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77% | 0.3% | 2026-09-04 14:31 |
| Novig◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 0.6% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 0.7% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 1.2% | 2026-09-03 14:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83% | 2.1% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |