Språk:Svenska
Alex Michelsen v Federico Cinà
Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →
Matchresultat
Alex Michelsen (Hemma)
Prognos 80.65%1.24rättvist odds
EV -2.41%
Fördel -1.99%
Kelly -11.48%
Tillväxt +0.000%
med antagandet om högsta odds 1.21
Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
77.78%80.53%80.60%83.45%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.141.191.191.2187.72%84.25%83.68%82.64%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Federico Cinà (Borta)
Prognos 19.35%5.17rättvist odds
EV +11.25%
Fördel +1.96%
Kelly +2.37%
Tillväxt +0.266%
med antagandet om högsta odds 5.75
Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
16.55%19.47%19.40%22.22%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.204.744.685.7523.81%21.09%21.39%17.39%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Alex Michelsen (Hemma): 80.65%; Federico Cinà (Borta): 19.35%. För Federico Cinà (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 5.17. 11 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 5.75, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +11.25%.
Spelbolagsodds (60 spelbolag)
Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.
| Spelbolag | Hemma | Borta ▼ | Marginal | Uppdaterat |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -8.06%E -7.07%K -57.54%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +11.25%E +1.96%K +2.37%G +0.266% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -6.44%E -5.55%K -40.27%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV +8.35%E +1.49%K +1.81%G +0.151% | 4.1% | 2026-08-30 22:27 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -7.25%E -6.30%K -48.33%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV +8.35%E +1.49%K +1.81%G +0.151% | 4.8% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -8.06%E -7.07%K -57.54%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +6.41%E +1.17%K +1.42%G +0.091% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -8.06%E -7.07%K -57.54%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +6.41%E +1.17%K +1.42%G +0.091% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 22:48 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -5.64%E -4.82%K -33.16%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV +4.48%E +0.829%K +1.02%G +0.046% | 4.0% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.78%EV -4.02%E -3.38%K -21.18%G +0.000% | 5.34I 18.73%NM 18.22%EV +3.32%E +0.621%K +0.764%G +0.025% | 2.8% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -5.64%E -4.82%K -33.16%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV +2.54%E +0.480%K +0.591%G +0.015% | 4.3% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -5.64%E -4.82%K -33.16%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV +2.54%E +0.480%K +0.591%G +0.015% | 4.3% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -5.64%E -4.82%K -33.16%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV +1.58%E +0.300%K +0.371%G +0.006% | 4.5% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -5.64%E -4.82%K -33.16%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +0.608%E +0.117%K +0.145%G +0.001% | 4.7% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -7.25%E -6.30%K -48.33%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -1.33%E -0.260%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.48%EV -7.25%E -6.30%K -48.33%G +0.000% | 5.06I 19.76%NM 18.52%EV -2.10%E -0.415%K -0.517%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.48%EV -7.25%E -6.30%K -48.33%G +0.000% | 5.06I 19.76%NM 18.52%EV -2.10%E -0.415%K -0.517%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -3.22%E -2.68%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV -3.26%E -0.652%K -0.815%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-30 22:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.83%E -4.09%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.26%E -0.652%K -0.815%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-30 21:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.64%E -4.82%K -33.16%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.26%E -0.652%K -0.815%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.44%E -5.55%K -40.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -3.26%E -0.652%K -0.815%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.83%E -4.09%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.20%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.17%EV -3.22%E -2.68%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.83%EV -6.16%E -1.27%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-30 22:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.17%EV -3.22%E -2.68%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.83%EV -6.16%E -1.27%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-30 22:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.43%EV -4.83%E -4.09%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.57%EV -6.16%E -1.27%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.64%E -4.82%K -33.16%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -6.16%E -1.27%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.83%E -4.09%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -7.13%E -1.49%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.22%E -2.68%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -8.10%E -1.71%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-30 18:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.22%E -2.68%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -8.10%E -1.71%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-30 22:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.83%E -4.09%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -8.10%E -1.71%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 21:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.83%E -4.09%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -8.10%E -1.71%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.83%E -4.09%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -8.10%E -1.71%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -4.83%E -4.09%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -9.07%E -1.93%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 21:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -4.02%E -3.38%K -21.18%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -10.03%E -2.16%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 22:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.35%EV -3.22%E -2.68%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 4.61I 21.69%NM 20.65%EV -10.81%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 22:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.22%E -2.68%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -12.94%E -2.87%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 13:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.22%E -2.68%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -12.94%E -2.87%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 22:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.22%E -2.68%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -12.94%E -2.87%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 13:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.22%E -2.68%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -12.94%E -2.87%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 13:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.22%E -2.68%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -12.94%E -2.87%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 13:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.22%E -2.68%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -12.94%E -2.87%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 11:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -4.83%E -4.09%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -12.94%E -2.87%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 19:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -4.83%E -4.09%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -12.94%E -2.87%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 16:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -4.83%E -4.09%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -12.94%E -2.87%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 16:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -3.22%E -2.68%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -14.87%E -3.38%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 16:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -3.22%E -2.68%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -14.87%E -3.38%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 16:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -2.41%E -1.99%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -15.84%E -3.64%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -2.41%E -1.99%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -15.84%E -3.64%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -2.41%E -1.99%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -15.84%E -3.64%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -2.41%E -1.99%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -15.84%E -3.64%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -2.41%E -1.99%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -15.84%E -3.64%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -2.41%E -1.99%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -15.84%E -3.64%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -2.41%E -1.99%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -15.84%E -3.64%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -2.41%E -1.99%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -15.84%E -3.64%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -2.41%E -1.99%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -15.84%E -3.64%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -2.41%E -1.99%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -15.84%E -3.64%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -2.41%E -1.99%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -15.84%E -3.64%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -2.41%E -1.99%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -15.84%E -3.64%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -2.41%E -1.99%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -15.84%E -3.64%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -2.41%E -1.99%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -17.77%E -4.18%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 17:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -4.02%E -3.38%K -21.18%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -17.77%E -4.18%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -3.22%E -2.68%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -18.74%E -4.46%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 18:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -3.22%E -2.68%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -18.74%E -4.46%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 16:56 |
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt
Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.
Spelbörser (8)
| Spelbolag | Hemma | Borta | Marginal ▲ | Uppdaterat |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.35% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65% | 1.2% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.35% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65% | 1.2% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.35% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65% | 1.2% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.35% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65% | 1.2% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75% | 1.3% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.37% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.63% | 2.0% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.21% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.79% | 2.2% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.60% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.40% | 2.6% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |