StandaardmodelInterkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst)

Alex Michelsen v Federico Cinà

Aanvang: 2026-08-30 23:03 UTC

Eindstand: Alex Michelsen 3–0 Federico Cinà

Slotodds — de berekende kansen en verwachtingswaarde uit de laatste vóór aanvang geregistreerde odds, volgens het geselecteerde model. De wedstrijd is begonnen; dit zijn dus geen actuele cijfers. Beoordeel de betrouwbaarheid van de waarschijnlijkheidsprognoses van ieder model aan de hand van alle uitslagen van afgehandelde wedstrijden →

Wedstrijduitslag

60 wedaanbieders (20 in de analyse )

Geschatte kans op iedere uitslag volgens het model: Interkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst)

Alex Michelsen (Thuis)

Prognose 80.65%1.24margevrije odds
EV -2.41%
Voordeel -1.99%
Kelly -11.48%
Groei +0.000%

bij maximale odds 1.21

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
77.78%80.53%80.60%83.45%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
1.141.191.191.2187.72%84.25%83.68%82.64%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Federico Cinà (Uit)

Prognose 19.35%5.17margevrije odds
EV +11.25%
Voordeel +1.96%
Kelly +2.37%
Groei +0.266%

bij maximale odds 5.75

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
16.55%19.47%19.40%22.22%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
4.204.744.685.7523.81%21.09%21.39%17.39%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Bij de laatste odds voor de aftrap schatte Interkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst) voor Wedstrijduitslag: Alex Michelsen (Thuis): 80.65%; Federico Cinà (Uit): 19.35%. Voor Federico Cinà (Uit) kwam deze schatting overeen met eerlijke decimale odds van 5.17. 11 wedaanbieders boden slotodds boven dat niveau; de beste waren 5.75, overeenkomend met een positieve verwachtingswaarde van +11.25%.

Odds van wedaanbieders (60 wedaanbieders)

Wij zijn niet verbonden aan enige wedaanbieder en ontvangen geen vergoeding voor transacties die bij hen worden verricht.

WedaanbiederThuisUit ▼MargeBijgewerkt
SportsBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -8.06%E -7.07%K -57.54%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +11.25%E +1.96%K +2.37%G +0.266%5.1%2026-08-30 22:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -6.44%E -5.55%K -40.27%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV +8.35%E +1.49%K +1.81%G +0.151%4.1%2026-08-30 22:27
FanDuel🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -7.25%E -6.30%K -48.33%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV +8.35%E +1.49%K +1.81%G +0.151%4.8%2026-08-30 22:50
Paddy Power🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -8.06%E -7.07%K -57.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +6.41%E +1.17%K +1.42%G +0.091%5.9%2026-08-30 22:50
Sky Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -8.06%E -7.07%K -57.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +6.41%E +1.17%K +1.42%G +0.091%5.9%2026-08-30 22:48
Winamax (DE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -5.64%E -4.82%K -33.16%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV +4.48%E +0.829%K +1.02%G +0.046%4.0%2026-08-30 22:50
Pinnacle🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 81.78%EV -4.02%E -3.38%K -21.18%G +0.000%5.34I 18.73%NM 18.22%EV +3.32%E +0.621%K +0.764%G +0.025%2.8%2026-08-30 22:50
ReBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -5.64%E -4.82%K -33.16%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV +2.54%E +0.480%K +0.591%G +0.015%4.3%2026-08-30 22:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -5.64%E -4.82%K -33.16%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV +2.54%E +0.480%K +0.591%G +0.015%4.3%2026-08-30 22:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -5.64%E -4.82%K -33.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV +1.58%E +0.300%K +0.371%G +0.006%4.5%2026-08-30 22:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -5.64%E -4.82%K -33.16%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +0.608%E +0.117%K +0.145%G +0.001%4.7%2026-08-30 22:50
NetBet (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -7.25%E -6.30%K -48.33%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -1.33%E -0.260%K -0.324%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-30 22:50
Betsson🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.48%EV -7.25%E -6.30%K -48.33%G +0.000%5.06I 19.76%NM 18.52%EV -2.10%E -0.415%K -0.517%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 22:50
NordicBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.48%EV -7.25%E -6.30%K -48.33%G +0.000%5.06I 19.76%NM 18.52%EV -2.10%E -0.415%K -0.517%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 22:50
Coolbet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -3.22%E -2.68%K -16.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV -3.26%E -0.652%K -0.815%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-30 22:35
Betway🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.83%E -4.09%K -26.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.26%E -0.652%K -0.815%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-30 21:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.64%E -4.82%K -33.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.26%E -0.652%K -0.815%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 22:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.44%E -5.55%K -40.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -3.26%E -0.652%K -0.815%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 22:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.83%E -4.09%K -26.83%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.20%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 22:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.17%EV -3.22%E -2.68%K -16.09%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.83%EV -6.16%E -1.27%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-30 22:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.17%EV -3.22%E -2.68%K -16.09%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.83%EV -6.16%E -1.27%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-30 22:30
LeoVegas🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.43%EV -4.83%E -4.09%K -26.83%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.57%EV -6.16%E -1.27%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 22:50
theScore Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.64%E -4.82%K -33.16%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -6.16%E -1.27%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 22:50
Fanatics🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.83%E -4.09%K -26.83%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -7.13%E -1.49%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 22:50
Bovada🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.22%E -2.68%K -16.09%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -8.10%E -1.71%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-30 18:30
betano_uk🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.22%E -2.68%K -16.09%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -8.10%E -1.71%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-30 22:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.83%E -4.09%K -26.83%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -8.10%E -1.71%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 21:25
PlayUp🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.83%E -4.09%K -26.83%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -8.10%E -1.71%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 22:50
TAB🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.83%E -4.09%K -26.83%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -8.10%E -1.71%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 22:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -4.83%E -4.09%K -26.83%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -9.07%E -1.93%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 21:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -4.02%E -3.38%K -21.18%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -10.03%E -2.16%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 22:40
GTbets🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.35%EV -3.22%E -2.68%K -16.09%G +0.000%4.61I 21.69%NM 20.65%EV -10.81%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 22:10
888sport🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.22%E -2.68%K -16.09%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -12.94%E -2.87%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 13:25
DraftKings🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.22%E -2.68%K -16.09%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -12.94%E -2.87%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 22:44
888sport (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.22%E -2.68%K -16.09%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -12.94%E -2.87%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 13:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.22%E -2.68%K -16.09%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -12.94%E -2.87%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 13:25
William Hill🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.22%E -2.68%K -16.09%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -12.94%E -2.87%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 13:30
BoyleSports🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.22%E -2.68%K -16.09%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -12.94%E -2.87%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 11:45
betfred_uk🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -4.83%E -4.09%K -26.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -12.94%E -2.87%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 19:10
Coral🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -4.83%E -4.09%K -26.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -12.94%E -2.87%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 16:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -4.83%E -4.09%K -26.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -12.94%E -2.87%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 16:45
Neds🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -3.22%E -2.68%K -16.09%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -14.87%E -3.38%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 16:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -3.22%E -2.68%K -16.09%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -14.87%E -3.38%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 16:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -2.41%E -1.99%K -11.48%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -15.84%E -3.64%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 16:55
BetRivers🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -2.41%E -1.99%K -11.48%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -15.84%E -3.64%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 16:55
Unibet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -2.41%E -1.99%K -11.48%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -15.84%E -3.64%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 16:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -2.41%E -1.99%K -11.48%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -15.84%E -3.64%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 16:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -2.41%E -1.99%K -11.48%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -15.84%E -3.64%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 16:55
Casumo🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -2.41%E -1.99%K -11.48%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -15.84%E -3.64%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 16:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -2.41%E -1.99%K -11.48%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -15.84%E -3.64%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 16:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -2.41%E -1.99%K -11.48%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -15.84%E -3.64%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 16:55
Grosvenor🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -2.41%E -1.99%K -11.48%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -15.84%E -3.64%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 16:55
betPARX🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -2.41%E -1.99%K -11.48%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -15.84%E -3.64%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 16:55
Bally Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -2.41%E -1.99%K -11.48%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -15.84%E -3.64%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 16:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -2.41%E -1.99%K -11.48%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -15.84%E -3.64%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 16:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -2.41%E -1.99%K -11.48%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -15.84%E -3.64%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 16:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -2.41%E -1.99%K -11.48%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -17.77%E -4.18%K -5.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 17:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -4.02%E -3.38%K -21.18%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -17.77%E -4.18%K -5.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-30 16:55
BetAnything🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -3.22%E -2.68%K -16.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -18.74%E -4.46%K -5.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 18:35
Caesars🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -3.22%E -2.68%K -16.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -18.74%E -4.46%K -5.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 16:56
Marge = Marge · I = Impliciete kans · NM = Margevrije kans · EV = Verwachtingswaarde · E = Voordeel · K = Kelly-criterium · G = Groei van het speelkapitaal

Bijgewerkt geeft aan wanneer iedere wedaanbieder zijn odds voor het laatst wijzigde. Een ouder tijdstip betekent dus dat de odds niet zijn bewogen, niet dat ze verouderd zijn. Wedaanbieders die gedurende de laatste ongeveer 15 minuten niet zijn waargenomen, worden normaal uitgesloten; alleen wanneer de gegevensstroom van een volledige markt stilvalt, worden de laatst geregistreerde odds getoond.

Weddenschapsbeurzen (8)

WedaanbiederThuisUitMarge ▲Bijgewerkt
Matchbook◎1.20I 83.33%NM 82.35%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65%1.2%2026-08-30 22:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.20I 83.33%NM 82.35%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65%1.2%2026-08-30 22:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.20I 83.33%NM 82.35%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65%1.2%2026-08-30 22:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.20I 83.33%NM 82.35%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65%1.2%2026-08-30 22:50
Novig◎1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75%1.3%2026-08-30 22:50
Kalshi◎1.19I 84.03%NM 82.37%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.63%2.0%2026-08-30 22:50
ProphetX◎1.19I 84.03%NM 82.21%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.79%2.2%2026-08-30 22:50
Smarkets◎1.18I 84.75%NM 82.60%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.40%2.6%2026-08-30 22:50