Sprache:Deutsch
Alex Michelsen v Federico Cinà
Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →
Direkter Vergleich
Alex Michelsen (Heim)
Prognose 80.65%1.24faire Quote
EV -2.41%
Vorteil -1.99%
Kelly -11.48%
Wachstum +0.000%
bei einer Höchstquote von 1.21
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
77.78%80.53%80.60%83.45%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.141.191.191.2187.72%84.25%83.68%82.64%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Federico Cinà (Auswärts)
Prognose 19.35%5.17faire Quote
EV +11.25%
Vorteil +1.96%
Kelly +2.37%
Wachstum +0.266%
bei einer Höchstquote von 5.75
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
16.55%19.47%19.40%22.22%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
4.204.744.685.7523.81%21.09%21.39%17.39%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Alex Michelsen (Heim): 80.65%; Federico Cinà (Auswärts): 19.35%. Für Federico Cinà (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 5.17. 11 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 5.75 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +11.25%.
Wettanbieterquoten (60 Wettanbieter)
Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts ▼ | Marge | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -8.06%E -7.07%K -57.54%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +11.25%E +1.96%K +2.37%G +0.266% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -6.44%E -5.55%K -40.27%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV +8.35%E +1.49%K +1.81%G +0.151% | 4.1% | 2026-08-30 22:27 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -7.25%E -6.30%K -48.33%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV +8.35%E +1.49%K +1.81%G +0.151% | 4.8% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -8.06%E -7.07%K -57.54%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +6.41%E +1.17%K +1.42%G +0.091% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -8.06%E -7.07%K -57.54%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +6.41%E +1.17%K +1.42%G +0.091% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 22:48 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -5.64%E -4.82%K -33.16%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV +4.48%E +0.829%K +1.02%G +0.046% | 4.0% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.78%EV -4.02%E -3.38%K -21.18%G +0.000% | 5.34I 18.73%NM 18.22%EV +3.32%E +0.621%K +0.764%G +0.025% | 2.8% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -5.64%E -4.82%K -33.16%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV +2.54%E +0.480%K +0.591%G +0.015% | 4.3% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -5.64%E -4.82%K -33.16%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV +2.54%E +0.480%K +0.591%G +0.015% | 4.3% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -5.64%E -4.82%K -33.16%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV +1.58%E +0.300%K +0.371%G +0.006% | 4.5% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -5.64%E -4.82%K -33.16%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +0.608%E +0.117%K +0.145%G +0.001% | 4.7% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -7.25%E -6.30%K -48.33%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -1.33%E -0.260%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.48%EV -7.25%E -6.30%K -48.33%G +0.000% | 5.06I 19.76%NM 18.52%EV -2.10%E -0.415%K -0.517%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.48%EV -7.25%E -6.30%K -48.33%G +0.000% | 5.06I 19.76%NM 18.52%EV -2.10%E -0.415%K -0.517%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -3.22%E -2.68%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV -3.26%E -0.652%K -0.815%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-30 22:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.83%E -4.09%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.26%E -0.652%K -0.815%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-30 21:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.64%E -4.82%K -33.16%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.26%E -0.652%K -0.815%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.44%E -5.55%K -40.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -3.26%E -0.652%K -0.815%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.83%E -4.09%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.20%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.17%EV -3.22%E -2.68%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.83%EV -6.16%E -1.27%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-30 22:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.17%EV -3.22%E -2.68%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.83%EV -6.16%E -1.27%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-30 22:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.43%EV -4.83%E -4.09%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.57%EV -6.16%E -1.27%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.64%E -4.82%K -33.16%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -6.16%E -1.27%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.83%E -4.09%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -7.13%E -1.49%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.22%E -2.68%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -8.10%E -1.71%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-30 18:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.22%E -2.68%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -8.10%E -1.71%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-30 22:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.83%E -4.09%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -8.10%E -1.71%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 21:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.83%E -4.09%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -8.10%E -1.71%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.83%E -4.09%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -8.10%E -1.71%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -4.83%E -4.09%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -9.07%E -1.93%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 21:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -4.02%E -3.38%K -21.18%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -10.03%E -2.16%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 22:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.35%EV -3.22%E -2.68%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 4.61I 21.69%NM 20.65%EV -10.81%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 22:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.22%E -2.68%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -12.94%E -2.87%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 13:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.22%E -2.68%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -12.94%E -2.87%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 22:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.22%E -2.68%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -12.94%E -2.87%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 13:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.22%E -2.68%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -12.94%E -2.87%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 13:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.22%E -2.68%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -12.94%E -2.87%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 13:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.22%E -2.68%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -12.94%E -2.87%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 11:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -4.83%E -4.09%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -12.94%E -2.87%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 19:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -4.83%E -4.09%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -12.94%E -2.87%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 16:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -4.83%E -4.09%K -26.83%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -12.94%E -2.87%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 16:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -3.22%E -2.68%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -14.87%E -3.38%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 16:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -3.22%E -2.68%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -14.87%E -3.38%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 16:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -2.41%E -1.99%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -15.84%E -3.64%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -2.41%E -1.99%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -15.84%E -3.64%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -2.41%E -1.99%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -15.84%E -3.64%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -2.41%E -1.99%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -15.84%E -3.64%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -2.41%E -1.99%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -15.84%E -3.64%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -2.41%E -1.99%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -15.84%E -3.64%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -2.41%E -1.99%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -15.84%E -3.64%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -2.41%E -1.99%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -15.84%E -3.64%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -2.41%E -1.99%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -15.84%E -3.64%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -2.41%E -1.99%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -15.84%E -3.64%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -2.41%E -1.99%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -15.84%E -3.64%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -2.41%E -1.99%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -15.84%E -3.64%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -2.41%E -1.99%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -15.84%E -3.64%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -2.41%E -1.99%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -17.77%E -4.18%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 17:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -4.02%E -3.38%K -21.18%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -17.77%E -4.18%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -3.22%E -2.68%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -18.74%E -4.46%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 18:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -3.22%E -2.68%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -18.74%E -4.46%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 16:56 |
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals
Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.
Wettbörsen (8)
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts | Marge ▲ | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.35% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65% | 1.2% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.35% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65% | 1.2% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.35% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65% | 1.2% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.35% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65% | 1.2% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75% | 1.3% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.37% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.63% | 2.0% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.21% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.79% | 2.2% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.60% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.40% | 2.6% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |