StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Valentin Vacherot v Rafael Jodar

2026-10-29 10:00 UTC — ATP Swiss Indoors Basel

Matchresultat

60 spelbolag (21 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Valentin Vacherot (Hemma)

Prognos 27.66%3.61rättvist odds
EV +2.35%
Fördel +0.636%
Kelly +0.872%
Tillväxt +0.021%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.70

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
25.77%27.63%27.79%30.68%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.053.353.353.7032.79%29.83%29.85%27.03%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Rafael Jodar (Borta)

Prognos 72.34%1.38rättvist odds
EV -2.35%
Fördel -1.74%
Kelly -6.70%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.35

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
69.32%72.37%72.21%74.23%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.251.311.321.3580.00%76.28%75.76%74.07%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: Valentin Vacherot (Hemma): 27.66%; Rafael Jodar (Borta): 72.34%. För Valentin Vacherot (Hemma) motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.61. 1 spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån; bästa tillgängliga odds är 3.70, vilket ger ett positivt väntevärde på +2.35%.

Spelbolagsodds (60 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
Winamax (DE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%EV +2.35%E +0.636%K +0.872%G +0.021%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.85%EV -5.24%E -4.00%K -16.90%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-28 00:40
FanDuel🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -0.411%E -0.114%K -0.158%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.69%E -5.18%K -23.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-27 21:09
Unibet (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -0.411%E -0.114%K -0.158%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -8.13%E -6.40%K -30.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-27 19:24
Tipico (DE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -0.411%E -0.114%K -0.158%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -9.58%E -7.66%K -38.32%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-27 19:35
Bovada🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.18%E -0.908%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.52%E -3.42%K -14.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-27 20:23
Betway🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.18%E -0.908%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.96%E -4.59%K -19.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-27 19:10
Fanatics🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.18%E -0.908%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.69%E -5.18%K -23.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-27 19:35
NordicBet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.18%E -0.908%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.69%E -5.18%K -23.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-27 19:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.18%E -0.908%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.69%E -5.18%K -23.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-27 19:20
Betsson🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.18%E -0.908%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.69%E -5.18%K -23.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-27 19:20
theScore Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -3.18%E -0.908%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -7.41%E -5.79%K -26.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-27 19:30
Pinnacle🎯3.46I 28.90%NM 28.07%EV -4.28%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.93%EV -2.35%E -1.74%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-27 20:35
DraftKings🎯3.46I 28.90%NM 27.62%EV -4.28%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.38%EV -4.52%E -3.42%K -14.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-27 15:50
SportsBet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -4.56%E -1.32%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -7.41%E -5.79%K -26.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-27 21:10
Coolbet🎯3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -5.39%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -4.52%E -3.42%K -14.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-27 20:24
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.79%E -2.85%K -11.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-27 20:04
Bet Right🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.52%E -3.42%K -14.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-27 20:25
LeoVegas🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -7.41%E -5.79%K -26.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-28 00:45
picklebet_au🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -7.41%E -5.79%K -26.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-27 19:20
Winamax (FR)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -7.41%E -5.79%K -26.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-28 00:40
1xBet🎯3.38I 29.59%NM 28.39%EV -6.50%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.61%EV -3.07%E -2.29%K -9.03%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-27 21:10
LowVig.ag🎯3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -6.77%E -2.01%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -3.07%E -2.29%K -9.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-27 22:30
BetOnline.ag🎯3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -6.77%E -2.01%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -3.07%E -2.29%K -9.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-27 22:30
Casumo🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.79%E -2.85%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-27 19:30
Unibet (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.79%E -2.85%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-27 19:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.79%E -2.85%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-27 19:30
BetRivers🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.79%E -2.85%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-27 19:30
LiveScore Bet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.79%E -2.85%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-27 19:30
Unibet (NL)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.79%E -2.85%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-27 19:30
Unibet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.79%E -2.85%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-27 19:30
TABtouch🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.79%E -2.85%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-27 19:30
Grosvenor🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.79%E -2.85%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-27 19:30
Virgin Bet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.79%E -2.85%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-27 19:30
betPARX🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.79%E -2.85%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-27 19:30
Bally Bet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.79%E -2.85%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-27 19:30
ATG (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.79%E -2.85%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-27 19:30
Svenska Spel🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.79%E -2.85%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-27 19:30
Betr (AU)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.24%E -4.00%K -16.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-27 20:25
Marathon Bet🎯3.34I 29.94%NM 28.33%EV -7.60%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.67%EV -4.52%E -3.42%K -14.11%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-27 21:10
888sport🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.71%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.79%E -2.85%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-27 20:20
William Hill🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.71%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.79%E -2.85%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-27 20:20
888sport (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.71%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.79%E -2.85%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-27 20:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.71%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.79%E -2.85%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-27 20:20
NetBet (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -8.71%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.21%EV -8.13%E -6.40%K -30.12%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-27 20:30
ReBet🎯3.26I 30.67%NM 27.88%EV -9.82%E -3.01%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 72.12%EV -8.86%E -7.03%K -34.06%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-27 19:30
PlayUp🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.09%E -3.11%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.79%E -2.85%K -11.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-27 20:20
BetMGM🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.09%E -3.11%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.79%E -2.85%K -11.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-27 20:25
Paddy Power🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -10.09%E -3.11%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.69%E -5.18%K -23.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-27 21:10
Sky Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -10.09%E -3.11%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.69%E -5.18%K -23.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-27 21:10
Betclic (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -10.09%E -3.11%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 72.06%EV -8.86%E -7.03%K -34.06%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-27 19:34
Coral🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.79%E -2.85%K -11.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-27 20:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.79%E -2.85%K -11.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-27 20:25
TAB🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -4.52%E -3.42%K -14.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-27 22:05
Bet Victor🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.96%E -4.59%K -19.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-27 20:30
BoyleSports🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.96%E -4.59%K -19.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-27 21:25
betano_uk🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.96%E -4.59%K -19.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-27 22:05
Unibet (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.91%EV -9.58%E -7.66%K -38.32%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-27 19:35
PMU (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -12.86%E -4.08%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 71.27%EV -8.13%E -6.40%K -30.12%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-27 19:30
Neds🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -15.63%E -5.12%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -2.35%E -1.74%K -6.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-27 20:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -15.63%E -5.12%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -2.35%E -1.74%K -6.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-27 20:30
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%6.8%2026-10-27 21:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%6.8%2026-10-27 21:25
Matchbook◎3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%6.8%2026-10-27 21:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%6.8%2026-10-27 21:25
Novig◎3.33I 30.03%NM 28.08%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.92%7.0%2026-10-28 01:25
Smarkets◎2.10I 47.62%NM 38.24%1.30I 76.92%NM 61.76%24.5%2026-10-28 00:45