Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Valentin Vacherot v Rafael Jodar

2026-10-29 10:00 UTC — ATP Swiss Indoors Basel

Testa a testa

60 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Valentin Vacherot (Casa)

Previsione 27.66%3.61quota equa
EV +2.35%
Vantaggio +0.636%
Kelly +0.872%
Crescita +0.021%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.77%27.63%27.79%30.68%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.053.353.353.7032.79%29.83%29.85%27.03%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Rafael Jodar (Trasferta)

Previsione 72.34%1.38quota equa
EV -2.35%
Vantaggio -1.74%
Kelly -6.70%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.35

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
69.32%72.37%72.21%74.23%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.251.311.321.3580.00%76.28%75.76%74.07%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Valentin Vacherot (Casa): 27.66%; Rafael Jodar (Trasferta): 72.34%. Per Valentin Vacherot (Casa), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 3.61. 1 bookmaker offre una quota superiore a tale livello; la migliore quota disponibile è 3.70, con un valore atteso positivo del +2.35%.

Quote dei bookmaker (60 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Winamax (DE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%EV +2.35%E +0.636%K +0.872%G +0.021%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.85%EV -5.24%E -4.00%K -16.90%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-28 00:40
FanDuel🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -0.411%E -0.114%K -0.158%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.69%E -5.18%K -23.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-27 21:09
Unibet (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -0.411%E -0.114%K -0.158%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -8.13%E -6.40%K -30.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-27 19:24
Tipico (DE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -0.411%E -0.114%K -0.158%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -9.58%E -7.66%K -38.32%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-27 19:35
Bovada🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.18%E -0.908%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.52%E -3.42%K -14.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-27 20:23
Betway🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.18%E -0.908%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.96%E -4.59%K -19.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-27 19:10
Fanatics🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.18%E -0.908%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.69%E -5.18%K -23.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-27 19:35
NordicBet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.18%E -0.908%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.69%E -5.18%K -23.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-27 19:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.18%E -0.908%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.69%E -5.18%K -23.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-27 19:20
Betsson🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.18%E -0.908%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.69%E -5.18%K -23.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-27 19:20
theScore Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -3.18%E -0.908%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -7.41%E -5.79%K -26.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-27 19:30
Pinnacle🎯3.46I 28.90%NM 28.07%EV -4.28%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.93%EV -2.35%E -1.74%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-27 20:35
DraftKings🎯3.46I 28.90%NM 27.62%EV -4.28%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.38%EV -4.52%E -3.42%K -14.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-27 15:50
SportsBet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -4.56%E -1.32%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -7.41%E -5.79%K -26.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-27 21:10
Coolbet🎯3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -5.39%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -4.52%E -3.42%K -14.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-27 20:24
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.79%E -2.85%K -11.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-27 20:04
Bet Right🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.52%E -3.42%K -14.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-27 20:25
LeoVegas🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -7.41%E -5.79%K -26.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-28 00:45
picklebet_au🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -7.41%E -5.79%K -26.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-27 19:20
Winamax (FR)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -7.41%E -5.79%K -26.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-28 00:40
1xBet🎯3.38I 29.59%NM 28.39%EV -6.50%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.61%EV -3.07%E -2.29%K -9.03%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-27 21:10
LowVig.ag🎯3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -6.77%E -2.01%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -3.07%E -2.29%K -9.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-27 22:30
BetOnline.ag🎯3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -6.77%E -2.01%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -3.07%E -2.29%K -9.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-27 22:30
Casumo🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.79%E -2.85%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-27 19:30
Unibet (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.79%E -2.85%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-27 19:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.79%E -2.85%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-27 19:30
BetRivers🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.79%E -2.85%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-27 19:30
LiveScore Bet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.79%E -2.85%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-27 19:30
Unibet (NL)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.79%E -2.85%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-27 19:30
Unibet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.79%E -2.85%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-27 19:30
TABtouch🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.79%E -2.85%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-27 19:30
Grosvenor🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.79%E -2.85%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-27 19:30
Virgin Bet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.79%E -2.85%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-27 19:30
betPARX🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.79%E -2.85%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-27 19:30
Bally Bet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.79%E -2.85%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-27 19:30
ATG (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.79%E -2.85%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-27 19:30
Svenska Spel🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.79%E -2.85%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-27 19:30
Betr (AU)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.24%E -4.00%K -16.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-27 20:25
Marathon Bet🎯3.34I 29.94%NM 28.33%EV -7.60%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.67%EV -4.52%E -3.42%K -14.11%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-27 21:10
888sport🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.71%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.79%E -2.85%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-27 20:20
William Hill🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.71%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.79%E -2.85%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-27 20:20
888sport (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.71%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.79%E -2.85%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-27 20:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.71%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.79%E -2.85%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-27 20:20
NetBet (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -8.71%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.21%EV -8.13%E -6.40%K -30.12%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-27 20:30
ReBet🎯3.26I 30.67%NM 27.88%EV -9.82%E -3.01%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 72.12%EV -8.86%E -7.03%K -34.06%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-27 19:30
PlayUp🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.09%E -3.11%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.79%E -2.85%K -11.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-27 20:20
BetMGM🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.09%E -3.11%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.79%E -2.85%K -11.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-27 20:25
Paddy Power🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -10.09%E -3.11%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.69%E -5.18%K -23.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-27 21:10
Sky Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -10.09%E -3.11%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.69%E -5.18%K -23.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-27 21:10
Betclic (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -10.09%E -3.11%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 72.06%EV -8.86%E -7.03%K -34.06%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-27 19:34
Coral🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.79%E -2.85%K -11.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-27 20:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.79%E -2.85%K -11.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-27 20:25
TAB🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -4.52%E -3.42%K -14.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-27 22:05
Bet Victor🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.96%E -4.59%K -19.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-27 20:30
BoyleSports🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.96%E -4.59%K -19.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-27 21:25
betano_uk🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.96%E -4.59%K -19.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-27 22:05
Unibet (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.91%EV -9.58%E -7.66%K -38.32%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-27 19:35
PMU (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -12.86%E -4.08%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 71.27%EV -8.13%E -6.40%K -30.12%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-27 19:30
Neds🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -15.63%E -5.12%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -2.35%E -1.74%K -6.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-27 20:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -15.63%E -5.12%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -2.35%E -1.74%K -6.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-27 20:30
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%6.8%2026-10-27 21:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%6.8%2026-10-27 21:25
Matchbook◎3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%6.8%2026-10-27 21:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%6.8%2026-10-27 21:25
Novig◎3.33I 30.03%NM 28.08%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.92%7.0%2026-10-28 01:25
Smarkets◎2.10I 47.62%NM 38.24%1.30I 76.92%NM 61.76%24.5%2026-10-28 00:45