Idioma:Español
Valentin Vacherot v Rafael Jodar
Resultado del partido
Valentin Vacherot (Local)
Predicción 27.66%3.61momio equitativo
EV +2.35%
Ventaja +0.636%
Kelly +0.872%
Crecimiento +0.021%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.77%27.63%27.79%30.68%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.053.353.353.7032.79%29.83%29.85%27.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Rafael Jodar (Visitante)
Predicción 72.34%1.38momio equitativo
EV -2.35%
Ventaja -1.74%
Kelly -6.70%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
69.32%72.37%72.21%74.23%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.251.311.321.3580.00%76.28%75.76%74.07%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Valentin Vacherot (Local): 27.66%; Rafael Jodar (Visitante): 72.34%. Para Valentin Vacherot (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 3.61. 1 corredor ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 3.70, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +2.35%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%EV +2.35%E +0.636%K +0.872%G +0.021% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.85%EV -5.24%E -4.00%K -16.90%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-28 00:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -0.411%E -0.114%K -0.158%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.69%E -5.18%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-27 21:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -0.411%E -0.114%K -0.158%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -8.13%E -6.40%K -30.12%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-27 19:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -0.411%E -0.114%K -0.158%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -9.58%E -7.66%K -38.32%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-27 19:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.18%E -0.908%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.52%E -3.42%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-27 20:23 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.18%E -0.908%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.96%E -4.59%K -19.88%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-27 19:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.18%E -0.908%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.69%E -5.18%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-27 19:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.18%E -0.908%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.69%E -5.18%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-27 19:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.18%E -0.908%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.69%E -5.18%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-27 19:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.18%E -0.908%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.69%E -5.18%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-27 19:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -3.18%E -0.908%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -7.41%E -5.79%K -26.46%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-27 19:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.46I 28.90%NM 28.07%EV -4.28%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.93%EV -2.35%E -1.74%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-10-27 20:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.62%EV -4.28%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.38%EV -4.52%E -3.42%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-27 15:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -4.56%E -1.32%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -7.41%E -5.79%K -26.46%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-27 21:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -5.39%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -4.52%E -3.42%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-27 20:24 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.79%E -2.85%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-27 20:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.52%E -3.42%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-27 20:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -7.41%E -5.79%K -26.46%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-28 00:45 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -7.41%E -5.79%K -26.46%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-27 19:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -7.41%E -5.79%K -26.46%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-28 00:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.39%EV -6.50%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.61%EV -3.07%E -2.29%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-27 21:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -6.77%E -2.01%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -3.07%E -2.29%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-27 22:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -6.77%E -2.01%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -3.07%E -2.29%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-27 22:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.79%E -2.85%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-27 19:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.79%E -2.85%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-27 19:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.79%E -2.85%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-27 19:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.79%E -2.85%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-27 19:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.79%E -2.85%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-27 19:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.79%E -2.85%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-27 19:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.79%E -2.85%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-27 19:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.79%E -2.85%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-27 19:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.79%E -2.85%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-27 19:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.79%E -2.85%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-27 19:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.79%E -2.85%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-27 19:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.79%E -2.85%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-27 19:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.79%E -2.85%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-27 19:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.79%E -2.85%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-27 19:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.24%E -4.00%K -16.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-27 20:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.33%EV -7.60%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.67%EV -4.52%E -3.42%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-27 21:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.71%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.79%E -2.85%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-27 20:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.71%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.79%E -2.85%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-27 20:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.71%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.79%E -2.85%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-27 20:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.71%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.79%E -2.85%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-27 20:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -8.71%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.21%EV -8.13%E -6.40%K -30.12%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-27 20:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.26I 30.67%NM 27.88%EV -9.82%E -3.01%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.12%EV -8.86%E -7.03%K -34.06%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-27 19:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.09%E -3.11%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.79%E -2.85%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-27 20:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.09%E -3.11%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.79%E -2.85%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-27 20:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -10.09%E -3.11%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.69%E -5.18%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-27 21:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -10.09%E -3.11%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.69%E -5.18%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-27 21:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -10.09%E -3.11%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.06%EV -8.86%E -7.03%K -34.06%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-27 19:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.79%E -2.85%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-27 20:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.79%E -2.85%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-27 20:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -4.52%E -3.42%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-27 22:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.96%E -4.59%K -19.88%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-27 20:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.96%E -4.59%K -19.88%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-27 21:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.96%E -4.59%K -19.88%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-27 22:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.91%EV -9.58%E -7.66%K -38.32%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-27 19:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -12.86%E -4.08%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.27%EV -8.13%E -6.40%K -30.12%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-27 19:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -15.63%E -5.12%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -2.35%E -1.74%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-27 20:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -15.63%E -5.12%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -2.35%E -1.74%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-27 20:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04% | 6.8% | 2026-10-27 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04% | 6.8% | 2026-10-27 21:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04% | 6.8% | 2026-10-27 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04% | 6.8% | 2026-10-27 21:25 |
| Novig◎ | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.08% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.92% | 7.0% | 2026-10-28 01:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 38.24% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 61.76% | 24.5% | 2026-10-28 00:45 |