النموذج الافتراضيالمتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)

Valentin Vacherot v Rafael Jodar

2026-10-29 10:00 UTC — ATP Swiss Indoors Basel

نتيجة المباراة

60 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: المتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)

Valentin Vacherot (المضيف)

التنبؤ 27.66%3.61السعر العادل
EV +2.35%
الأفضلية +0.636%
Kelly +0.872%
النمو +0.021%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.70

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.77%27.63%27.79%30.68%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
3.053.353.353.7032.79%29.83%29.85%27.03%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

Rafael Jodar (الضيف)

التنبؤ 72.34%1.38السعر العادل
EV -2.35%
الأفضلية -1.74%
Kelly -6.70%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.35

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
69.32%72.37%72.21%74.23%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
1.251.311.321.3580.00%76.28%75.76%74.07%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

بالنسبة إلى سوق ⁨نتيجة المباراة⁩، يقدّر نموذج ⁨المتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)⁩ الاحتمالات الآتية: ⁨Valentin Vacherot (المضيف)⁩: ⁨27.66%⁩؛ ⁨Rafael Jodar (الضيف)⁩: ⁨72.34%⁩. بالنسبة إلى ⁨Valentin Vacherot (المضيف)⁩، يعادل هذا التقدير سعرًا عشريًا عادلًا قدره ⁨3.61⁩. تعرض شركة مراهنات واحدة (1) سعرًا أعلى من ذلك المستوى؛ وأفضل سعر متاح هو ⁨3.70⁩، ما ينتج قيمة متوقعة موجبة قدرها ⁨+2.35%⁩.

أسعار شركات المراهنات (60 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Winamax (DE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%EV +2.35%E +0.636%K +0.872%G +0.021%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.85%EV -5.24%E -4.00%K -16.90%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-28 00:40
FanDuel🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -0.411%E -0.114%K -0.158%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.69%E -5.18%K -23.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-27 21:09
Unibet (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -0.411%E -0.114%K -0.158%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -8.13%E -6.40%K -30.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-27 19:24
Tipico (DE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -0.411%E -0.114%K -0.158%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -9.58%E -7.66%K -38.32%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-27 19:35
Bovada🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.18%E -0.908%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.52%E -3.42%K -14.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-27 20:23
Betway🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.18%E -0.908%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.96%E -4.59%K -19.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-27 19:10
Fanatics🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.18%E -0.908%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.69%E -5.18%K -23.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-27 19:35
NordicBet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.18%E -0.908%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.69%E -5.18%K -23.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-27 19:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.18%E -0.908%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.69%E -5.18%K -23.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-27 19:20
Betsson🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.18%E -0.908%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.69%E -5.18%K -23.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-27 19:20
theScore Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -3.18%E -0.908%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -7.41%E -5.79%K -26.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-27 19:30
Pinnacle🎯3.46I 28.90%NM 28.07%EV -4.28%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.93%EV -2.35%E -1.74%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-27 20:35
DraftKings🎯3.46I 28.90%NM 27.62%EV -4.28%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.38%EV -4.52%E -3.42%K -14.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-27 15:50
SportsBet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -4.56%E -1.32%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -7.41%E -5.79%K -26.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-27 21:10
Coolbet🎯3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -5.39%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -4.52%E -3.42%K -14.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-27 20:24
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.79%E -2.85%K -11.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-27 20:04
Bet Right🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.52%E -3.42%K -14.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-27 20:25
LeoVegas🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -7.41%E -5.79%K -26.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-28 00:45
picklebet_au🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -7.41%E -5.79%K -26.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-27 19:20
Winamax (FR)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -7.41%E -5.79%K -26.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-28 00:40
1xBet🎯3.38I 29.59%NM 28.39%EV -6.50%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.61%EV -3.07%E -2.29%K -9.03%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-27 21:10
LowVig.ag🎯3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -6.77%E -2.01%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -3.07%E -2.29%K -9.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-27 22:30
BetOnline.ag🎯3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -6.77%E -2.01%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -3.07%E -2.29%K -9.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-27 22:30
Casumo🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.79%E -2.85%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-27 19:30
Unibet (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.79%E -2.85%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-27 19:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.79%E -2.85%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-27 19:30
BetRivers🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.79%E -2.85%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-27 19:30
LiveScore Bet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.79%E -2.85%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-27 19:30
Unibet (NL)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.79%E -2.85%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-27 19:30
Unibet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.79%E -2.85%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-27 19:30
TABtouch🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.79%E -2.85%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-27 19:30
Grosvenor🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.79%E -2.85%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-27 19:30
Virgin Bet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.79%E -2.85%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-27 19:30
betPARX🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.79%E -2.85%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-27 19:30
Bally Bet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.79%E -2.85%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-27 19:30
ATG (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.79%E -2.85%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-27 19:30
Svenska Spel🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.79%E -2.85%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-27 19:30
Betr (AU)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -7.33%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.24%E -4.00%K -16.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-27 20:25
Marathon Bet🎯3.34I 29.94%NM 28.33%EV -7.60%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.67%EV -4.52%E -3.42%K -14.11%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-27 21:10
888sport🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.71%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.79%E -2.85%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-27 20:20
William Hill🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.71%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.79%E -2.85%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-27 20:20
888sport (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.71%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.79%E -2.85%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-27 20:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.71%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.79%E -2.85%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-27 20:20
NetBet (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -8.71%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.21%EV -8.13%E -6.40%K -30.12%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-27 20:30
ReBet🎯3.26I 30.67%NM 27.88%EV -9.82%E -3.01%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 72.12%EV -8.86%E -7.03%K -34.06%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-27 19:30
PlayUp🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.09%E -3.11%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.79%E -2.85%K -11.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-27 20:20
BetMGM🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.09%E -3.11%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.79%E -2.85%K -11.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-27 20:25
Paddy Power🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -10.09%E -3.11%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.69%E -5.18%K -23.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-27 21:10
Sky Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -10.09%E -3.11%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.69%E -5.18%K -23.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-27 21:10
Betclic (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -10.09%E -3.11%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 72.06%EV -8.86%E -7.03%K -34.06%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-27 19:34
Coral🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.79%E -2.85%K -11.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-27 20:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.79%E -2.85%K -11.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-27 20:25
TAB🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -4.52%E -3.42%K -14.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-27 22:05
Bet Victor🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.96%E -4.59%K -19.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-27 20:30
BoyleSports🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.96%E -4.59%K -19.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-27 21:25
betano_uk🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.96%E -4.59%K -19.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-27 22:05
Unibet (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -11.48%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.91%EV -9.58%E -7.66%K -38.32%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-27 19:35
PMU (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -12.86%E -4.08%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 71.27%EV -8.13%E -6.40%K -30.12%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-27 19:30
Neds🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -15.63%E -5.12%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -2.35%E -1.74%K -6.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-27 20:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -15.63%E -5.12%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -2.35%E -1.74%K -6.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-27 20:30
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%6.8%2026-10-27 21:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%6.8%2026-10-27 21:25
Matchbook◎3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%6.8%2026-10-27 21:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%6.8%2026-10-27 21:25
Novig◎3.33I 30.03%NM 28.08%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.92%7.0%2026-10-28 01:25
Smarkets◎2.10I 47.62%NM 38.24%1.30I 76.92%NM 61.76%24.5%2026-10-28 00:45