Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Daniel Altmaier v Jiri Lehecka

2026-10-29 10:00 UTC — ATP Swiss Indoors Basel

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Daniel Altmaier (Local)

Prediction 17.37%5.76fair odd
EV +5.95%
Edge +0.976%
Kelly +1.17%
Growth +0.069%

assuming max odds 6.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.63%17.36%17.37%20.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.605.375.406.1021.74%18.63%18.52%16.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Jiri Lehecka (Visit)

Prediction 82.63%1.21fair odd
EV -1.67%
Edge -1.40%
Kelly -8.79%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.19

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
79.45%82.64%82.63%84.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.121.141.141.1989.29%87.96%87.72%84.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Daniel Altmaier (Local): 17.37%; Jiri Lehecka (Visit): 82.63%. For Daniel Altmaier (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.76. 4 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 6.10, producing a positive expected value of +5.95%.

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV +5.95%E +0.976%K +1.17%G +0.069%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -6.63%E -5.86%K -50.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-28 00:35
Winamax (DE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV +4.22%E +0.703%K +0.843%G +0.036%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -4.97%E -4.33%K -33.17%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-28 00:40
Betway🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +4.22%E +0.703%K +0.843%G +0.036%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.45%E -6.66%K -62.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-28 00:44
Coolbet🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.742%E +0.128%K +0.155%G +0.001%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.80%E -5.09%K -41.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-28 00:59
Bet Right🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.126%E -0.022%K -0.027%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.80%E -5.09%K -41.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-28 01:00
Bovada🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.126%E -0.022%K -0.027%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.80%E -5.09%K -41.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-28 00:54
1xBet🎯5.63I 17.76%NM 17.08%EV -2.21%E -0.393%K -0.477%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.92%EV -4.15%E -3.58%K -25.93%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-28 00:45
Betr (AU)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.47%E -0.812%K -0.993%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.80%E -5.09%K -41.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-28 00:59
Marathon Bet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.47%E -0.812%K -0.993%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.80%E -5.09%K -41.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-28 00:45
Fanatics🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.47%E -0.812%K -0.993%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.80%E -5.09%K -41.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-28 00:34
Sky Bet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -4.47%E -0.812%K -0.993%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.63%E -5.86%K -50.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-28 00:34
Unibet (UK)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -4.47%E -0.812%K -0.993%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.45%E -6.66%K -62.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-28 00:34
Paddy Power🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -4.47%E -0.812%K -0.993%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.45%E -6.66%K -62.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-28 00:15
DraftKings🎯5.45I 18.35%NM 17.55%EV -5.34%E -0.979%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.45%EV -4.15%E -3.58%K -25.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-28 00:20
NordicBet🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -6.21%E -1.15%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -5.80%E -5.09%K -41.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-28 00:35
Betsson🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -6.21%E -1.15%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -5.80%E -5.09%K -41.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-28 00:35
SportsBet🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -6.21%E -1.15%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -6.63%E -5.86%K -50.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-28 00:15
theScore Bet🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -6.21%E -1.15%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -6.63%E -5.86%K -50.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-28 00:34
LeoVegas🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -6.21%E -1.15%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 82.82%EV -7.45%E -6.66%K -62.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-28 01:00
Winamax (FR)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -7.94%E -1.50%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -6.63%E -5.86%K -50.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-28 00:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -8.81%E -1.68%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -5.80%E -5.09%K -41.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-28 00:35
Tipico (DE)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -9.68%E -1.86%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.15%EV -6.63%E -5.86%K -50.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-28 00:19
picklebet_au🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -13.15%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -6.63%E -5.86%K -50.98%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-28 00:35
Betclic (FR)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.92%EV -16.63%E -3.46%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 81.08%EV -7.45%E -6.66%K -62.11%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-28 00:34
ReBet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.92%EV -16.63%E -3.46%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 81.08%EV -7.45%E -6.66%K -62.11%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-28 00:34
betano_uk🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -17.50%E -3.68%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -4.97%E -4.33%K -33.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-28 00:18
Bet Victor🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -17.50%E -3.68%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -4.97%E -4.33%K -33.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-28 00:19
Unibet (FR)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.24%EV -18.36%E -3.91%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 80.76%EV -7.45%E -6.66%K -62.11%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-28 00:35
PlayUp🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -20.10%E -4.37%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -1.67%E -1.40%K -8.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-28 00:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.70I 21.28%NM 19.38%1.13I 88.50%NM 80.62%9.8%2026-10-28 00:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.70I 21.28%NM 19.38%1.13I 88.50%NM 80.62%9.8%2026-10-28 00:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.70I 21.28%NM 19.38%1.13I 88.50%NM 80.62%9.8%2026-10-28 00:05
Smarkets◎4.50I 22.22%NM 19.79%1.11I 90.09%NM 80.21%12.3%2026-10-28 00:35
Matchbook◎4.20I 23.81%NM 21.05%1.12I 89.29%NM 78.95%13.1%2026-10-28 00:05
Novig◎4.26I 23.47%NM 20.37%1.09I 91.74%NM 79.63%15.2%2026-10-28 00:35