Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Daniel Altmaier v Jiri Lehecka

2026-10-29 10:00 UTC — ATP Swiss Indoors Basel

Testa a testa

29 bookmaker (14 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Daniel Altmaier (Casa)

Previsione 17.24%5.80quota equa
EV +5.15%
Vantaggio +0.845%
Kelly +1.01%
Crescita +0.052%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
15.63%17.28%17.24%20.55%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.605.375.456.1021.74%18.61%18.35%16.39%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Jiri Lehecka (Trasferta)

Previsione 82.76%1.21quota equa
EV -1.51%
Vantaggio -1.27%
Kelly -7.97%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.19

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
79.45%82.72%82.76%84.37%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.111.141.141.1990.09%88.01%87.72%84.03%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Daniel Altmaier (Casa): 17.24%; Jiri Lehecka (Trasferta): 82.76%. Per Daniel Altmaier (Casa), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 5.80. 3 bookmaker offrono quote superiori a tale livello; la migliore quota disponibile è 6.10, con un valore atteso positivo del +5.15%.

Quote dei bookmaker (29 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
FanDuel🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV +5.15%E +0.845%K +1.01%G +0.052%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -6.48%E -5.73%K -49.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-28 00:35
Winamax (DE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV +3.43%E +0.572%K +0.686%G +0.024%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -4.82%E -4.19%K -32.16%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-28 00:40
Betway🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +3.43%E +0.572%K +0.686%G +0.024%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.31%E -6.52%K -60.89%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-28 00:44
Coolbet🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -0.017%E -0.003%K -0.004%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.65%E -4.96%K -40.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-28 00:59
Bet Right🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.879%E -0.153%K -0.185%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.65%E -4.96%K -40.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-28 01:00
Bovada🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.879%E -0.153%K -0.185%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.65%E -4.96%K -40.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-28 00:54
1xBet🎯5.63I 17.76%NM 17.08%EV -2.95%E -0.524%K -0.637%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.92%EV -4.00%E -3.45%K -24.98%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-28 01:35
Betr (AU)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.19%E -0.943%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.65%E -4.96%K -40.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-28 00:59
Marathon Bet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.19%E -0.943%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.65%E -4.96%K -40.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-28 01:24
Fanatics🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.19%E -0.943%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.65%E -4.96%K -40.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-28 00:34
Sky Bet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -5.19%E -0.943%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.48%E -5.73%K -49.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-28 00:34
Unibet (UK)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -5.19%E -0.943%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.31%E -6.52%K -60.89%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-28 00:34
Paddy Power🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -5.19%E -0.943%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.31%E -6.52%K -60.89%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-28 00:15
Tipico (DE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -5.19%E -0.943%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -8.13%E -7.33%K -73.95%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-28 01:34
DraftKings🎯5.45I 18.35%NM 17.55%EV -6.05%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.45%EV -4.00%E -3.45%K -24.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-28 00:20
NordicBet🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -6.91%E -1.28%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -5.65%E -4.96%K -40.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-28 00:35
Betsson🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -6.91%E -1.28%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -5.65%E -4.96%K -40.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-28 00:35
SportsBet🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -6.91%E -1.28%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -6.48%E -5.73%K -49.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-28 00:15
theScore Bet🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -6.91%E -1.28%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -6.48%E -5.73%K -49.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-28 00:34
Winamax (FR)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -8.64%E -1.63%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -6.48%E -5.73%K -49.84%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-28 00:40
LeoVegas🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV -8.64%E -1.63%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 82.55%EV -7.31%E -6.52%K -60.89%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-28 01:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -9.50%E -1.81%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -5.65%E -4.96%K -40.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-28 00:35
picklebet_au🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -13.81%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -6.48%E -5.73%K -49.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-28 00:35
Betclic (FR)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.92%EV -17.26%E -3.59%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 81.08%EV -7.31%E -6.52%K -60.89%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-28 00:34
ReBet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.92%EV -17.26%E -3.59%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 81.08%EV -7.31%E -6.52%K -60.89%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-28 00:34
betano_uk🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -18.12%E -3.81%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -4.82%E -4.19%K -32.16%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-28 00:18
Bet Victor🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -18.12%E -3.81%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -4.82%E -4.19%K -32.16%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-28 00:19
Unibet (FR)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.24%EV -18.98%E -4.04%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 80.76%EV -7.31%E -6.52%K -60.89%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-28 00:35
PlayUp🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -20.70%E -4.50%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -1.51%E -1.27%K -7.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-28 00:20
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.70I 21.28%NM 19.38%1.13I 88.50%NM 80.62%9.8%2026-10-28 00:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.70I 21.28%NM 19.38%1.13I 88.50%NM 80.62%9.8%2026-10-28 00:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.70I 21.28%NM 19.38%1.13I 88.50%NM 80.62%9.8%2026-10-28 00:05
Smarkets◎4.50I 22.22%NM 19.79%1.11I 90.09%NM 80.21%12.3%2026-10-28 00:35
Matchbook◎4.20I 23.81%NM 21.05%1.12I 89.29%NM 78.95%13.1%2026-10-28 00:05
Novig◎4.26I 23.47%NM 20.37%1.09I 91.74%NM 79.63%15.2%2026-10-28 00:35