Idioma:Español
Daniel Altmaier v Jiri Lehecka
Resultado del partido
Daniel Altmaier (Local)
Predicción 17.24%5.80momio equitativo
EV +5.15%
Ventaja +0.845%
Kelly +1.01%
Crecimiento +0.052%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.63%17.28%17.24%20.55%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.605.375.456.1021.74%18.61%18.35%16.39%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Jiri Lehecka (Visitante)
Predicción 82.76%1.21momio equitativo
EV -1.51%
Ventaja -1.27%
Kelly -7.97%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.19
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
79.45%82.72%82.76%84.37%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.111.141.141.1990.09%88.01%87.72%84.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Daniel Altmaier (Local): 17.24%; Jiri Lehecka (Visitante): 82.76%. Para Daniel Altmaier (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 5.80. 3 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 6.10, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +5.15%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (29 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV +5.15%E +0.845%K +1.01%G +0.052% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -6.48%E -5.73%K -49.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-28 00:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV +3.43%E +0.572%K +0.686%G +0.024% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -4.82%E -4.19%K -32.16%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-28 00:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +3.43%E +0.572%K +0.686%G +0.024% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.31%E -6.52%K -60.89%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-28 00:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -0.017%E -0.003%K -0.004%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.65%E -4.96%K -40.37%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-28 00:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.879%E -0.153%K -0.185%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.65%E -4.96%K -40.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-28 01:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.879%E -0.153%K -0.185%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.65%E -4.96%K -40.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-28 00:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.63I 17.76%NM 17.08%EV -2.95%E -0.524%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.92%EV -4.00%E -3.45%K -24.98%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-28 01:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.19%E -0.943%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.65%E -4.96%K -40.37%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-28 00:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.19%E -0.943%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.65%E -4.96%K -40.37%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-28 01:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.19%E -0.943%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.65%E -4.96%K -40.37%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-28 00:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -5.19%E -0.943%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.48%E -5.73%K -49.84%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-28 00:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -5.19%E -0.943%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.31%E -6.52%K -60.89%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-28 00:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -5.19%E -0.943%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.31%E -6.52%K -60.89%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-28 00:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -5.19%E -0.943%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -8.13%E -7.33%K -73.95%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-28 01:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.55%EV -6.05%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.45%EV -4.00%E -3.45%K -24.98%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-28 00:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -6.91%E -1.28%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -5.65%E -4.96%K -40.37%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-28 00:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -6.91%E -1.28%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -5.65%E -4.96%K -40.37%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-28 00:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -6.91%E -1.28%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -6.48%E -5.73%K -49.84%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-28 00:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -6.91%E -1.28%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -6.48%E -5.73%K -49.84%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-28 00:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -8.64%E -1.63%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -6.48%E -5.73%K -49.84%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-28 00:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV -8.64%E -1.63%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.55%EV -7.31%E -6.52%K -60.89%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-28 01:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -9.50%E -1.81%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -5.65%E -4.96%K -40.37%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-28 00:35 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -13.81%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -6.48%E -5.73%K -49.84%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-28 00:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.92%EV -17.26%E -3.59%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.08%EV -7.31%E -6.52%K -60.89%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-28 00:34 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.92%EV -17.26%E -3.59%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.08%EV -7.31%E -6.52%K -60.89%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-28 00:34 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -18.12%E -3.81%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -4.82%E -4.19%K -32.16%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-28 00:18 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -18.12%E -3.81%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -4.82%E -4.19%K -32.16%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-28 00:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.24%EV -18.98%E -4.04%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 80.76%EV -7.31%E -6.52%K -60.89%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-28 00:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -20.70%E -4.50%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -1.51%E -1.27%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-28 00:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.38% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 80.62% | 9.8% | 2026-10-28 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.38% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 80.62% | 9.8% | 2026-10-28 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.38% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 80.62% | 9.8% | 2026-10-28 00:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.79% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 80.21% | 12.3% | 2026-10-28 00:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.05% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 78.95% | 13.1% | 2026-10-28 00:05 |
| Novig◎ | 4.26I 23.47%NM 20.37% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 79.63% | 15.2% | 2026-10-28 00:35 |