Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Tommy Paul v Valentin Vacherot

2026-10-12 04:00 UTC — ATP Shanghai Masters

Testa a testa

54 bookmaker (15 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Tommy Paul (Casa)

Previsione 57.00%1.75quota equa
EV -3.68%
Vantaggio -2.18%
Kelly -5.33%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.69

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
55.56%56.92%56.96%57.59%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.581.661.661.6963.29%60.27%60.24%59.17%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Valentin Vacherot (Trasferta)

Previsione 43.00%2.33quota equa
EV -1.95%
Vantaggio -0.855%
Kelly -1.52%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.28

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
42.41%43.08%43.04%44.44%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.052.192.202.2848.78%45.59%45.45%43.86%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Tommy Paul (Casa): 57.00%; Valentin Vacherot (Trasferta): 43.00%. Per Valentin Vacherot (Trasferta), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 2.33. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offre una quota superiore a tale livello: la migliore quota disponibile è 2.28, con un valore atteso del -1.95%; non produce valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (54 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%EV -3.68%E -2.18%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%EV -1.95%E -0.855%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-10 16:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.68%E -2.18%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.24%E -1.44%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-10 16:46
BetOnline.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.68%E -2.18%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.24%E -1.44%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-10 16:50
BetAnything🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.68%E -2.18%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.56%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-10 18:24
1xBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.25%E -2.53%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.10%E -1.84%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-10 17:20
DraftKings🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -4.25%E -2.53%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV -4.96%E -2.24%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-10 16:35
GTbets🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -4.25%E -2.53%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -5.82%E -2.66%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-10 16:35
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.25%E -2.53%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-10 15:50
Neds🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -4.25%E -2.53%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -9.69%E -4.61%K -8.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-10 17:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -4.25%E -2.53%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -9.69%E -4.61%K -8.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-10 17:15
FanDuel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.82%E -2.89%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.24%E -1.44%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-10 15:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.82%E -2.89%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.24%E -1.44%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-10 17:30
Bovada🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.82%E -2.89%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.24%E -1.44%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-10 17:54
Betsson🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.82%E -2.89%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.53%E -2.04%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-10 15:45
NordicBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.82%E -2.89%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.53%E -2.04%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-10 15:45
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.82%E -2.89%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.39%E -2.45%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 15:44
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.82%E -2.89%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.39%E -2.45%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 15:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.82%E -2.89%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.39%E -2.45%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 15:45
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.82%E -2.89%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.39%E -2.45%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 15:45
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.82%E -2.89%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.39%E -2.45%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 15:44
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.82%E -2.89%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.39%E -2.45%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 16:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.82%E -2.89%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.39%E -2.45%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 16:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.82%E -2.89%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.39%E -2.45%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 16:55
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.82%E -2.89%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-10 17:15
betano_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.82%E -2.89%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.69%E -4.61%K -8.81%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-10 16:34
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.82%E -2.89%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.69%E -4.61%K -8.81%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-10 16:33
LiveScore Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.39%E -3.25%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.10%E -1.84%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-10 16:49
Casumo🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.39%E -3.25%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.10%E -1.84%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-10 16:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.39%E -3.25%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.10%E -1.84%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-10 16:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.39%E -3.25%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.10%E -1.84%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-10 16:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.39%E -3.25%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.10%E -1.84%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-10 16:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.39%E -3.25%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.10%E -1.84%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-10 16:50
BetRivers🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.39%E -3.25%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.10%E -1.84%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-10 16:50
TABtouch🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.39%E -3.25%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.10%E -1.84%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-10 16:50
Unibet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.39%E -3.25%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.10%E -1.84%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-10 16:50
Grosvenor🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.39%E -3.25%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.10%E -1.84%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-10 16:50
Bally Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.39%E -3.25%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.10%E -1.84%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-10 16:50
betPARX🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.39%E -3.25%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.10%E -1.84%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-10 16:49
Svenska Spel🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.39%E -3.25%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.10%E -1.84%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-10 16:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.39%E -3.25%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.10%E -1.84%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-10 16:50
Bet Right🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.39%E -3.25%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -4.53%E -2.04%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 20:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.39%E -3.25%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.39%E -2.45%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-10 17:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.39%E -3.25%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.39%E -2.45%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-10 15:45
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.96%E -3.61%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.39%E -2.45%K -4.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-10 18:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.96%E -3.61%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-10 17:15
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.96%E -3.61%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-10 17:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -6.53%E -3.98%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -6.68%E -3.08%K -5.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-10 15:45
SportsBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.67%E -4.73%K -12.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.39%E -2.45%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-10 15:44
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.67%E -4.73%K -12.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.39%E -2.45%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-10 15:44
LeoVegas🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.67%E -4.73%K -12.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.56%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-10 15:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.22%EV -8.81%E -5.50%K -14.68%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.78%EV -7.97%E -3.72%K -6.99%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-10 16:50
ReBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -8.81%E -5.50%K -14.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -9.69%E -4.61%K -8.81%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-10 15:44
Unibet (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 56.47%EV -9.95%E -6.30%K -17.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -11.84%E -5.78%K -11.28%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-10 15:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 56.47%EV -9.95%E -6.30%K -17.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -11.84%E -5.78%K -11.28%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-10 15:45
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook◎1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%3.0%2026-10-10 18:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%3.7%2026-10-10 19:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%3.7%2026-10-10 19:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%3.7%2026-10-10 19:35
Smarkets◎1.58I 63.29%NM 57.98%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.02%9.2%2026-10-10 20:50
Novig◎1.56I 64.10%NM 57.49%2.11I 47.39%NM 42.51%11.5%2026-10-10 16:40