StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Tommy Paul v Valentin Vacherot

2026-10-12 04:00 UTC — ATP Shanghai Masters

Direkter Vergleich

54 Wettanbieter (15 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Tommy Paul (Heim)

Prognose 57.00%1.75faire Quote
EV -3.68%
Vorteil -2.18%
Kelly -5.33%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.69

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
55.56%56.92%56.96%57.59%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.581.661.661.6963.29%60.27%60.24%59.17%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Valentin Vacherot (Auswärts)

Prognose 43.00%2.33faire Quote
EV -1.95%
Vorteil -0.855%
Kelly -1.52%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.28

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
42.41%43.08%43.04%44.44%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.052.192.202.2848.78%45.59%45.45%43.86%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Für Direkter Vergleich schätzt Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) folgende Wahrscheinlichkeiten: Tommy Paul (Heim): 57.00%; Valentin Vacherot (Auswärts): 43.00%. Für Valentin Vacherot (Auswärts) entspricht diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.33. Kein geeigneter Wettanbieter bietet eine Quote über diesem Wert an: Die beste verfügbare Quote beträgt 2.28, bei einem Erwartungswert von -1.95%; sie ergibt keinen positiven Erwartungswert.

Wettanbieterquoten (54 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Pinnacle🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%EV -3.68%E -2.18%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%EV -1.95%E -0.855%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-10 16:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.68%E -2.18%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.24%E -1.44%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-10 16:46
BetOnline.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.68%E -2.18%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.24%E -1.44%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-10 16:50
BetAnything🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.68%E -2.18%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.56%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-10 18:24
1xBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.25%E -2.53%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.10%E -1.84%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-10 17:20
DraftKings🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -4.25%E -2.53%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV -4.96%E -2.24%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-10 16:35
GTbets🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -4.25%E -2.53%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -5.82%E -2.66%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-10 16:35
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.25%E -2.53%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-10 15:50
Neds🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -4.25%E -2.53%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -9.69%E -4.61%K -8.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-10 17:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -4.25%E -2.53%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -9.69%E -4.61%K -8.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-10 17:15
FanDuel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.82%E -2.89%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.24%E -1.44%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-10 15:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.82%E -2.89%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.24%E -1.44%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-10 17:30
Bovada🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.82%E -2.89%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.24%E -1.44%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-10 17:54
Betsson🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.82%E -2.89%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.53%E -2.04%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-10 15:45
NordicBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.82%E -2.89%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.53%E -2.04%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-10 15:45
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.82%E -2.89%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.39%E -2.45%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 15:44
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.82%E -2.89%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.39%E -2.45%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 15:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.82%E -2.89%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.39%E -2.45%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 15:45
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.82%E -2.89%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.39%E -2.45%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 15:45
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.82%E -2.89%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.39%E -2.45%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 15:44
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.82%E -2.89%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.39%E -2.45%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 16:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.82%E -2.89%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.39%E -2.45%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 16:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.82%E -2.89%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.39%E -2.45%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 16:55
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.82%E -2.89%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-10 17:15
betano_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.82%E -2.89%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.69%E -4.61%K -8.81%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-10 16:34
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.82%E -2.89%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.69%E -4.61%K -8.81%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-10 16:33
LiveScore Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.39%E -3.25%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.10%E -1.84%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-10 16:49
Casumo🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.39%E -3.25%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.10%E -1.84%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-10 16:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.39%E -3.25%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.10%E -1.84%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-10 16:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.39%E -3.25%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.10%E -1.84%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-10 16:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.39%E -3.25%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.10%E -1.84%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-10 16:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.39%E -3.25%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.10%E -1.84%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-10 16:50
BetRivers🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.39%E -3.25%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.10%E -1.84%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-10 16:50
TABtouch🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.39%E -3.25%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.10%E -1.84%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-10 16:50
Unibet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.39%E -3.25%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.10%E -1.84%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-10 16:50
Grosvenor🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.39%E -3.25%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.10%E -1.84%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-10 16:50
Bally Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.39%E -3.25%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.10%E -1.84%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-10 16:50
betPARX🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.39%E -3.25%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.10%E -1.84%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-10 16:49
Svenska Spel🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.39%E -3.25%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.10%E -1.84%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-10 16:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.39%E -3.25%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.10%E -1.84%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-10 16:50
Bet Right🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.39%E -3.25%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -4.53%E -2.04%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 20:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.39%E -3.25%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.39%E -2.45%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-10 17:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.39%E -3.25%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.39%E -2.45%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-10 15:45
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.96%E -3.61%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.39%E -2.45%K -4.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-10 18:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.96%E -3.61%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-10 17:15
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.96%E -3.61%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-10 17:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -6.53%E -3.98%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -6.68%E -3.08%K -5.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-10 15:45
SportsBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.67%E -4.73%K -12.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.39%E -2.45%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-10 15:44
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.67%E -4.73%K -12.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.39%E -2.45%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-10 15:44
LeoVegas🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.67%E -4.73%K -12.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.56%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-10 15:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.22%EV -8.81%E -5.50%K -14.68%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.78%EV -7.97%E -3.72%K -6.99%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-10 16:50
ReBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -8.81%E -5.50%K -14.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -9.69%E -4.61%K -8.81%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-10 15:44
Unibet (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 56.47%EV -9.95%E -6.30%K -17.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -11.84%E -5.78%K -11.28%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-10 15:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 56.47%EV -9.95%E -6.30%K -17.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -11.84%E -5.78%K -11.28%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-10 15:45
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook◎1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%3.0%2026-10-10 18:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%3.7%2026-10-10 19:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%3.7%2026-10-10 19:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%3.7%2026-10-10 19:35
Smarkets◎1.58I 63.29%NM 57.98%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.02%9.2%2026-10-10 20:50
Novig◎1.56I 64.10%NM 57.49%2.11I 47.39%NM 42.51%11.5%2026-10-10 16:40