StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Learner Tien v Casper Ruud

2026-10-12 04:00 UTC — ATP Shanghai Masters

Matchresultat

55 spelbolag (15 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Learner Tien (Hemma)

Prognos 55.81%1.79rättvist odds
EV -2.89%
Fördel -1.66%
Kelly -3.91%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.74

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
54.38%55.77%55.84%58.97%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.601.691.701.7462.50%59.27%58.82%57.47%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Casper Ruud (Borta)

Prognos 44.19%2.26rättvist odds
EV +1.64%
Fördel +0.713%
Kelly +1.26%
Tillväxt +0.021%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.30

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
41.03%44.23%44.16%45.62%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.002.142.152.3050.00%46.78%46.51%43.48%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: Learner Tien (Hemma): 55.81%; Casper Ruud (Borta): 44.19%. För Casper Ruud (Borta) motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.26. 1 spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån; bästa tillgängliga odds är 2.30, vilket ger ett positivt väntevärde på +1.64%.

Spelbolagsodds (55 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -10.71%E -6.69%K -17.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV +1.64%E +0.713%K +1.26%G +0.021%6.0%2026-10-10 18:45
Pinnacle🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -4.57%E -2.67%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -0.127%E -0.056%K -0.101%G +0.000%2.7%2026-10-10 18:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.57%E -2.67%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.78%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-10 18:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.57%E -2.67%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.78%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-10 18:05
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.68%E -3.36%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.78%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-10 18:58
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.80%E -4.07%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.78%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 18:45
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.80%E -4.07%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.78%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 18:45
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.80%E -4.07%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.78%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 18:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.80%E -4.07%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.78%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 18:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.80%E -4.07%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.78%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 18:45
FanDuel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.66%E -1.68%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-10 18:45
Bet Right🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.24%E -3.72%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.66%E -1.68%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 20:20
1xBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -4.01%E -2.33%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -4.10%E -1.89%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-10 19:00
Betsson🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.10%E -1.89%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-10 18:45
NordicBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.10%E -1.89%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-10 18:46
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 16:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 16:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 16:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 16:50
Grosvenor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 16:50
TABtouch🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 16:50
Unibet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 16:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 16:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 16:50
Casumo🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 16:50
betPARX🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 16:49
Svenska Spel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 16:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 16:50
Bally Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 16:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.68%E -3.36%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-10 18:45
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.68%E -3.36%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-10 18:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.68%E -3.36%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-10 17:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.24%E -3.72%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-10 19:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.24%E -3.72%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-10 18:45
SportsBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.92%E -4.80%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-10 18:45
GTbets🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.01%E -2.33%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.31%E -2.98%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 16:35
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -2.89%E -1.66%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -6.76%E -3.20%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-10 18:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.82%EV -6.80%E -4.07%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.18%EV -6.76%E -3.20%K -6.09%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-10 18:45
Betway🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.45%E -2.00%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 18:40
BetAnything🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.57%E -2.67%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-10 18:45
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-10 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-10 18:40
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -5.68%E -3.36%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-10 18:40
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -5.68%E -3.36%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-10 18:40
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.80%E -4.07%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-10 18:45
Fliff🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.80%E -4.07%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-10 18:45
LeoVegas🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.92%E -4.80%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-10 18:45
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -4.01%E -2.33%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -9.41%E -4.59%K -8.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-10 18:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -4.01%E -2.33%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -9.41%E -4.59%K -8.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-10 18:40
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.41%E -4.59%K -8.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-10 17:40
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.41%E -4.59%K -8.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-10 17:43
ReBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.71%EV -9.03%E -5.54%K -14.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -9.41%E -4.59%K -8.96%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-10 18:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.71%EV -9.03%E -5.54%K -14.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -9.41%E -4.59%K -8.96%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-10 16:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40%EV -10.15%E -6.30%K -16.64%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.60%EV -11.62%E -5.81%K -11.62%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-10 18:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -10.71%E -6.69%K -17.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -11.62%E -5.81%K -11.62%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-10 18:45
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%0.9%2026-10-10 20:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%0.9%2026-10-10 20:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%0.9%2026-10-10 20:20
Matchbook◎1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%2.7%2026-10-10 20:05
ProphetX◎1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%2.9%2026-10-10 20:55
Smarkets◎1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%9.7%2026-10-10 20:55