Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Learner Tien v Casper Ruud

2026-10-12 04:00 UTC — ATP Shanghai Masters

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Learner Tien (Local)

Prévision 55.81%1.79cote équitable
EV -2.89%
Avantage -1.66%
Kelly -3.91%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.74

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.38%55.77%55.84%58.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.601.691.701.7462.50%59.27%58.82%57.47%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Casper Ruud (Visiteur)

Prévision 44.19%2.26cote équitable
EV +1.64%
Avantage +0.713%
Kelly +1.26%
Croissance +0.021%

avec la cote maximale 2.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.03%44.23%44.16%45.62%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.002.142.152.3050.00%46.78%46.51%43.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Learner Tien (Local) : 55.81% ; Casper Ruud (Visiteur) : 44.19%. Pour Casper Ruud (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 2.26. 1 opérateur propose une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 2.30, pour une espérance positive de +1.64%.

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -10.71%E -6.69%K -17.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV +1.64%E +0.713%K +1.26%G +0.021%6.0%2026-10-10 18:45
Pinnacle🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -4.57%E -2.67%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -0.127%E -0.056%K -0.101%G +0.000%2.7%2026-10-10 18:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.57%E -2.67%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.78%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-10 18:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.57%E -2.67%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.78%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-10 18:05
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.68%E -3.36%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.78%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-10 18:58
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.80%E -4.07%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.78%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 18:45
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.80%E -4.07%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.78%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 18:45
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.80%E -4.07%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.78%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 18:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.80%E -4.07%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.78%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 18:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.80%E -4.07%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.78%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 18:45
FanDuel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.66%E -1.68%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-10 18:45
Bet Right🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.24%E -3.72%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.66%E -1.68%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 20:20
1xBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -4.01%E -2.33%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -4.10%E -1.89%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-10 19:00
Betsson🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.10%E -1.89%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-10 18:45
NordicBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.10%E -1.89%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-10 18:46
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 16:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 16:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 16:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 16:50
Grosvenor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 16:50
TABtouch🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 16:50
Unibet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 16:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 16:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 16:50
Casumo🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 16:50
betPARX🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 16:49
Svenska Spel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 16:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 16:50
Bally Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 16:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.68%E -3.36%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-10 18:45
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.68%E -3.36%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-10 18:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.68%E -3.36%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-10 17:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.24%E -3.72%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-10 19:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.24%E -3.72%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-10 18:45
SportsBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.92%E -4.80%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-10 18:45
GTbets🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.01%E -2.33%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.31%E -2.98%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 16:35
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -2.89%E -1.66%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -6.76%E -3.20%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-10 18:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.82%EV -6.80%E -4.07%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.18%EV -6.76%E -3.20%K -6.09%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-10 18:45
Betway🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.45%E -2.00%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 18:40
BetAnything🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.57%E -2.67%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-10 18:45
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-10 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-10 18:40
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -5.68%E -3.36%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-10 18:40
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -5.68%E -3.36%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-10 18:40
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.80%E -4.07%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-10 18:45
Fliff🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.80%E -4.07%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-10 18:45
LeoVegas🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.92%E -4.80%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-10 18:45
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -4.01%E -2.33%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -9.41%E -4.59%K -8.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-10 18:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -4.01%E -2.33%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -9.41%E -4.59%K -8.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-10 18:40
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.41%E -4.59%K -8.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-10 17:40
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.41%E -4.59%K -8.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-10 17:43
ReBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.71%EV -9.03%E -5.54%K -14.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -9.41%E -4.59%K -8.96%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-10 18:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.71%EV -9.03%E -5.54%K -14.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -9.41%E -4.59%K -8.96%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-10 16:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40%EV -10.15%E -6.30%K -16.64%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.60%EV -11.62%E -5.81%K -11.62%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-10 18:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -10.71%E -6.69%K -17.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -11.62%E -5.81%K -11.62%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-10 18:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%0.9%2026-10-10 20:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%0.9%2026-10-10 20:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%0.9%2026-10-10 20:20
Matchbook◎1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%2.7%2026-10-10 20:05
ProphetX◎1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%2.9%2026-10-10 20:55
Smarkets◎1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%9.7%2026-10-10 20:55