StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Learner Tien v Casper Ruud

2026-10-12 04:00 UTC — ATP Shanghai Masters

Direkter Vergleich

55 Wettanbieter (15 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Learner Tien (Heim)

Prognose 55.81%1.79faire Quote
EV -2.89%
Vorteil -1.66%
Kelly -3.91%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.74

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
54.38%55.77%55.84%58.97%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.601.691.701.7462.50%59.27%58.82%57.47%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Casper Ruud (Auswärts)

Prognose 44.19%2.26faire Quote
EV +1.64%
Vorteil +0.713%
Kelly +1.26%
Wachstum +0.021%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.30

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
41.03%44.23%44.16%45.62%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.002.142.152.3050.00%46.78%46.51%43.48%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Für Direkter Vergleich schätzt Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) folgende Wahrscheinlichkeiten: Learner Tien (Heim): 55.81%; Casper Ruud (Auswärts): 44.19%. Für Casper Ruud (Auswärts) entspricht diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.26. 1 Wettanbieter bietet eine Quote über diesem Wert an; die beste verfügbare Quote beträgt 2.30 und ergibt einen positiven Erwartungswert von +1.64%.

Wettanbieterquoten (55 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -10.71%E -6.69%K -17.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV +1.64%E +0.713%K +1.26%G +0.021%6.0%2026-10-10 18:45
Pinnacle🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -4.57%E -2.67%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -0.127%E -0.056%K -0.101%G +0.000%2.7%2026-10-10 18:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.57%E -2.67%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.78%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-10 18:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.57%E -2.67%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.78%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-10 18:05
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.68%E -3.36%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.78%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-10 18:58
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.80%E -4.07%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.78%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 18:45
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.80%E -4.07%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.78%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 18:45
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.80%E -4.07%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.78%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 18:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.80%E -4.07%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.78%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 18:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.80%E -4.07%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.78%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 18:45
FanDuel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.66%E -1.68%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-10 18:45
Bet Right🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.24%E -3.72%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.66%E -1.68%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 20:20
1xBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -4.01%E -2.33%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -4.10%E -1.89%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-10 19:00
Betsson🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.10%E -1.89%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-10 18:45
NordicBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.10%E -1.89%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-10 18:46
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 16:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 16:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 16:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 16:50
Grosvenor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 16:50
TABtouch🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 16:50
Unibet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 16:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 16:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 16:50
Casumo🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 16:50
betPARX🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 16:49
Svenska Spel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 16:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 16:50
Bally Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 16:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.68%E -3.36%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-10 18:45
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.68%E -3.36%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-10 18:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.68%E -3.36%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-10 17:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.24%E -3.72%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-10 19:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.24%E -3.72%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-10 18:45
SportsBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.92%E -4.80%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-10 18:45
GTbets🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.01%E -2.33%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.31%E -2.98%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 16:35
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -2.89%E -1.66%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -6.76%E -3.20%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-10 18:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.82%EV -6.80%E -4.07%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.18%EV -6.76%E -3.20%K -6.09%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-10 18:45
Betway🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.45%E -2.00%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 18:40
BetAnything🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.57%E -2.67%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-10 18:45
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-10 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-10 18:40
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -5.68%E -3.36%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-10 18:40
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -5.68%E -3.36%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-10 18:40
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.80%E -4.07%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-10 18:45
Fliff🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.80%E -4.07%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-10 18:45
LeoVegas🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.92%E -4.80%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-10 18:45
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -4.01%E -2.33%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -9.41%E -4.59%K -8.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-10 18:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -4.01%E -2.33%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -9.41%E -4.59%K -8.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-10 18:40
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.41%E -4.59%K -8.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-10 17:40
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.41%E -4.59%K -8.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-10 17:43
ReBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.71%EV -9.03%E -5.54%K -14.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -9.41%E -4.59%K -8.96%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-10 18:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.71%EV -9.03%E -5.54%K -14.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -9.41%E -4.59%K -8.96%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-10 16:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40%EV -10.15%E -6.30%K -16.64%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.60%EV -11.62%E -5.81%K -11.62%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-10 18:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -10.71%E -6.69%K -17.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -11.62%E -5.81%K -11.62%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-10 18:45
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%0.9%2026-10-10 20:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%0.9%2026-10-10 20:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%0.9%2026-10-10 20:20
Matchbook◎1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%2.7%2026-10-10 20:05
ProphetX◎1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%2.9%2026-10-10 20:55
Smarkets◎1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%9.7%2026-10-10 20:55