Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arthur Gea v Jakub Mensik

2026-10-13 04:00 UTC — ATP Shanghai Masters

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arthur Gea (Local)

Prediction 37.61%2.66fair odd
EV +0.798%
Edge +0.298%
Kelly +0.475%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 2.68

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.73%37.58%37.69%39.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.512.502.6843.48%39.90%40.00%37.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Jakub Mensik (Visit)

Prediction 62.39%1.60fair odd
EV -2.67%
Edge -1.71%
Kelly -4.77%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.26%62.42%62.31%64.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.511.501.5669.44%66.38%66.67%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Arthur Gea (Local): 37.61%; Jakub Mensik (Visit): 62.39%. For Arthur Gea (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.66. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.68, producing a positive expected value of +0.798%.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV +0.798%E +0.298%K +0.475%G +0.004%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -7.04%E -4.73%K -14.37%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-11 18:29
LowVig.ag🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV +0.798%E +0.298%K +0.475%G +0.004%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -7.04%E -4.73%K -14.37%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-11 18:24
SportsBet🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 36.50%EV -1.83%E -0.703%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.50%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-11 12:29
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -2.21%E -0.850%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -5.17%E -3.40%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-11 17:29
Pinnacle🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -3.34%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -2.67%E -1.71%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-11 17:15
GTbets🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -3.34%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -5.79%E -3.84%K -11.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-11 13:00
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.09%E -1.60%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.92%E -2.55%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-11 15:59
NordicBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.09%E -1.60%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.17%E -3.40%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-11 17:29
Betsson🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.09%E -1.60%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.17%E -3.40%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-11 17:29
Bet Right🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.09%E -1.60%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.17%E -3.40%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-11 16:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.09%E -1.60%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-11 12:54
Virgin Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.09%E -1.60%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-11 12:54
LiveScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.09%E -1.60%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-11 12:54
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.09%E -1.60%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-11 12:54
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.09%E -1.60%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-11 12:55
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.09%E -1.60%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-11 12:55
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.09%E -1.60%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-11 12:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.09%E -1.60%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-11 12:54
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.09%E -1.60%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-11 12:54
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.09%E -1.60%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-11 12:54
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.09%E -1.60%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-11 12:54
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.09%E -1.60%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-11 12:55
Bally Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.09%E -1.60%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-11 12:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.09%E -1.60%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-11 12:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.09%E -1.60%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-11 13:40
1xBet🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -4.47%E -1.76%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -3.92%E -2.55%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-11 17:42
Marathon Bet🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 37.72%EV -5.60%E -2.23%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.28%EV -5.17%E -3.40%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-11 17:29
DraftKings🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.92%E -2.55%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-11 16:00
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-11 13:39
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-11 13:39
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-11 13:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-11 13:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.17%E -3.40%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-11 17:29
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.17%E -3.40%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-11 19:40
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.17%E -3.40%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-11 17:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-11 12:30
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-11 13:15
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-11 17:29
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-11 17:29
Tipico (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -8.29%E -5.64%K -17.64%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-11 17:35
betano_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -9.54%E -6.58%K -21.19%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-11 13:04
Bet Victor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -9.54%E -6.58%K -21.19%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-11 13:04
Unibet (UK)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -6.72%E -2.71%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-11 17:30
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.85%E -3.21%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-11 16:03
LeoVegas🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.85%E -3.21%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-11 17:29
theScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.85%E -3.21%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-11 17:33
Fliff🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.85%E -3.21%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-11 17:34
PMU (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -7.85%E -3.21%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.98%EV -10.16%E -7.06%K -23.09%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-11 12:54
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.73%E -4.06%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-11 16:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.73%E -4.06%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-11 16:04
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -10.49%E -4.41%K -7.60%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-11 17:35
ReBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.18%EV -10.49%E -4.41%K -7.60%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.82%EV -8.29%E -5.64%K -17.64%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-11 17:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -11.61%E -4.94%K -8.60%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -3.30%E -2.13%K -6.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-11 16:10
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -11.61%E -4.94%K -8.60%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -3.30%E -2.13%K -6.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-11 16:09
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -11.61%E -4.94%K -8.60%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 61.68%EV -8.91%E -6.10%K -19.37%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-11 17:30
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -13.49%E -5.87%K -10.38%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 61.33%EV -9.54%E -6.58%K -21.19%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-11 17:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.58%0.9%2026-10-11 17:44
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.58%0.9%2026-10-11 17:44
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.58%0.9%2026-10-11 16:55
ProphetX◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.13%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.87%1.7%2026-10-11 18:55
Novig◎2.63I 38.02%NM 37.38%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.62%1.7%2026-10-11 16:20
Smarkets◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.16%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.84%2.4%2026-10-11 19:35