StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Arthur Gea v Jakub Mensik

2026-10-13 04:00 UTC — ATP Shanghai Masters

Direkter Vergleich

56 Wettanbieter (17 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Arthur Gea (Heim)

Prognose 37.61%2.66faire Quote
EV +0.798%
Vorteil +0.298%
Kelly +0.475%
Wachstum +0.004%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.68

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
35.73%37.58%37.69%39.74%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.302.512.502.6843.48%39.90%40.00%37.31%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Jakub Mensik (Auswärts)

Prognose 62.39%1.60faire Quote
EV -2.67%
Vorteil -1.71%
Kelly -4.77%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.56

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
60.26%62.42%62.31%64.27%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.441.511.501.5669.44%66.39%66.67%64.10%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Für Direkter Vergleich schätzt Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) folgende Wahrscheinlichkeiten: Arthur Gea (Heim): 37.61%; Jakub Mensik (Auswärts): 62.39%. Für Arthur Gea (Heim) entspricht diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.66. 2 Wettanbieter bieten Quoten über diesem Wert an; die beste verfügbare Quote beträgt 2.68 und ergibt einen positiven Erwartungswert von +0.798%.

Wettanbieterquoten (56 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
BetOnline.ag🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV +0.798%E +0.298%K +0.475%G +0.004%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -7.04%E -4.73%K -14.37%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-11 18:29
LowVig.ag🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV +0.798%E +0.298%K +0.475%G +0.004%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -7.04%E -4.73%K -14.37%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-11 18:24
SportsBet🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 36.50%EV -1.83%E -0.703%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.50%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-11 12:29
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -2.21%E -0.850%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -5.17%E -3.40%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-11 17:29
Pinnacle🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -3.34%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -2.67%E -1.71%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-11 17:15
GTbets🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -3.34%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -5.79%E -3.84%K -11.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-11 13:00
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.09%E -1.60%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.92%E -2.55%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-11 15:59
NordicBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.09%E -1.60%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.17%E -3.40%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-11 17:29
Betsson🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.09%E -1.60%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.17%E -3.40%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-11 17:29
Bet Right🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.09%E -1.60%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.17%E -3.40%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-11 16:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.09%E -1.60%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-11 12:54
Virgin Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.09%E -1.60%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-11 12:54
LiveScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.09%E -1.60%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-11 12:54
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.09%E -1.60%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-11 12:54
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.09%E -1.60%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-11 12:55
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.09%E -1.60%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-11 12:55
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.09%E -1.60%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-11 12:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.09%E -1.60%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-11 12:54
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.09%E -1.60%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-11 12:54
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.09%E -1.60%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-11 12:54
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.09%E -1.60%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-11 12:54
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.09%E -1.60%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-11 12:55
Bally Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.09%E -1.60%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-11 12:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.09%E -1.60%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-11 12:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.09%E -1.60%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-11 13:40
1xBet🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -4.47%E -1.76%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -3.92%E -2.55%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-11 17:42
Marathon Bet🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 37.72%EV -5.60%E -2.23%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.28%EV -5.17%E -3.40%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-11 17:29
DraftKings🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.92%E -2.55%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-11 16:00
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-11 13:39
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-11 13:39
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-11 13:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-11 13:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.17%E -3.40%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-11 17:29
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.17%E -3.40%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-11 17:30
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.79%E -3.84%K -11.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-11 19:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-11 12:30
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-11 13:15
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-11 17:29
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-11 17:29
Tipico (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -8.29%E -5.64%K -17.64%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-11 17:35
betano_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -9.54%E -6.58%K -21.19%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-11 13:04
Bet Victor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -9.54%E -6.58%K -21.19%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-11 13:04
Unibet (UK)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -6.72%E -2.71%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-11 17:30
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.85%E -3.21%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-11 16:03
LeoVegas🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.85%E -3.21%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-11 17:29
theScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.85%E -3.21%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-11 17:33
Fliff🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.85%E -3.21%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-11 17:34
PMU (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -7.85%E -3.21%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.98%EV -10.16%E -7.06%K -23.09%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-11 12:54
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.73%E -4.06%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-11 16:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.73%E -4.06%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-11 16:04
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -10.49%E -4.41%K -7.60%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-11 17:35
ReBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.18%EV -10.49%E -4.41%K -7.60%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.82%EV -8.29%E -5.64%K -17.64%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-11 17:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -11.61%E -4.94%K -8.60%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -3.30%E -2.13%K -6.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-11 16:10
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -11.61%E -4.94%K -8.60%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -3.30%E -2.13%K -6.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-11 16:09
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -11.61%E -4.94%K -8.60%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 61.68%EV -8.91%E -6.10%K -19.37%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-11 17:30
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -13.49%E -5.87%K -10.38%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 61.33%EV -9.54%E -6.58%K -21.19%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-11 17:30
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.58%0.9%2026-10-11 17:44
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.58%0.9%2026-10-11 17:44
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.58%0.9%2026-10-11 16:55
ProphetX◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.13%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.87%1.7%2026-10-11 18:55
Novig◎2.63I 38.02%NM 37.38%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.62%1.7%2026-10-11 16:20
Smarkets◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.16%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.84%2.4%2026-10-11 19:35