Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Arthur Gea v Jakub Mensik

2026-10-13 04:00 UTC — ATP Shanghai Masters

Zwycięzca spotkania

56 bukmacherów (17 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Arthur Gea (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 37.61%2.66kurs godziwy
EV +0.798%
Przewaga +0.298%
Kelly +0.475%
Wzrost +0.004%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.68

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
35.73%37.58%37.69%39.74%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.302.512.502.6843.48%39.90%40.00%37.31%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Jakub Mensik (Goście)

Prognoza 62.39%1.60kurs godziwy
EV -2.67%
Przewaga -1.71%
Kelly -4.77%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.56

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
60.26%62.42%62.31%64.27%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.441.511.501.5669.44%66.39%66.67%64.10%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Dla rynku Zwycięzca spotkania model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacuje prawdopodobieństwa następująco: Arthur Gea (Gospodarze): 37.61%; Jakub Mensik (Goście): 62.39%. Dla wyniku Arthur Gea (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiada uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 2.66. 2 bukmacherów oferuje kursy powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy dostępny kurs wynosi 2.68, co daje dodatnią wartość oczekiwaną +0.798%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (56 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
BetOnline.ag🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV +0.798%E +0.298%K +0.475%G +0.004%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -7.04%E -4.73%K -14.37%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-11 18:29
LowVig.ag🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV +0.798%E +0.298%K +0.475%G +0.004%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -7.04%E -4.73%K -14.37%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-11 18:24
SportsBet🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 36.50%EV -1.83%E -0.703%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.50%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-11 12:29
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -2.21%E -0.850%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -5.17%E -3.40%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-11 17:29
Pinnacle🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -3.34%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -2.67%E -1.71%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-11 17:15
GTbets🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -3.34%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -5.79%E -3.84%K -11.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-11 13:00
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.09%E -1.60%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.92%E -2.55%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-11 15:59
NordicBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.09%E -1.60%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.17%E -3.40%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-11 17:29
Betsson🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.09%E -1.60%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.17%E -3.40%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-11 17:29
Bet Right🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.09%E -1.60%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.17%E -3.40%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-11 16:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.09%E -1.60%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-11 12:54
Virgin Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.09%E -1.60%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-11 12:54
LiveScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.09%E -1.60%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-11 12:54
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.09%E -1.60%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-11 12:54
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.09%E -1.60%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-11 12:55
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.09%E -1.60%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-11 12:55
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.09%E -1.60%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-11 12:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.09%E -1.60%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-11 12:54
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.09%E -1.60%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-11 12:54
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.09%E -1.60%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-11 12:54
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.09%E -1.60%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-11 12:54
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.09%E -1.60%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-11 12:55
Bally Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.09%E -1.60%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-11 12:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.09%E -1.60%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-11 12:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.09%E -1.60%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-11 13:40
1xBet🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -4.47%E -1.76%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -3.92%E -2.55%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-11 17:42
Marathon Bet🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 37.72%EV -5.60%E -2.23%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.28%EV -5.17%E -3.40%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-11 17:29
DraftKings🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.92%E -2.55%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-11 16:00
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-11 13:39
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-11 13:39
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-11 13:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-11 13:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.17%E -3.40%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-11 17:29
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.17%E -3.40%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-11 17:30
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.79%E -3.84%K -11.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-11 19:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-11 12:30
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-11 13:15
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-11 17:29
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-11 17:29
Tipico (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -8.29%E -5.64%K -17.64%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-11 17:35
betano_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -9.54%E -6.58%K -21.19%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-11 13:04
Bet Victor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -9.54%E -6.58%K -21.19%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-11 13:04
Unibet (UK)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -6.72%E -2.71%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-11 17:30
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.85%E -3.21%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-11 16:03
LeoVegas🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.85%E -3.21%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-11 17:29
theScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.85%E -3.21%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-11 17:33
Fliff🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.85%E -3.21%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.42%E -4.28%K -12.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-11 17:34
PMU (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -7.85%E -3.21%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.98%EV -10.16%E -7.06%K -23.09%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-11 12:54
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.73%E -4.06%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-11 16:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.73%E -4.06%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-11 16:04
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -10.49%E -4.41%K -7.60%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.55%E -2.97%K -8.58%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-11 17:35
ReBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.18%EV -10.49%E -4.41%K -7.60%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.82%EV -8.29%E -5.64%K -17.64%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-11 17:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -11.61%E -4.94%K -8.60%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -3.30%E -2.13%K -6.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-11 16:10
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -11.61%E -4.94%K -8.60%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -3.30%E -2.13%K -6.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-11 16:09
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -11.61%E -4.94%K -8.60%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 61.68%EV -8.91%E -6.10%K -19.37%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-11 17:30
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -13.49%E -5.87%K -10.38%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 61.33%EV -9.54%E -6.58%K -21.19%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-11 17:30
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.58%0.9%2026-10-11 17:44
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.58%0.9%2026-10-11 17:44
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.58%0.9%2026-10-11 16:55
ProphetX◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.13%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.87%1.7%2026-10-11 18:55
Novig◎2.63I 38.02%NM 37.38%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.62%1.7%2026-10-11 16:20
Smarkets◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.16%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.84%2.4%2026-10-11 19:35