Language:English
Ugo Humbert v Rinky Hijikata
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Ugo Humbert (Local)
Prediction 63.57%1.57fair odd
EV -0.831%
Edge -0.533%
Kelly -1.48%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.56
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.10%63.55%63.73%66.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.501.501.5671.43%66.54%66.67%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Rinky Hijikata (Visit)
Prediction 36.43%2.74fair odd
EV +0.183%
Edge +0.067%
Kelly +0.105%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.73%36.45%36.27%38.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.432.542.542.7541.15%39.30%39.37%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ugo Humbert (Local): 63.57%; Rinky Hijikata (Visit): 36.43%. For Rinky Hijikata (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.74. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.183%.
Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -11.00%E -7.86%K -27.51%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV +0.183%E +0.067%K +0.105%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-19 16:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.64%E -0.607%K -0.964%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-19 17:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -11.00%E -7.86%K -27.51%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -1.64%E -0.607%K -0.964%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-19 16:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.21%EV -9.10%E -6.36%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.79%EV -2.37%E -0.883%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-19 16:31 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.48%EV -2.74%E -1.79%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.52%EV -3.10%E -1.16%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-06-19 17:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.46%E -1.31%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-19 17:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.46%E -1.31%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-19 17:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.46%E -1.31%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-19 16:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.46%E -1.31%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-19 16:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.55%E -4.46%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.46%E -1.31%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-19 16:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -7.82%E -5.40%K -17.39%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -3.46%E -1.31%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-19 16:11 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -3.82%E -1.45%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-19 17:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -8.46%E -5.87%K -19.23%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -4.19%E -1.59%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-19 15:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -8.46%E -5.87%K -19.23%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -4.19%E -1.59%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-19 16:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.55%E -1.74%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-19 16:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.46%E -5.87%K -19.23%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.55%E -1.74%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-19 16:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.28%E -2.03%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-19 17:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.28%E -2.03%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-19 17:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.28%E -3.54%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -5.28%E -2.03%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-19 17:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.28%E -2.03%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-19 17:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.28%E -2.03%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-19 17:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.28%E -2.03%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-19 17:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.28%E -2.03%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-19 16:31 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.28%E -2.03%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-19 17:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -2.74%E -1.79%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -6.01%E -2.33%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-19 16:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.24%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.76%EV -6.01%E -2.33%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-19 17:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.93%EV -7.82%E -5.40%K -17.39%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.07%EV -6.37%E -2.48%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-19 16:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.28%E -3.54%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -7.10%E -2.79%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-19 17:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -7.47%E -2.94%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-19 16:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.37%E -2.22%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.92%E -3.57%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-19 16:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.92%E -3.57%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-19 17:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.92%E -3.57%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-19 16:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.92%E -3.57%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-19 16:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.92%E -3.57%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-19 16:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.82%E -5.40%K -17.39%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.92%E -3.57%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-19 17:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -0.831%E -0.533%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -10.75%E -4.39%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-19 16:59 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.47%E -0.946%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -10.75%E -4.39%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-19 16:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.47%E -0.946%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -10.75%E -4.39%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-19 16:51 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.47%E -0.946%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -10.75%E -4.39%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-19 16:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.47%E -0.946%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -10.75%E -4.39%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-19 16:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.47%E -0.946%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -10.75%E -4.39%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-19 16:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.47%E -0.946%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -10.75%E -4.39%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-19 16:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.47%E -0.946%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -10.75%E -4.39%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-19 16:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.47%E -0.946%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -10.75%E -4.39%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-19 16:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.47%E -0.946%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -10.75%E -4.39%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-19 16:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.47%E -0.946%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -10.75%E -4.39%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-19 16:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.47%E -0.946%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -10.75%E -4.39%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-19 16:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.47%E -0.946%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -10.75%E -4.39%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-19 16:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.47%E -0.946%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -10.75%E -4.39%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-19 16:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.47%E -0.946%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -10.75%E -4.39%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-19 16:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.47%E -0.946%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -10.75%E -4.39%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-19 16:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.47%E -0.946%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -10.75%E -4.39%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-19 16:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -2.74%E -1.79%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -10.75%E -4.39%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-19 17:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.75%E -4.39%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-19 16:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.75%E -4.39%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-19 16:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.98%EV -8.46%E -5.87%K -19.23%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -10.75%E -4.39%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-06-19 17:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -2.10%E -1.37%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -11.47%E -4.72%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-19 16:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43% | 0.2% | 2026-06-19 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 0.6% | 2026-06-19 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 0.6% | 2026-06-19 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 0.6% | 2026-06-19 17:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.72% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.28% | 3.2% | 2026-06-19 17:00 |