Szkoła Kursów

Ugo Humbert v Rinky Hijikata

Początek: 2026-06-19 17:15 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

57 bukmacherów (19 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Ugo Humbert (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 63.57%1.57kurs godziwy
EV -0.831%
Przewaga -0.533%
Kelly -1.48%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.56

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
61.10%63.55%63.73%66.27%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.401.501.501.5671.43%66.54%66.67%64.10%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Rinky Hijikata (Goście)

Prognoza 36.43%2.74kurs godziwy
EV +0.183%
Przewaga +0.067%
Kelly +0.105%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.75

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
33.73%36.45%36.27%38.90%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.432.542.542.7541.15%39.30%39.37%36.36%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (57 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
GTbets1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -11.00%E -7.86%K -27.51%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV +0.183%E +0.067%K +0.105%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-19 16:00
BetAnything1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.64%E -0.607%K -0.964%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-19 17:00
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -11.00%E -7.86%K -27.51%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -1.64%E -0.607%K -0.964%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-19 16:00
FanDuel1.43I 69.93%NM 65.21%EV -9.10%E -6.36%K -21.15%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.79%EV -2.37%E -0.883%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-19 16:31
Pinnacle1.53I 65.36%NM 63.48%EV -2.74%E -1.79%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.52%EV -3.10%E -1.16%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-19 17:10
Betclic (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.46%E -1.31%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-19 17:10
Unibet (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.46%E -1.31%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-19 17:10
BetUS1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.46%E -1.31%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-19 16:20
Bovada1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.46%E -1.31%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-19 16:30
theScore Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.55%E -4.46%K -13.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.46%E -1.31%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 16:30
Caesars1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -7.82%E -5.40%K -17.39%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -3.46%E -1.31%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-19 16:11
DraftKings1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -3.82%E -1.45%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-19 17:00
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -8.46%E -5.87%K -19.23%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -4.19%E -1.59%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-19 15:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -8.46%E -5.87%K -19.23%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -4.19%E -1.59%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-19 16:30
betfred_uk1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.55%E -1.74%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-19 16:40
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.46%E -5.87%K -19.23%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.55%E -1.74%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-19 16:30
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.28%E -2.03%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-19 17:00
Bet Right1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.28%E -2.03%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-19 17:00
Winamax (DE)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.28%E -3.54%K -10.78%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -5.28%E -2.03%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-19 17:10
Betsson1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.28%E -2.03%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-19 17:10
NordicBet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.28%E -2.03%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-19 17:10
Unibet (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.28%E -2.03%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-19 17:10
PointsBet (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.28%E -2.03%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-19 16:31
ReBet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.28%E -2.03%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-19 17:10
1xBet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -2.74%E -1.79%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -6.01%E -2.33%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-19 16:59
Marathon Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.24%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.76%EV -6.01%E -2.33%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-19 17:10
NetBet (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.93%EV -7.82%E -5.40%K -17.39%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.07%EV -6.37%E -2.48%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-19 16:30
Betr (AU)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.28%E -3.54%K -10.78%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -7.10%E -2.79%K -4.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-19 17:00
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -7.47%E -2.94%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-19 16:40
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.37%E -2.22%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.92%E -3.57%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 16:50
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.92%E -3.57%K -5.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-19 17:10
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.92%E -3.57%K -5.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-19 16:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.92%E -3.57%K -5.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-19 16:40
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.92%E -3.57%K -5.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-19 16:40
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.82%E -5.40%K -17.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.92%E -3.57%K -5.95%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-19 17:00
Hard Rock Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -0.831%E -0.533%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -10.75%E -4.39%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-19 16:59
Dabble (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.47%E -0.946%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -10.75%E -4.39%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-19 16:50
Unibet (NL)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.47%E -0.946%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -10.75%E -4.39%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-19 16:51
BetRivers1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.47%E -0.946%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -10.75%E -4.39%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-19 16:50
LiveScore Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.47%E -0.946%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -10.75%E -4.39%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-19 16:50
LeoVegas1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.47%E -0.946%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -10.75%E -4.39%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-19 16:50
Grosvenor1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.47%E -0.946%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -10.75%E -4.39%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-19 16:50
TABtouch1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.47%E -0.946%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -10.75%E -4.39%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-19 16:50
Casumo1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.47%E -0.946%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -10.75%E -4.39%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-19 16:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.47%E -0.946%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -10.75%E -4.39%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-19 16:50
Unibet (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.47%E -0.946%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -10.75%E -4.39%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-19 16:50
Virgin Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.47%E -0.946%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -10.75%E -4.39%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-19 16:50
Unibet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.47%E -0.946%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -10.75%E -4.39%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-19 16:50
Bally Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.47%E -0.946%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -10.75%E -4.39%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-19 16:50
betPARX1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.47%E -0.946%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -10.75%E -4.39%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-19 16:50
Svenska Spel1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.47%E -0.946%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -10.75%E -4.39%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-19 16:50
ATG (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.47%E -0.946%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -10.75%E -4.39%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-19 16:50
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -2.74%E -1.79%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -10.75%E -4.39%K -7.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-19 17:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.75%E -4.39%K -7.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-19 16:40
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.75%E -4.39%K -7.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-19 16:40
Winamax (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.98%EV -8.46%E -5.87%K -19.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -10.75%E -4.39%K -7.41%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-19 17:10
PMU (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -2.10%E -1.37%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -11.47%E -4.72%K -8.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-19 16:50
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (5)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Matchbook1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43%0.2%2026-06-19 17:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-06-19 17:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-06-19 17:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-06-19 17:10
Novig1.52I 65.79%NM 63.72%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.28%3.2%2026-06-19 17:00