A Escola das Odds

Ugo Humbert v Rinky Hijikata

Início: 2026-06-19 17:15 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Ugo Humbert (Local)

Previsão 63.57%1.57odd justa
EV -0.831%
Vantagem -0.533%
Kelly -1.48%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.56

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
61.10%63.55%63.73%66.27%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.401.501.501.5671.43%66.54%66.67%64.10%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Rinky Hijikata (Visitante)

Previsão 36.43%2.74odd justa
EV +0.183%
Vantagem +0.067%
Kelly +0.105%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
33.73%36.45%36.27%38.90%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.432.542.542.7541.15%39.30%39.37%36.36%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
GTbets1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -11.00%E -7.86%K -27.51%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV +0.183%E +0.067%K +0.105%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-19 16:00
BetAnything1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.64%E -0.607%K -0.964%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-19 17:00
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -11.00%E -7.86%K -27.51%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -1.64%E -0.607%K -0.964%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-19 16:00
FanDuel1.43I 69.93%NM 65.21%EV -9.10%E -6.36%K -21.15%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.79%EV -2.37%E -0.883%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-19 16:31
Pinnacle1.53I 65.36%NM 63.48%EV -2.74%E -1.79%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.52%EV -3.10%E -1.16%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-19 17:10
Betclic (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.46%E -1.31%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-19 17:10
Unibet (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.46%E -1.31%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-19 17:10
BetUS1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.46%E -1.31%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-19 16:20
Bovada1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.46%E -1.31%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-19 16:30
theScore Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.55%E -4.46%K -13.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.46%E -1.31%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 16:30
Caesars1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -7.82%E -5.40%K -17.39%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -3.46%E -1.31%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-19 16:11
DraftKings1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -3.82%E -1.45%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-19 17:00
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -8.46%E -5.87%K -19.23%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -4.19%E -1.59%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-19 15:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -8.46%E -5.87%K -19.23%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -4.19%E -1.59%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-19 16:30
betfred_uk1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.55%E -1.74%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-19 16:40
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.46%E -5.87%K -19.23%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.55%E -1.74%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-19 16:30
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.28%E -2.03%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-19 17:00
Bet Right1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.28%E -2.03%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-19 17:00
Winamax (DE)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.28%E -3.54%K -10.78%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -5.28%E -2.03%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-19 17:10
Betsson1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.28%E -2.03%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-19 17:10
NordicBet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.28%E -2.03%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-19 17:10
Unibet (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.28%E -2.03%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-19 17:10
PointsBet (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.28%E -2.03%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-19 16:31
ReBet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.28%E -2.03%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-19 17:10
1xBet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -2.74%E -1.79%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -6.01%E -2.33%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-19 16:59
Marathon Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.24%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.76%EV -6.01%E -2.33%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-19 17:10
NetBet (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.93%EV -7.82%E -5.40%K -17.39%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.07%EV -6.37%E -2.48%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-19 16:30
Betr (AU)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.28%E -3.54%K -10.78%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -7.10%E -2.79%K -4.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-19 17:00
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -7.47%E -2.94%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-19 16:40
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.37%E -2.22%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.92%E -3.57%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 16:50
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.92%E -3.57%K -5.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-19 17:10
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.92%E -3.57%K -5.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-19 16:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.92%E -3.57%K -5.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-19 16:40
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.92%E -3.57%K -5.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-19 16:40
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.82%E -5.40%K -17.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.92%E -3.57%K -5.95%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-19 17:00
Hard Rock Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -0.831%E -0.533%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -10.75%E -4.39%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-19 16:59
Dabble (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.47%E -0.946%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -10.75%E -4.39%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-19 16:50
Unibet (NL)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.47%E -0.946%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -10.75%E -4.39%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-19 16:51
BetRivers1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.47%E -0.946%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -10.75%E -4.39%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-19 16:50
LiveScore Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.47%E -0.946%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -10.75%E -4.39%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-19 16:50
LeoVegas1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.47%E -0.946%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -10.75%E -4.39%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-19 16:50
Grosvenor1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.47%E -0.946%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -10.75%E -4.39%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-19 16:50
TABtouch1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.47%E -0.946%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -10.75%E -4.39%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-19 16:50
Casumo1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.47%E -0.946%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -10.75%E -4.39%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-19 16:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.47%E -0.946%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -10.75%E -4.39%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-19 16:50
Unibet (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.47%E -0.946%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -10.75%E -4.39%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-19 16:50
Virgin Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.47%E -0.946%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -10.75%E -4.39%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-19 16:50
Unibet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.47%E -0.946%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -10.75%E -4.39%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-19 16:50
Bally Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.47%E -0.946%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -10.75%E -4.39%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-19 16:50
betPARX1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.47%E -0.946%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -10.75%E -4.39%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-19 16:50
Svenska Spel1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.47%E -0.946%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -10.75%E -4.39%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-19 16:50
ATG (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.47%E -0.946%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -10.75%E -4.39%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-19 16:50
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -2.74%E -1.79%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -10.75%E -4.39%K -7.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-19 17:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.75%E -4.39%K -7.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-19 16:40
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.75%E -4.39%K -7.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-19 16:40
Winamax (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.98%EV -8.46%E -5.87%K -19.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -10.75%E -4.39%K -7.41%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-19 17:10
PMU (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -2.10%E -1.37%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -11.47%E -4.72%K -8.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-19 16:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43%0.2%2026-06-19 17:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-06-19 17:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-06-19 17:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-06-19 17:10
Novig1.52I 65.79%NM 63.72%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.28%3.2%2026-06-19 17:00