Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jenson Brooksby v Francisco Cerundolo

Kickoff: 2026-06-17 16:20 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jenson Brooksby (Local)

Prediction 36.54%2.74fair odd
EV +5.98%
Edge +2.06%
Kelly +3.15%
Growth +0.188%

assuming max odds 2.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.24%36.31%36.57%40.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.562.552.9043.48%39.08%39.22%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Francisco Cerundolo (Visit)

Prediction 63.46%1.58fair odd
EV +0.895%
Edge +0.563%
Kelly +1.52%
Growth +0.014%

assuming max odds 1.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.13%63.69%63.43%67.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.491.491.5972.46%67.28%67.11%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jenson Brooksby (Local): 36.54%; Francisco Cerundolo (Visit): 63.46%. For Jenson Brooksby (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.74. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.98%.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV +5.98%E +2.06%K +3.15%G +0.188%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -12.43%E -9.01%K -32.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-17 15:40
DraftKings🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 33.73%EV +2.69%E +0.957%K +1.49%G +0.040%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.27%EV -9.26%E -6.47%K -21.53%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-17 15:40
Bovada🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV +2.32%E +0.830%K +1.29%G +0.030%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -7.99%E -5.51%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-17 15:40
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +2.32%E +0.830%K +1.29%G +0.030%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -9.26%E -6.47%K -21.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 15:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV +0.497%E +0.181%K +0.284%G +0.001%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -9.89%E -6.97%K -23.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-17 15:40
Paddy Power🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV +0.497%E +0.181%K +0.284%G +0.001%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -11.16%E -7.97%K -27.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-17 15:40
Coolbet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.33%E -0.493%K -0.783%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-17 15:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.33%E -0.493%K -0.783%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -6.09%E -4.11%K -12.68%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-17 15:40
Tipico (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -1.33%E -0.493%K -0.783%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -11.16%E -7.97%K -27.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-17 15:40
Bally Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -3.89%E -1.48%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.45%E -3.66%K -11.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 15:18
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -3.89%E -1.48%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -8.62%E -5.99%K -19.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-17 15:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -3.89%E -1.48%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -8.62%E -5.99%K -19.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-17 15:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -4.25%E -1.62%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -2.28%E -1.48%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-17 15:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -4.25%E -1.62%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -2.28%E -1.48%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-17 15:20
1xBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.25%E -1.62%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-17 15:30
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 15:41
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 15:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.45%E -3.66%K -11.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 15:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.45%E -3.66%K -11.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 15:40
Casumo🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.45%E -3.66%K -11.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 15:40
BetRivers🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.45%E -3.66%K -11.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 15:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.45%E -3.66%K -11.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 15:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.45%E -3.66%K -11.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 15:40
betPARX🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.45%E -3.66%K -11.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 15:40
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.72%E -4.57%K -14.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-17 15:40
NordicBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.99%E -5.51%K -17.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-17 15:40
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.99%E -5.51%K -17.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-17 15:40
GTbets🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 37.14%EV -5.35%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.86%EV -2.91%E -1.90%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-17 15:20
Pinnacle🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.92%EV -6.08%E -2.37%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.08%EV -0.374%E -0.238%K -0.657%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-17 15:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 35.59%EV -6.08%E -2.37%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.41%EV -9.89%E -6.97%K -23.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-17 15:39
BetUS🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -6.81%E -2.67%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -2.28%E -1.48%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-17 15:20
BetAnything🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -6.81%E -2.67%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -2.28%E -1.48%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-17 15:30
Unibet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.81%E -2.67%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.55%E -2.33%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 15:20
ReBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.81%E -2.67%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.55%E -2.33%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 15:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.81%E -2.67%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.18%E -2.77%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 15:30
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.81%E -2.67%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.09%E -4.11%K -12.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-17 15:41
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.81%E -2.67%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.09%E -4.11%K -12.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-17 15:40
Betsson🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -6.81%E -2.67%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -6.72%E -4.57%K -14.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-17 15:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -6.81%E -2.67%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -6.72%E -4.57%K -14.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-17 15:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -6.81%E -2.67%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -6.72%E -4.57%K -14.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-17 15:40
Fliff🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -6.81%E -2.67%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -9.26%E -6.47%K -21.53%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-17 15:40
Dabble (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.64%E -3.46%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.91%E -1.90%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 15:20
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.64%E -3.46%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.91%E -1.90%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 15:20
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.64%E -3.46%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.55%E -2.33%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 15:20
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.64%E -3.46%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-17 15:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -8.64%E -3.46%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -8.62%E -5.99%K -19.60%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-17 15:40
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -8.64%E -3.46%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -8.62%E -5.99%K -19.60%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-17 15:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -8.64%E -3.46%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -8.62%E -5.99%K -19.60%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-17 15:40
NetBet (FR)🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 37.47%EV -9.74%E -3.94%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.53%EV -6.09%E -4.11%K -12.68%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-17 15:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -10.47%E -4.27%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -2.91%E -1.90%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-17 15:40
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -10.47%E -4.27%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -2.91%E -1.90%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-17 15:20
PMU (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.53%EV -10.47%E -4.27%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 63.47%EV -10.53%E -7.47%K -25.68%G +0.000%11.7%2026-06-17 15:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -12.29%E -5.12%K -8.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -2.91%E -1.90%K -5.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-17 15:20
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -12.29%E -5.12%K -8.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -2.91%E -1.90%K -5.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-17 15:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -12.29%E -5.12%K -8.78%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -3.55%E -2.33%K -6.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-17 15:20
Neds🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -12.29%E -5.12%K -8.78%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -3.55%E -2.33%K -6.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-17 15:20
TAB🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -12.29%E -5.12%K -8.78%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -3.55%E -2.33%K -6.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-17 15:40
Bet Victor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -12.29%E -5.12%K -8.78%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-17 15:20
Everygame🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -12.29%E -5.12%K -8.78%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-17 15:19
FanDuel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -12.29%E -5.12%K -8.78%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -6.09%E -4.11%K -12.68%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-17 15:40
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -13.02%E -5.47%K -9.44%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -0.374%E -0.238%K -0.657%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-17 15:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.99%EV -14.12%E -6.01%K -10.46%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.01%EV -8.62%E -5.99%K -19.60%G +0.000%12.0%2026-06-17 15:40
Bet Right🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -15.95%E -6.93%K -12.27%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV +0.895%E +0.563%K +1.52%G +0.014%6.4%2026-06-17 15:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%0.5%2026-06-17 15:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%0.5%2026-06-17 15:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%0.5%2026-06-17 15:40
Matchbook2.60I 38.46%NM 37.80%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.20%1.8%2026-06-17 15:40
Smarkets2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80%2.2%2026-06-17 15:40
Novig2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%3.8%2026-06-17 15:40