L’École des cotes

Jenson Brooksby v Francisco Cerundolo

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-17 16:20 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Jenson Brooksby (Local)

Prévision 36.54%2.74cote équitable
EV +5.98%
Avantage +2.06%
Kelly +3.15%
Croissance +0.188%

avec la cote maximale 2.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.24%36.31%36.57%40.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.562.552.9043.48%39.08%39.22%34.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Francisco Cerundolo (Visiteur)

Prévision 63.46%1.58cote équitable
EV +0.895%
Avantage +0.563%
Kelly +1.52%
Croissance +0.014%

avec la cote maximale 1.59

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.13%63.69%63.43%67.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.381.491.491.5972.46%67.28%67.11%62.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Caesars2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV +5.98%E +2.06%K +3.15%G +0.188%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -12.43%E -9.01%K -32.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-17 15:40
DraftKings2.81I 35.59%NM 33.73%EV +2.69%E +0.957%K +1.49%G +0.040%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.27%EV -9.26%E -6.47%K -21.53%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-17 15:40
Bovada2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV +2.32%E +0.830%K +1.29%G +0.030%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -7.99%E -5.51%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-17 15:40
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +2.32%E +0.830%K +1.29%G +0.030%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -9.26%E -6.47%K -21.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 15:40
PointsBet (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV +0.497%E +0.181%K +0.284%G +0.001%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -9.89%E -6.97%K -23.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-17 15:40
Paddy Power2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV +0.497%E +0.181%K +0.284%G +0.001%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -11.16%E -7.97%K -27.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-17 15:40
Coolbet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.33%E -0.493%K -0.783%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-17 15:40
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.33%E -0.493%K -0.783%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -6.09%E -4.11%K -12.68%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-17 15:40
Tipico (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -1.33%E -0.493%K -0.783%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -11.16%E -7.97%K -27.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-17 15:40
Bally Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -3.89%E -1.48%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.45%E -3.66%K -11.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 15:18
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -3.89%E -1.48%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -8.62%E -5.99%K -19.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-17 15:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -3.89%E -1.48%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -8.62%E -5.99%K -19.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-17 15:20
BetOnline.ag2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -4.25%E -1.62%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -2.28%E -1.48%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-17 15:20
LowVig.ag2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -4.25%E -1.62%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -2.28%E -1.48%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-17 15:20
1xBet2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.25%E -1.62%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-17 15:30
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 15:41
Hard Rock Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 15:40
Unibet (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.45%E -3.66%K -11.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 15:40
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.45%E -3.66%K -11.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 15:40
Casumo2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.45%E -3.66%K -11.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 15:40
BetRivers2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.45%E -3.66%K -11.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 15:40
Svenska Spel2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.45%E -3.66%K -11.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 15:40
ATG (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.45%E -3.66%K -11.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 15:40
betPARX2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.45%E -3.66%K -11.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 15:40
theScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.72%E -4.57%K -14.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-17 15:40
NordicBet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.99%E -5.51%K -17.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-17 15:40
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.99%E -5.51%K -17.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-17 15:40
GTbets2.59I 38.61%NM 37.14%EV -5.35%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.86%EV -2.91%E -1.90%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-17 15:20
Pinnacle2.57I 38.91%NM 37.92%EV -6.08%E -2.37%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.08%EV -0.374%E -0.238%K -0.657%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-17 15:20
Betclic (FR)2.57I 38.91%NM 35.59%EV -6.08%E -2.37%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.41%EV -9.89%E -6.97%K -23.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-17 15:39
BetUS2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -6.81%E -2.67%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -2.28%E -1.48%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-17 15:20
BetAnything2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -6.81%E -2.67%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -2.28%E -1.48%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-17 15:30
Unibet (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.81%E -2.67%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.55%E -2.33%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 15:20
ReBet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.81%E -2.67%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.55%E -2.33%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 15:20
Marathon Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.81%E -2.67%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.18%E -2.77%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 15:30
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.81%E -2.67%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.09%E -4.11%K -12.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-17 15:41
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.81%E -2.67%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.09%E -4.11%K -12.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-17 15:40
Betsson2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -6.81%E -2.67%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -6.72%E -4.57%K -14.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-17 15:40
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -6.81%E -2.67%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -6.72%E -4.57%K -14.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-17 15:40
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -6.81%E -2.67%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -6.72%E -4.57%K -14.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-17 15:40
Fliff2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -6.81%E -2.67%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -9.26%E -6.47%K -21.53%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-17 15:40
Dabble (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.64%E -3.46%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.91%E -1.90%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 15:20
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.64%E -3.46%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.91%E -1.90%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 15:20
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.64%E -3.46%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.55%E -2.33%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 15:20
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.64%E -3.46%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-17 15:40
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -8.64%E -3.46%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -8.62%E -5.99%K -19.60%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-17 15:40
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -8.64%E -3.46%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -8.62%E -5.99%K -19.60%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-17 15:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -8.64%E -3.46%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -8.62%E -5.99%K -19.60%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-17 15:40
NetBet (FR)2.47I 40.49%NM 37.47%EV -9.74%E -3.94%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.53%EV -6.09%E -4.11%K -12.68%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-17 15:20
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -10.47%E -4.27%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -2.91%E -1.90%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-17 15:40
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -10.47%E -4.27%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -2.91%E -1.90%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-17 15:20
PMU (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.53%EV -10.47%E -4.27%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 63.47%EV -10.53%E -7.47%K -25.68%G +0.000%11.7%2026-06-17 15:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -12.29%E -5.12%K -8.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -2.91%E -1.90%K -5.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-17 15:20
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -12.29%E -5.12%K -8.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -2.91%E -1.90%K -5.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-17 15:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -12.29%E -5.12%K -8.78%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -3.55%E -2.33%K -6.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-17 15:20
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -12.29%E -5.12%K -8.78%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -3.55%E -2.33%K -6.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-17 15:20
TAB2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -12.29%E -5.12%K -8.78%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -3.55%E -2.33%K -6.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-17 15:40
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -12.29%E -5.12%K -8.78%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-17 15:20
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -12.29%E -5.12%K -8.78%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-17 15:19
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -12.29%E -5.12%K -8.78%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -6.09%E -4.11%K -12.68%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-17 15:40
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -13.02%E -5.47%K -9.44%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -0.374%E -0.238%K -0.657%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-17 15:40
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.99%EV -14.12%E -6.01%K -10.46%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.01%EV -8.62%E -5.99%K -19.60%G +0.000%12.0%2026-06-17 15:40
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -15.95%E -6.93%K -12.27%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV +0.895%E +0.563%K +1.52%G +0.014%6.4%2026-06-17 15:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%0.5%2026-06-17 15:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%0.5%2026-06-17 15:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%0.5%2026-06-17 15:40
Matchbook2.60I 38.46%NM 37.80%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.20%1.8%2026-06-17 15:40
Smarkets2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80%2.2%2026-06-17 15:40
Novig2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%3.8%2026-06-17 15:40