Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Jenson Brooksby v Francisco Cerundolo

Inicio: 2026-06-17 16:20 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Jenson Brooksby (Local)

Predicción 36.54%2.74momio equitativo
EV +5.98%
Ventaja +2.06%
Kelly +3.15%
Crecimiento +0.188%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.24%36.31%36.57%40.87%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.302.562.552.9043.48%39.08%39.22%34.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Francisco Cerundolo (Visitante)

Predicción 63.46%1.58momio equitativo
EV +0.895%
Ventaja +0.563%
Kelly +1.52%
Crecimiento +0.014%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.59

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.13%63.69%63.43%67.76%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.381.491.491.5972.46%67.28%67.11%62.89%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Jenson Brooksby (Local): 36.54%; Francisco Cerundolo (Visitante): 63.46%. Para Jenson Brooksby (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.74. 6 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.90, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +5.98%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Caesars🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV +5.98%E +2.06%K +3.15%G +0.188%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -12.43%E -9.01%K -32.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-17 15:40
DraftKings🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 33.73%EV +2.69%E +0.957%K +1.49%G +0.040%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.27%EV -9.26%E -6.47%K -21.53%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-17 15:40
Bovada🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV +2.32%E +0.830%K +1.29%G +0.030%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -7.99%E -5.51%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-17 15:40
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +2.32%E +0.830%K +1.29%G +0.030%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -9.26%E -6.47%K -21.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 15:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV +0.497%E +0.181%K +0.284%G +0.001%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -9.89%E -6.97%K -23.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-17 15:40
Paddy Power🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV +0.497%E +0.181%K +0.284%G +0.001%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -11.16%E -7.97%K -27.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-17 15:40
Coolbet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.33%E -0.493%K -0.783%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-17 15:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.33%E -0.493%K -0.783%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -6.09%E -4.11%K -12.68%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-17 15:40
Tipico (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -1.33%E -0.493%K -0.783%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -11.16%E -7.97%K -27.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-17 15:40
Bally Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -3.89%E -1.48%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.45%E -3.66%K -11.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 15:18
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -3.89%E -1.48%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -8.62%E -5.99%K -19.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-17 15:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -3.89%E -1.48%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -8.62%E -5.99%K -19.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-17 15:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -4.25%E -1.62%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -2.28%E -1.48%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-17 15:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -4.25%E -1.62%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -2.28%E -1.48%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-17 15:20
1xBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.25%E -1.62%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-17 15:30
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 15:41
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 15:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.45%E -3.66%K -11.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 15:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.45%E -3.66%K -11.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 15:40
Casumo🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.45%E -3.66%K -11.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 15:40
BetRivers🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.45%E -3.66%K -11.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 15:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.45%E -3.66%K -11.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 15:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.45%E -3.66%K -11.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 15:40
betPARX🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.45%E -3.66%K -11.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 15:40
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.72%E -4.57%K -14.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-17 15:40
NordicBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.99%E -5.51%K -17.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-17 15:40
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -4.99%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.99%E -5.51%K -17.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-17 15:40
GTbets🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 37.14%EV -5.35%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.86%EV -2.91%E -1.90%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-17 15:20
Pinnacle🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.92%EV -6.08%E -2.37%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.08%EV -0.374%E -0.238%K -0.657%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-17 15:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 35.59%EV -6.08%E -2.37%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.41%EV -9.89%E -6.97%K -23.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-17 15:39
BetUS🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -6.81%E -2.67%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -2.28%E -1.48%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-17 15:20
BetAnything🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -6.81%E -2.67%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -2.28%E -1.48%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-17 15:30
Unibet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.81%E -2.67%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.55%E -2.33%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 15:20
ReBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.81%E -2.67%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.55%E -2.33%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 15:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.81%E -2.67%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.18%E -2.77%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 15:30
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.81%E -2.67%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.09%E -4.11%K -12.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-17 15:41
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.81%E -2.67%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.09%E -4.11%K -12.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-17 15:40
Betsson🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -6.81%E -2.67%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -6.72%E -4.57%K -14.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-17 15:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -6.81%E -2.67%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -6.72%E -4.57%K -14.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-17 15:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -6.81%E -2.67%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -6.72%E -4.57%K -14.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-17 15:40
Fliff🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -6.81%E -2.67%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -9.26%E -6.47%K -21.53%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-17 15:40
Dabble (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.64%E -3.46%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.91%E -1.90%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 15:20
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.64%E -3.46%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.91%E -1.90%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 15:20
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.64%E -3.46%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.55%E -2.33%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 15:20
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.64%E -3.46%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-17 15:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -8.64%E -3.46%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -8.62%E -5.99%K -19.60%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-17 15:40
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -8.64%E -3.46%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -8.62%E -5.99%K -19.60%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-17 15:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -8.64%E -3.46%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -8.62%E -5.99%K -19.60%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-17 15:40
NetBet (FR)🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 37.47%EV -9.74%E -3.94%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.53%EV -6.09%E -4.11%K -12.68%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-17 15:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -10.47%E -4.27%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -2.91%E -1.90%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-17 15:40
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -10.47%E -4.27%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -2.91%E -1.90%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-17 15:20
PMU (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.53%EV -10.47%E -4.27%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 63.47%EV -10.53%E -7.47%K -25.68%G +0.000%11.7%2026-06-17 15:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -12.29%E -5.12%K -8.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -2.91%E -1.90%K -5.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-17 15:20
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -12.29%E -5.12%K -8.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -2.91%E -1.90%K -5.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-17 15:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -12.29%E -5.12%K -8.78%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -3.55%E -2.33%K -6.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-17 15:20
Neds🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -12.29%E -5.12%K -8.78%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -3.55%E -2.33%K -6.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-17 15:20
TAB🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -12.29%E -5.12%K -8.78%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -3.55%E -2.33%K -6.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-17 15:40
Bet Victor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -12.29%E -5.12%K -8.78%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-17 15:20
Everygame🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -12.29%E -5.12%K -8.78%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -4.82%E -3.21%K -9.63%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-17 15:19
FanDuel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -12.29%E -5.12%K -8.78%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -6.09%E -4.11%K -12.68%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-17 15:40
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -13.02%E -5.47%K -9.44%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -0.374%E -0.238%K -0.657%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-17 15:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.99%EV -14.12%E -6.01%K -10.46%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.01%EV -8.62%E -5.99%K -19.60%G +0.000%12.0%2026-06-17 15:40
Bet Right🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -15.95%E -6.93%K -12.27%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV +0.895%E +0.563%K +1.52%G +0.014%6.4%2026-06-17 15:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%0.5%2026-06-17 15:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%0.5%2026-06-17 15:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%0.5%2026-06-17 15:40
Matchbook2.60I 38.46%NM 37.80%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.20%1.8%2026-06-17 15:40
Smarkets2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80%2.2%2026-06-17 15:40
Novig2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%3.8%2026-06-17 15:40