Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Casper Ruud v Rafael Jodar

2026-11-03 19:30 UTC — ATP Paris Masters

Head to Head

55 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

37%

63%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Casper Ruud (Local)

Prediction 36.95%2.71fair odd

EV +1.61%

Edge +0.586%

Kelly +0.922%

Growth +0.015%

assuming max odds 2.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

34.52%36.86%37.03%38.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.352.532.502.7542.55%39.45%40.00%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Rafael Jodar (Visit)

Prediction 63.05%1.59fair odd

EV -2.90%

Edge -1.89%

Kelly -5.38%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.54

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

61.68%63.14%62.97%65.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.441.501.501.5469.44%66.60%66.67%64.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Casper Ruud (Local): 36.95%; Rafael Jodar (Visit): 63.05%. For Casper Ruud (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.71. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.75, producing a positive expected value of +1.61%.

Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Betway🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +1.61%E +0.586%K +0.922%G +0.015%	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -8.58%E -5.92%K -19.06%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-02 19:39
Pinnacle🎯	2.72I 36.76%NM 35.55%EV +0.504%E +0.185%K +0.293%G +0.001%	1.50I 66.67%NM 64.45%EV -5.43%E -3.62%K -10.85%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-11-02 19:55
Coolbet🎯	2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -0.235%E -0.087%K -0.138%G +0.000%	1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -4.16%E -2.74%K -8.01%G +0.000%	2.8%	2026-11-02 19:44
FanDuel🎯	2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -0.974%E -0.363%K -0.580%G +0.000%	1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -6.06%E -4.06%K -12.36%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-11-02 19:19
SportsBet🎯	2.66I 37.59%NM 35.75%EV -1.71%E -0.644%K -1.03%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.25%EV -6.69%E -4.52%K -13.93%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-02 19:30
DraftKings🎯	2.64I 37.88%NM 36.08%EV -2.45%E -0.929%K -1.50%G +0.000%	1.49I 67.11%NM 63.92%EV -6.06%E -4.06%K -12.36%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-11-02 19:29
1xBet🎯	2.63I 38.02%NM 36.47%EV -2.82%E -1.07%K -1.73%G +0.000%	1.51I 66.23%NM 63.53%EV -4.79%E -3.18%K -9.40%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-11-02 19:35
Sky Bet🎯	2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -2.82%E -1.07%K -1.73%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.43%E -3.62%K -10.85%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-11-02 19:20
Paddy Power🎯	2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.19%E -1.22%K -1.97%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.21%E -6.39%K -20.93%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-11-02 19:20
Bovada🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.93%E -1.51%K -2.46%G +0.000%	1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.79%E -3.18%K -9.40%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-11-02 19:35
888sport🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.93%E -1.51%K -2.46%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.43%E -3.62%K -10.85%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-02 19:30
William Hill🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.93%E -1.51%K -2.46%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.43%E -3.62%K -10.85%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-02 19:30
Bet Right🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.93%E -1.51%K -2.46%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.43%E -3.62%K -10.85%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-02 19:40
Marathon Bet🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -3.93%E -1.51%K -2.46%G +0.000%	1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -6.06%E -4.06%K -12.36%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-11-02 19:35
PlayUp🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.93%E -1.51%K -2.46%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.69%E -4.52%K -13.93%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-11-02 19:35
Betr (AU)🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.93%E -1.51%K -2.46%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.69%E -4.52%K -13.93%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-11-02 19:45
Coral🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.93%E -1.51%K -2.46%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.69%E -4.52%K -13.93%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-11-02 19:30
BetMGM🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.93%E -1.51%K -2.46%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.69%E -4.52%K -13.93%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-11-02 19:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.93%E -1.51%K -2.46%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.69%E -4.52%K -13.93%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-11-02 19:35
GTbets🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -3.93%E -1.51%K -2.46%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -8.58%E -5.92%K -19.06%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-11-02 19:15
Fanatics🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.78%E -2.27%K -3.73%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.53%E -2.31%K -6.67%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-11-02 19:35
NordicBet🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.78%E -2.27%K -3.73%G +0.000%	1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.16%E -2.74%K -8.01%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-11-02 19:35
Betsson🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.78%E -2.27%K -3.73%G +0.000%	1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.16%E -2.74%K -8.01%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-11-02 19:35
Winamax (DE)🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.78%E -2.27%K -3.73%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.43%E -3.62%K -10.85%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-11-02 19:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -7.62%E -3.05%K -5.08%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.90%E -1.89%K -5.38%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-11-02 19:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.62%E -3.05%K -5.08%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.43%E -3.62%K -10.85%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-11-02 19:35
Unibet (UK)🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.62%E -3.05%K -5.08%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.43%E -3.62%K -10.85%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-11-02 19:35
BoyleSports🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.62%E -3.05%K -5.08%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.43%E -3.62%K -10.85%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-11-02 19:40
Neds🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.62%E -3.05%K -5.08%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.43%E -3.62%K -10.85%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-11-02 19:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.62%E -3.05%K -5.08%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.43%E -3.62%K -10.85%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-11-02 19:30
LeoVegas🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -7.62%E -3.05%K -5.08%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -7.32%E -4.98%K -15.57%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-11-02 19:35
Tipico (DE)🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -7.62%E -3.05%K -5.08%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -7.32%E -4.98%K -15.57%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-11-02 19:15
betano_uk🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -7.62%E -3.05%K -5.08%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -8.58%E -5.92%K -19.06%G +0.000%	9.0%	2026-11-02 19:43
Bet Victor🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -7.62%E -3.05%K -5.08%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -8.58%E -5.92%K -19.06%G +0.000%	9.0%	2026-11-02 19:45
Virgin Bet🎯	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -8.36%E -3.37%K -5.65%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -2.90%E -1.89%K -5.38%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-02 19:15
LiveScore Bet🎯	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -8.36%E -3.37%K -5.65%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -2.90%E -1.89%K -5.38%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-02 19:15
Unibet (SE)🎯	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -8.36%E -3.37%K -5.65%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -2.90%E -1.89%K -5.38%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-02 19:15
Casumo🎯	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -8.36%E -3.37%K -5.65%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -2.90%E -1.89%K -5.38%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-02 19:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -8.36%E -3.37%K -5.65%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -2.90%E -1.89%K -5.38%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-02 19:15
TABtouch🎯	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -8.36%E -3.37%K -5.65%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -2.90%E -1.89%K -5.38%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-02 19:15
Unibet (NL)🎯	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -8.36%E -3.37%K -5.65%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -2.90%E -1.89%K -5.38%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-02 19:15
BetRivers🎯	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -8.36%E -3.37%K -5.65%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -2.90%E -1.89%K -5.38%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-02 19:15
Grosvenor🎯	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -8.36%E -3.37%K -5.65%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -2.90%E -1.89%K -5.38%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-02 19:15
Unibet🎯	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -8.36%E -3.37%K -5.65%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -2.90%E -1.89%K -5.38%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-02 19:15
ATG (SE)🎯	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -8.36%E -3.37%K -5.65%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -2.90%E -1.89%K -5.38%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-02 19:15
Svenska Spel🎯	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -8.36%E -3.37%K -5.65%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -2.90%E -1.89%K -5.38%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-02 19:15
betPARX🎯	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -8.36%E -3.37%K -5.65%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -2.90%E -1.89%K -5.38%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-02 19:14
Bally Bet🎯	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -8.36%E -3.37%K -5.65%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -2.90%E -1.89%K -5.38%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-02 19:15
picklebet_au🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -9.47%E -3.87%K -6.53%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.43%E -3.62%K -10.85%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-11-02 19:35
theScore Bet🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -9.47%E -3.87%K -6.53%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.43%E -3.62%K -10.85%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-11-02 19:35
ReBet🎯	2.44I 40.98%NM 37.91%EV -9.84%E -4.03%K -6.83%G +0.000%	1.49I 67.11%NM 62.09%EV -6.06%E -4.06%K -12.36%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-11-02 19:35
Winamax (FR)🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -11.32%E -4.72%K -8.09%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 62.34%EV -8.58%E -5.92%K -19.06%G +0.000%	10.6%	2026-11-02 19:35
Betclic (FR)🎯	2.38I 42.02%NM 38.18%EV -12.06%E -5.07%K -8.74%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 61.82%EV -7.32%E -4.98%K -15.57%G +0.000%	10.0%	2026-11-02 19:35
PMU (FR)🎯	2.38I 42.02%NM 38.18%EV -12.06%E -5.07%K -8.74%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 61.82%EV -7.32%E -4.98%K -15.57%G +0.000%	10.0%	2026-11-02 19:15
Unibet (FR)🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -13.17%E -5.60%K -9.75%G +0.000%	1.46I 68.49%NM 61.68%EV -7.95%E -5.44%K -17.28%G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-11-02 19:34

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	2.86I 34.97%NM 34.55%	1.51I 66.23%NM 65.45%	1.2%	2026-11-02 20:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	2.88I 34.72%NM 34.25%	1.50I 66.67%NM 65.75%	1.4%	2026-11-02 20:01
Matchbook◎	2.86I 34.97%NM 34.40%	1.50I 66.67%NM 65.60%	1.6%	2026-11-02 20:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	2.84I 35.21%NM 34.56%	1.50I 66.67%NM 65.44%	1.9%	2026-11-02 20:01
Smarkets◎	2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%	1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%	3.3%	2026-11-02 20:15
ProphetX◎	2.74I 36.50%NM 35.22%	1.49I 67.11%NM 64.78%	3.6%	2026-11-02 20:15
Novig◎	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%	1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%	4.2%	2026-11-02 20:15